Single and Compound Probability - ISEE Upper Level: Mathematics Achievement
Card 1 of 25
What is the multiplication rule for independent events $A$ and $B$?
What is the multiplication rule for independent events $A$ and $B$?
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$P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B)$. Multiplies probabilities for independent events because one does not affect the other.
$P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B)$. Multiplies probabilities for independent events because one does not affect the other.
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What is $P(A\cup B)$ if $P(A)=\frac{1}{3}$, $P(B)=\frac{1}{4}$, and $A,B$ are mutually exclusive?
What is $P(A\cup B)$ if $P(A)=\frac{1}{3}$, $P(B)=\frac{1}{4}$, and $A,B$ are mutually exclusive?
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$\frac{7}{12}$. Adds probabilities since events are mutually exclusive, with no overlap.
$\frac{7}{12}$. Adds probabilities since events are mutually exclusive, with no overlap.
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What is the probability of drawing a face card (J, Q, or K) from a $52$-card deck?
What is the probability of drawing a face card (J, Q, or K) from a $52$-card deck?
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$\frac{3}{13}$. Twelve face cards ($3$ per suit across $4$ suits) out of $52$ total cards.
$\frac{3}{13}$. Twelve face cards ($3$ per suit across $4$ suits) out of $52$ total cards.
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What is the probability of drawing an ace from a standard $52$-card deck?
What is the probability of drawing an ace from a standard $52$-card deck?
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$\frac{1}{13}$. Four aces (one per suit) out of $52$ cards in the deck.
$\frac{1}{13}$. Four aces (one per suit) out of $52$ cards in the deck.
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What is the probability of drawing a red card from a standard $52$-card deck?
What is the probability of drawing a red card from a standard $52$-card deck?
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$\frac{1}{2}$. There are $26$ red cards (hearts and diamonds) out of $52$ total cards.
$\frac{1}{2}$. There are $26$ red cards (hearts and diamonds) out of $52$ total cards.
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What is the probability of rolling a $2$ or a $5$ on one fair die?
What is the probability of rolling a $2$ or a $5$ on one fair die?
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$\frac{1}{3}$. Two favorable outcomes ($2$ or $5$) out of six, and events are mutually exclusive.
$\frac{1}{3}$. Two favorable outcomes ($2$ or $5$) out of six, and events are mutually exclusive.
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What is $P(\text{not }6)$ when rolling one fair die?
What is $P(\text{not }6)$ when rolling one fair die?
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$\frac{5}{6}$. Uses the complement rule: $1$ minus the probability of rolling a $6$ ($\frac{1}{6}$).
$\frac{5}{6}$. Uses the complement rule: $1$ minus the probability of rolling a $6$ ($\frac{1}{6}$).
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What is the probability of flipping a fair coin and getting heads?
What is the probability of flipping a fair coin and getting heads?
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$\frac{1}{2}$. Two equally likely outcomes (heads or tails) on a fair coin, with one favorable.
$\frac{1}{2}$. Two equally likely outcomes (heads or tails) on a fair coin, with one favorable.
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What is the probability of rolling a $6$ on a fair six-sided die?
What is the probability of rolling a $6$ on a fair six-sided die?
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$\frac{1}{6}$. One favorable outcome ($6$) out of six equally likely faces on the die.
$\frac{1}{6}$. One favorable outcome ($6$) out of six equally likely faces on the die.
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What is the probability of drawing a heart from a standard $52$-card deck?
What is the probability of drawing a heart from a standard $52$-card deck?
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$\frac{1}{4}$. There are $13$ hearts out of $52$ cards, yielding the ratio of favorable to total outcomes.
$\frac{1}{4}$. There are $13$ hearts out of $52$ cards, yielding the ratio of favorable to total outcomes.
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What is the probability of rolling an even number on a fair die?
What is the probability of rolling an even number on a fair die?
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$\frac{1}{2}$. Three even numbers ($2,4,6$) out of six possible outcomes on the die.
$\frac{1}{2}$. Three even numbers ($2,4,6$) out of six possible outcomes on the die.
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What is the probability formula for an event $A$ using favorable and total outcomes?
What is the probability formula for an event $A$ using favorable and total outcomes?
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$P(A)=\frac{\text{favorable}}{\text{total}}$. Defines probability as the ratio of favorable outcomes to total possible outcomes in a sample space.
$P(A)=\frac{\text{favorable}}{\text{total}}$. Defines probability as the ratio of favorable outcomes to total possible outcomes in a sample space.
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What is the complement rule for an event $A$ in probability notation?
What is the complement rule for an event $A$ in probability notation?
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$P(A^c)=1-P(A)$. Calculates the probability of the complement by subtracting the event's probability from 1, as they are mutually exclusive and exhaustive.
$P(A^c)=1-P(A)$. Calculates the probability of the complement by subtracting the event's probability from 1, as they are mutually exclusive and exhaustive.
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What is the addition rule for mutually exclusive events $A$ and $B$?
What is the addition rule for mutually exclusive events $A$ and $B$?
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$P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)$. Adds probabilities directly for mutually exclusive events since their intersection is empty.
$P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)$. Adds probabilities directly for mutually exclusive events since their intersection is empty.
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What is the general addition rule for any events $A$ and $B$?
What is the general addition rule for any events $A$ and $B$?
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$P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)$. Accounts for overlap by subtracting the intersection probability from the sum of individual probabilities.
$P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)$. Accounts for overlap by subtracting the intersection probability from the sum of individual probabilities.
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What is the conditional probability formula for $P(A\mid B)$?
What is the conditional probability formula for $P(A\mid B)$?
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$P(A\mid B)=\frac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)}$. Divides the joint probability by the probability of the conditioning event to find the likelihood given that event.
$P(A\mid B)=\frac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)}$. Divides the joint probability by the probability of the conditioning event to find the likelihood given that event.
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What is $P(A\cap B)$ if $P(A)=\frac{2}{5}$ and $P(B\mid A)=\frac{3}{4}$?
What is $P(A\cap B)$ if $P(A)=\frac{2}{5}$ and $P(B\mid A)=\frac{3}{4}$?
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$\frac{3}{10}$. Multiplies $P(A)$ by conditional $P(B\mid A)$ for joint probability of dependent events.
$\frac{3}{10}$. Multiplies $P(A)$ by conditional $P(B\mid A)$ for joint probability of dependent events.
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What is the probability of drawing two red cards in a row with replacement from a $52$-card deck?
What is the probability of drawing two red cards in a row with replacement from a $52$-card deck?
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$\frac{1}{2}\cdot\frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{4}$. Independent draws with replacement, each with $\frac{1}{2}$ probability of red.
$\frac{1}{2}\cdot\frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{4}$. Independent draws with replacement, each with $\frac{1}{2}$ probability of red.
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What is the probability of drawing two aces in a row without replacement from a $52$-card deck?
What is the probability of drawing two aces in a row without replacement from a $52$-card deck?
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$\frac{4}{52}\cdot\frac{3}{51}=\frac{1}{221}$. Multiplies probabilities of drawing first ace then second without replacement.
$\frac{4}{52}\cdot\frac{3}{51}=\frac{1}{221}$. Multiplies probabilities of drawing first ace then second without replacement.
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What is the probability of drawing two hearts in a row without replacement from a $52$-card deck?
What is the probability of drawing two hearts in a row without replacement from a $52$-card deck?
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$\frac{13}{52}\cdot\frac{12}{51}=\frac{1}{17}$. Multiplies conditional probabilities for first and second heart without replacement.
$\frac{13}{52}\cdot\frac{12}{51}=\frac{1}{17}$. Multiplies conditional probabilities for first and second heart without replacement.
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What is the probability of rolling doubles with two fair six-sided dice?
What is the probability of rolling doubles with two fair six-sided dice?
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$\frac{1}{6}$. Six double outcomes out of $36$ total combinations for two dice.
$\frac{1}{6}$. Six double outcomes out of $36$ total combinations for two dice.
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What is the probability of rolling two fair dice and getting a sum of $7$?
What is the probability of rolling two fair dice and getting a sum of $7$?
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$\frac{1}{6}$. Six ways to get sum $7$ out of $36$ possible outcomes for two dice.
$\frac{1}{6}$. Six ways to get sum $7$ out of $36$ possible outcomes for two dice.
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What is the probability of flipping two fair coins and getting exactly one head?
What is the probability of flipping two fair coins and getting exactly one head?
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$\frac{1}{2}$. Two favorable outcomes (HT, TH) out of four possible results for two coins.
$\frac{1}{2}$. Two favorable outcomes (HT, TH) out of four possible results for two coins.
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What is the probability of flipping two fair coins and getting two heads?
What is the probability of flipping two fair coins and getting two heads?
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$\frac{1}{4}$. Independent coin flips each with $\frac{1}{2}$ probability of heads, multiplied for both.
$\frac{1}{4}$. Independent coin flips each with $\frac{1}{2}$ probability of heads, multiplied for both.
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What is the multiplication rule for dependent events using conditional probability?
What is the multiplication rule for dependent events using conditional probability?
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$P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B\mid A)$. Expresses joint probability using the initial event and the conditional probability for dependent events.
$P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B\mid A)$. Expresses joint probability using the initial event and the conditional probability for dependent events.
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