Probability
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SAT Math › Probability
A teacher has 30 students. Of them, 18 submitted homework on time, and 12 did not. The teacher randomly selects 2 students without replacement. What is the probability that both selected students submitted homework on time?
$\frac{17}{29}$
$\frac{18}{30}$
$\frac{51}{145}$
$\frac{9}{25}$
Explanation
This problem involves selecting 2 students without replacement from 30 total, where 18 submitted homework on time. For the first selection, P(on time) = 18/30 = 3/5, and for the second selection (after removing one on-time student), P(on time) = 17/29. The probability both are on time is (18/30) × (17/29) = 306/870 = 51/145. The key is recognizing that without replacement changes both the numerator and denominator for the second draw. A common error is using 18/30 for both draws, which would apply only with replacement.
A fair six-sided die is rolled once. What is the probability of rolling an even number or a number greater than 4?
$\frac{1}{2}$
$\frac{1}{3}$
$\frac{5}{6}$
$\frac{2}{3}$
Explanation
This question asks for the probability of rolling an even number OR a number greater than 4 on a fair six-sided die. The even numbers are {2, 4, 6} and numbers greater than 4 are {5, 6}, with 6 appearing in both sets. Using P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B), we get P(even) = 3/6, P(>4) = 2/6, and P(both) = 1/6 (only 6). Therefore, P(even or >4) = 3/6 + 2/6 - 1/6 = 4/6 = 2/3. A common mistake is double-counting the 6 by not subtracting the overlap. When using "or" in probability, always check for overlapping outcomes.
A spinner has 8 equal sections labeled 1 through 8. The spinner is spun once. What is the probability of landing on a number that is not a multiple of 3?
$\frac{3}{4}$
$\frac{5}{8}$
$\frac{1}{4}$
$\frac{7}{8}$
Explanation
This question asks for the probability of NOT landing on a multiple of 3 when spinning a spinner with 8 equal sections (1-8). First, identify the multiples of 3 in this range: {3, 6}, which gives 2 favorable outcomes for multiples of 3. The probability of landing on a multiple of 3 is 2/8 = 1/4, so the probability of NOT landing on a multiple of 3 is 1 - 1/4 = 3/4. A common error is miscounting the multiples of 3 or forgetting to subtract from 1. When finding "not" probabilities, using the complement rule P(not A) = 1 - P(A) is often easier than counting directly.
A jar contains 5 black beads and 7 white beads. One bead is drawn at random and not replaced, then a second bead is drawn. What is the probability that the two beads are different colors?
$\frac{1}{2}$
$\frac{35}{66}$
$\frac{35}{72}$
$\frac{31}{66}$
Explanation
This problem asks for the probability of drawing two beads of different colors from a jar with 5 black and 7 white beads (12 total). There are two ways this can happen: black then white, or white then black. P(black then white) = (5/12) × (7/11) = 35/132, and P(white then black) = (7/12) × (5/11) = 35/132. The total probability is 35/132 + 35/132 = 70/132 = 35/66. A common mistake is calculating only one ordering instead of both. When finding probabilities of "different" outcomes, consider all possible orderings.
A jar contains 6 red marbles, 5 blue marbles, and 4 green marbles. Two marbles are drawn at random without replacement. What is the probability that both marbles drawn are blue?
$\frac{5}{15}$
$\frac{2}{21}$
$\frac{1}{7}$
$\frac{25}{225}$
Explanation
This problem asks for the probability of drawing two blue marbles without replacement from a jar containing 6 red, 5 blue, and 4 green marbles (15 total). For the first draw, P(blue) = 5/15 = 1/3. After removing one blue marble, there are 4 blue marbles left out of 14 total marbles, so P(second blue | first blue) = 4/14 = 2/7. The probability of both events is (5/15) × (4/14) = (1/3) × (2/7) = 2/21. A common mistake is treating this as replacement, which would give (5/15)² = 25/225. When drawing without replacement, always adjust both the numerator and denominator for the second draw.
A fair coin is flipped 3 times. What is the probability of getting exactly two heads?
$\frac{1}{2}$
$\frac{5}{8}$
$\frac{1}{8}$
$\frac{3}{8}$
Explanation
This problem asks for the probability of getting exactly two heads in three coin flips. The possible ways to get exactly two heads are: HHT, HTH, and THH. Each specific sequence has probability $ (1/2)^3 = 1/8 $, and there are 3 such sequences. Therefore, $ P(\text{exactly 2 heads}) = 3 \times \frac{1}{8} = \frac{3}{8} $. This is a binomial probability problem with $ n=3 $, $ k=2 $, and $ p=1/2 $. The key is counting all possible arrangements of 2 heads and 1 tail.
A multiple-choice question has 5 answer choices, only one of which is correct. A student guesses randomly on 4 such independent questions. What is the probability the student answers all 4 questions incorrectly?
$\frac{1}{625}$
$\frac{81}{125}$
$\frac{256}{625}$
$\frac{16}{625}$
Explanation
This problem asks for the probability of answering all 4 multiple-choice questions incorrectly when guessing randomly. Each question has 5 choices with 1 correct answer, so $P(\text{incorrect}) = \frac{4}{5}$ for each question. Since the questions are independent, $P(\text{all 4 incorrect}) = \left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^4 = \frac{256}{625}$. This matches answer C. A common error would be calculating $\left(\frac{1}{5}\right)^4 = \frac{1}{625}$, which is the probability of getting all 4 correct. When dealing with independent events, multiply the individual probabilities.
A bag contains 4 red balls and 6 yellow balls. Two balls are drawn at random without replacement. What is the probability that the two balls are different colors?
$\frac{8}{15}$
$\frac{4}{9}$
$\frac{2}{5}$
$\frac{1}{3}$
Explanation
This problem asks for the probability of drawing two balls of different colors without replacement from 4 red and 6 yellow balls. There are two ways: red then yellow, or yellow then red. P(red then yellow) = (4/10) × (6/9) = 24/90, and P(yellow then red) = (6/10) × (4/9) = 24/90. Total probability = 24/90 + 24/90 = 48/90 = 8/15. The key insight is considering both orderings and adjusting the denominator for the second draw without replacement.
A spinner has 8 equal sections numbered 1 through 8. The spinner is spun once. What is the probability of landing on a number that is a multiple of 3 or a number greater than 6?
$\frac{1}{2}$
$\frac{5}{8}$
$\frac{3}{8}$
$\frac{1}{4}$
Explanation
This problem asks for the probability of landing on a multiple of 3 OR a number greater than 6 on a spinner numbered 1-8. Multiples of 3 are {3, 6} and numbers greater than 6 are {7, 8}, with no overlap between these sets. Therefore, P(multiple of 3 or >6) = P(multiple of 3) + P(>6) = 2/8 + 2/8 = 4/8 = 1/2. Since there's no overlap, we don't need to subtract anything. The key is carefully identifying all favorable outcomes: 3, 6, 7, and 8.
A bag contains 8 black tiles and 2 white tiles. One tile is drawn at random, replaced, and then a second tile is drawn. What is the probability that exactly one of the two tiles drawn is white?
$\frac{4}{25}$
$\frac{9}{25}$
$\frac{8}{25}$
$\frac{1}{25}$
Explanation
This problem involves drawing tiles with replacement, asking for the probability of getting exactly one white tile in two draws from a bag with 8 black and 2 white tiles. There are two ways this can happen: white then black, or black then white. P(white then black) = (2/10) × (8/10) = 16/100, and P(black then white) = (8/10) × (2/10) = 16/100. The total probability is 16/100 + 16/100 = 32/100 = 8/25. The key insight is that with replacement, each draw has the same probabilities, and we must consider both orderings.