Question 1
System modeled: A repeating lunar phase cycle caused by the Moon orbiting Earth (↺). Sunlight comes from the right (Sun →).
Time-ordered model (4 time markers):
- Day A: waxing crescent
- Day B: first quarter
- Day C: waxing gibbous
- Day D: full moon
If this repeating pattern continues in the same direction, which statement must be true about what comes after Day D? (Choose ONE.)
- The next phase will be waning gibbous
- The Moon will stop orbiting Earth until the next month begins
- The next phase will be new moon because the cycle resets immediately
- The next event must be a lunar eclipse because full moons always cause eclipses
Explanation: The core skill is using models to predict repeating astronomical patterns. A cycle is a pattern that repeats in the same order due to regular motion. The motion driving this cycle is the Moon's orbit around Earth. A transferable strategy is to identify the pattern, note the direction, and extend it consistently. A common misconception is that moon phases reset abruptly or always involve eclipses, but they progress smoothly in a repeating sequence. Cycles allow us to predict both forward and backward in time. Models may compress time or space but must preserve the order and direction of the pattern.