Statistics Flashcards: Developing Empirical Probability Distributions Expected Value

Study Developing Empirical Probability Distributions Expected Value in Statistics with focused flashcards that help you recognize the idea, recall the key rule, and apply it in practice-style prompts.

Statistics

Developing Empirical Probability Distributions Expected Value

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QUESTION
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What is the expected value formula for a discrete random variable XX?

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ANSWER

E(X)=xP(x)E(X)=\sum x\,P(x). Multiply each value by its probability and sum all products.

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Flashcard 1: What is the expected value formula for a discrete random variable XX?

Answer: E(X)=xP(x)E(X)=\sum x\,P(x). Multiply each value by its probability and sum all products.

Flashcard 2: What is the sample space for X=number of TV sets per householdX=\text{number of TV sets per household} if observed values are 00 to 55?

Answer: {0,1,2,3,4,5}\{0,1,2,3,4,5\}. Sample space contains all possible values the random variable can take.

Flashcard 3: What is E(X)E(X) for X{1,2,3}X\in\{1,2,3\} with P={0.2,0.5,0.3}P=\{0.2,0.5,0.3\}?

Answer: E(X)=2.1E(X)=2.1. 1(0.2)+2(0.5)+3(0.3)=0.2+1.0+0.9=2.11(0.2)+2(0.5)+3(0.3)=0.2+1.0+0.9=2.1

Flashcard 4: Find E(X)E(X) if P(X=1)=0.25P(X=1)=0.25, P(X=2)=0.50P(X=2)=0.50, P(X=3)=0.25P(X=3)=0.25.

Answer: 1(0.25)+2(0.50)+3(0.25)=21(0.25)+2(0.50)+3(0.25)=2. Weighted average: 1(0.25)+2(0.50)+3(0.25)=0.25+1+0.751(0.25)+2(0.50)+3(0.25)=0.25+1+0.75.

Flashcard 5: What is E(X)E(X) for X{0,1,2,3}X\in\{0,1,2,3\} with P={0.1,0.2,0.3,0.4}P=\{0.1,0.2,0.3,0.4\}?

Answer: E(X)=2.0E(X)=2.0. 0(0.1)+1(0.2)+2(0.3)+3(0.4)=0+0.2+0.6+1.2=2.00(0.1)+1(0.2)+2(0.3)+3(0.4)=0+0.2+0.6+1.2=2.0

Flashcard 6: What two conditions must a discrete probability distribution P(X=x)P(X=x) satisfy?

Answer: 0P(X=x)10\le P(X=x)\le 1 and P(X=x)=1\sum P(X=x)=1. Probabilities must be between 0 and 1, and sum to 1 for all outcomes.

Flashcard 7: Identify the random variable in: "number of TV sets per household" for a probability distribution.

Answer: X=number of TV sets in a randomly selected householdX=\text{number of TV sets in a randomly selected household}. Random variable represents the quantity being measured in each trial.

Flashcard 8: Find and correct the error: "E(X)=P(X=x)E(X)=\sum P(X=x)" for a discrete random variable.

Answer: Correct: E(X)=xP(X=x)E(X)=\sum x\,P(X=x). Error: formula missing the xx values; must multiply xx by P(X=x)P(X=x).

Flashcard 9: What is the expected value if XX takes values 0,1,20,1,2 with probabilities 0.2,0.5,0.30.2,0.5,0.3?

Answer: E(X)=1.1E(X)=1.1. 0(0.2)+1(0.5)+2(0.3)=0+0.5+0.6=1.10(0.2)+1(0.5)+2(0.3)=0+0.5+0.6=1.1

Flashcard 10: What is the expected value if a distribution is P(0)=0.25P(0)=0.25, P(2)=0.75P(2)=0.75?

Answer: E(X)=1.5E(X)=1.5. 0(0.25)+2(0.75)=0+1.5=1.50(0.25)+2(0.75)=0+1.5=1.5

Flashcard 11: What does E(X)E(X) represent in context for TVs per household?

Answer: Long-run average TVs per household. The average number of TVs we expect to find per household.

Flashcard 12: What is the expected number in 100100 households if P(0)=0.2P(0)=0.2, P(1)=0.5P(1)=0.5, P(2)=0.3P(2)=0.3?

Answer: 110110. E(X)=0(0.2)+1(0.5)+2(0.3)=1.1E(X)=0(0.2)+1(0.5)+2(0.3)=1.1, so 100(1.1)=110100(1.1)=110

Flashcard 13: What is E(X)E(X) if X{0,2}X\in\{0,2\} with P(X=0)=0.6P(X=0)=0.6 and P(X=2)=0.4P(X=2)=0.4?

Answer: 0(0.6)+2(0.4)=0.80(0.6)+2(0.4)=0.8. Only two outcomes: 00 contributes nothing, 22 contributes 2(0.4)2(0.4).

Flashcard 14: What is the expected number of TV sets in 100100 households if E(X)=1.7E(X)=1.7 sets per household?

Answer: 1001.7=170100\cdot 1.7=170 sets. Multiply expected value per household by number of households.

Flashcard 15: Identify the random variable in: "number of TV sets in a randomly selected household."

Answer: X=number of TV sets in one householdX=\text{number of TV sets in one household}. The variable counts TV sets in a single household.

Flashcard 16: What is E(X)E(X) for X{0,1,2}X\in\{0,1,2\} with empirical counts 10,30,6010,30,60 out of 100100?

Answer: 0(0.1)+1(0.3)+2(0.6)=1.50(0.1)+1(0.3)+2(0.6)=1.5. Convert counts to probabilities: 10100=0.1\frac{10}{100}=0.1, 30100=0.3\frac{30}{100}=0.3, 60100=0.6\frac{60}{100}=0.6.

Flashcard 17: What is an empirical probability for an outcome with frequency ff in nn trials?

Answer: P(outcome)=fnP(\text{outcome})=\frac{f}{n}. Divides frequency of occurrence by total number of trials.

Flashcard 18: Find the expected number in 200200 households if E(X)=2.3E(X)=2.3 TV sets per household.

Answer: 2002.3=460200\cdot 2.3=460 sets. Scale up single household expectation to 200 households.

Flashcard 19: Identify the missing probability if P(X=0)=0.1P(X=0)=0.1, P(X=1)=0.4P(X=1)=0.4, and P(X=2)=?P(X=2)=? for a distribution.

Answer: P(X=2)=10.10.4=0.5P(X=2)=1-0.1-0.4=0.5. Probabilities must sum to 1, so missing probability is 10.10.41-0.1-0.4.

Flashcard 20: What is E(X)E(X) if X{0,1,2,3}X\in\{0,1,2,3\} with probabilities 0.1,0.2,0.3,0.40.1,0.2,0.3,0.4?

Answer: 0(0.1)+1(0.2)+2(0.3)+3(0.4)=2.00(0.1)+1(0.2)+2(0.3)+3(0.4)=2.0. Sum products: 0+0.2+0.6+1.2=2.00+0.2+0.6+1.2=2.0.

Flashcard 21: What is the expected count in nn trials if the expected value per trial is E(X)E(X)?

Answer: Expected total=nE(X)\text{Expected total}=n\,E(X). Multiply expected value per trial by number of trials.

Flashcard 22: State the formula for the expected total over nn independent observations of XX with mean E(X)E(X).

Answer: E(i=1nXi)=nE(X)E\left(\sum_{i=1}^{n} X_i\right)=nE(X). Expected sum of nn independent observations is nn times single expectation.

Flashcard 23: What must be true about the probabilities in a discrete probability distribution?

Answer: Each P(x)0P(x)\ge 0 and P(x)=1\sum P(x)=1. Probabilities must be non-negative and sum to exactly 1.

Flashcard 24: Identify the error: a "distribution" has P(0)=0.4P(0)=0.4, P(1)=0.5P(1)=0.5, P(2)=0.3P(2)=0.3.

Answer: P(x)=1.21\sum P(x)=1.2\ne 1. Probabilities sum to more than 1, violating distribution rules.

Flashcard 25: What is the expected total in 100100 trials if E(X)=1.2E(X)=1.2 per trial?

Answer: 120120. 100×1.2=120100 \times 1.2 = 120

Flashcard 26: What is the expected count in nn trials if the probability of success is pp?

Answer: E(count)=npE(\text{count})=np. Expected count in nn trials equals trials times success probability.

Flashcard 27: What is the expected number in 100100 households if E(X)=2.3E(X)=2.3 TVs per household?

Answer: 230230. 100×2.3=230100 \times 2.3 = 230

Flashcard 28: Find the missing probability if P(0)=0.12P(0)=0.12, P(1)=0.38P(1)=0.38, P(2)=0.27P(2)=0.27, P(3)=0.15P(3)=0.15.

Answer: P(4)=0.08P(4)=0.08. 10.120.380.270.15=0.081-0.12-0.38-0.27-0.15=0.08

Flashcard 29: What is E(X)E(X) if P(X=0)=0.1P(X=0)=0.1, P(X=1)=0.6P(X=1)=0.6, and P(X=2)=0.3P(X=2)=0.3?

Answer: E(X)=1.2E(X)=1.2. 0(0.1)+1(0.6)+2(0.3)=0+0.6+0.6=1.20(0.1)+1(0.6)+2(0.3)=0+0.6+0.6=1.2

Flashcard 30: State the formula for the expected value of a discrete random variable XX.

Answer: E(X)=xP(X=x)E(X)=\sum x\,P(X=x). Expected value is the weighted average using probabilities as weights.

Flashcard 31: What is E(X)E(X) if XX is always 44 (that is, P(X=4)=1P(X=4)=1)?

Answer: E(X)=4E(X)=4. When a variable is constant, its expected value equals that constant.

Flashcard 32: What is the empirical probability if 1818 of 200200 households have 33 TVs?

Answer: P(X=3)=0.09P(X=3)=0.09. 18200=0.09\frac{18}{200}=0.09

Flashcard 33: What is the empirical probability if 77 of 5050 households have 00 TVs?

Answer: P(X=0)=0.14P(X=0)=0.14. 750=0.14\frac{7}{50}=0.14

Flashcard 34: What is the empirical distribution if counts for X=0,1,2X=0,1,2 are 5,15,305,15,30 out of 5050?

Answer: P(0)=0.1,  P(1)=0.3,  P(2)=0.6P(0)=0.1,\;P(1)=0.3,\;P(2)=0.6. Divide each count by total 50: 550=0.1\frac{5}{50}=0.1, 1550=0.3\frac{15}{50}=0.3, 3050=0.6\frac{30}{50}=0.6.

Flashcard 35: What is the sample space for XX = number of TV sets per household (discrete, nonnegative)?

Answer: {0,1,2,3,}\{0,1,2,3,\dots\}. All possible non-negative integer counts.