Understand Random Sampling
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7th Grade Math › Understand Random Sampling
A middle school has 600 students. The student council wants to know what percentage of students prefer pizza as the main lunch option. They use a random number generator to pick 60 student ID numbers and survey those students.
Is this sampling method likely to produce a representative sample of the whole school, and are the results reasonable to generalize to all 600 students?
No; random sampling usually gives biased results because students are chosen by chance instead of by grade level.
Yes; because every student had an equal chance to be selected, the sample is likely representative and the results can be generalized to the whole school.
Yes; any group of 60 students will represent the school as long as they all answer the survey.
No; 60 students is too small no matter how they are chosen, so you cannot generalize to the whole school.
Explanation
This question tests understanding that random sampling, where each member has an equal selection chance, tends to produce representative samples matching population characteristics, enabling valid inferences from sample to population. Random sampling means every population member has equal probability of selection using unbiased methods like random numbers or drawing names from a hat, producing representative samples because randomness averages out variations so sample characteristics tend to match population proportions—if the population is 50% preferring A, a random sample is likely about 50% preferring A, though not guaranteed but probable; non-random sampling creates bias, such as convenience sampling by surveying only the cafeteria during first lunch which misses other periods and is not representative, voluntary sampling where only motivated people respond over-representing strong opinions, or systematic sampling like every 10th which might create patterns; valid inferences require representative samples, so from a random sample of 50 students you can reasonably generalize to a 500-student population, but from a biased sample like surveying only 8th graders you cannot validly generalize to all grades K-8. For example, in a school of 500 students, randomly selecting 50 for a lunch preference survey where each student has an equal chance via a random number generator makes the sample likely representative since random selection prevents systematic bias, allowing valid inferences like if 60% of the sample prefer pizza, it's a reasonable estimate that about 60% of the population prefers pizza; versus surveying only students in the cafeteria during the first period which is a convenience sample biased toward early lunch students, not representative of all lunch periods or students, making inferences invalid. The correct evaluation is that yes, because every student had an equal chance to be selected, the sample is likely representative and the results can be generalized to the whole school, as random sampling reduces bias and allows for valid generalizations. A common error is thinking that a small sample like 60 is too small no matter how chosen so you cannot generalize, or that any group of 60 will represent as long as they answer, or that random sampling gives biased results because it's by chance instead of by grade level. To evaluate samples, first identify the selection method such as random, convenience, voluntary, or systematic, then assess bias potential like if the method systematically excludes groups, only includes motivated responders, or is limited to one location or time, next determine representativeness where random is likely representative but biased methods are likely not, and finally evaluate inference validity where representative samples allow valid generalizations but biased ones do not. Sample size provides more precision when larger, but randomness is more important than size, so a 50 random sample is better than a 500 biased one; random sampling is done by assigning numbers to population members and using a random number generator to select, ensuring no systematic bias; common mistakes include equating large size with representative since size doesn't fix bias, accepting convenience sampling because it's easy but easy doesn't mean representative, or thinking voluntary responses are unbiased when self-selection creates strong bias as those with extreme views are more likely to respond.
A school has 720 students in grades 6–8. A teacher wants to estimate the average amount of time students spend on homework each night.
Method 1: Survey 40 students who are in the library after school.
Method 2: Use a random number generator to select 40 student ID numbers from the entire school and survey those students.
Which method is more likely to give a representative sample of the whole school, and why?
Method 1, because students in the library are easier to reach so the sample will be more accurate.
Both methods are equally representative as long as the sample size is 40.
Method 2, because every student has an equal chance to be chosen, which reduces bias and is more likely to represent the whole school.
Method 1, because students who stay after school are more likely to answer carefully, making the sample representative.
Explanation
This question tests understanding that random sampling, where each member has an equal selection chance, tends to produce representative samples matching population characteristics, enabling valid inferences from sample to population. Random sampling means every population member has equal probability of selection using unbiased methods like random numbers or drawing names from a hat, producing representative samples because randomness averages out variations so sample characteristics tend to match population proportions—if the population is 50% preferring A, a random sample is likely about 50% preferring A, though not guaranteed but probable; non-random sampling creates bias, such as convenience sampling by surveying only the cafeteria during first lunch which misses other periods and is not representative, voluntary sampling where only motivated people respond over-representing strong opinions, or systematic sampling like every 10th which might create patterns; valid inferences require representative samples, so from a random sample of 50 students you can reasonably generalize to a 500-student population, but from a biased sample like surveying only 8th graders you cannot validly generalize to all grades K-8. For example, in a school of 500 students, randomly selecting 50 for a lunch preference survey where each student has an equal chance via a random number generator makes the sample likely representative since random selection prevents systematic bias, allowing valid inferences like if 60% of the sample prefer pizza, it's a reasonable estimate that about 60% of the population prefers pizza; versus surveying only students in the cafeteria during the first period which is a convenience sample biased toward early lunch students, not representative of all lunch periods or students, making inferences invalid. The correct evaluation is that Method 2 is more likely to give a representative sample because every student has an equal chance to be chosen, which reduces bias and is more likely to represent the whole school. A common error is claiming Method 1 is better because students in the library are easier to reach so more accurate, or because they are more likely to answer carefully, or that both methods are equal as long as the sample size is 40. To evaluate samples, first identify the selection method such as random, convenience, voluntary, or systematic, then assess bias potential like if the method systematically excludes groups, only includes motivated responders, or is limited to one location or time, next determine representativeness where random is likely representative but biased methods are likely not, and finally evaluate inference validity where representative samples allow valid generalizations but biased ones do not. Sample size provides more precision when larger, but randomness is more important than size, so a 50 random sample is better than a 500 biased one; random sampling is done by assigning numbers to population members and using a random number generator to select, ensuring no systematic bias; common mistakes include equating large size with representative since size doesn't fix bias, accepting convenience sampling because it's easy but easy doesn't mean representative, or thinking voluntary responses are unbiased when self-selection creates strong bias as those with extreme views are more likely to respond.
A school has 900 students. A survey about school start times is sent by email, and only students who choose to respond are counted. What type of bias is most likely in this sample?
Random sampling bias, because each student has an equal chance to be selected.
Self-selection (voluntary response) bias, because students with strong opinions are more likely to respond.
No bias, because sending it to everyone makes the sample automatically representative.
Measurement bias, because email always gives incorrect answers.
Explanation
This question tests understanding that random sampling, where each member has an equal selection chance, tends to produce representative samples matching population characteristics, enabling valid inferences from sample to population. Random sampling means every population member has equal probability of selection using unbiased methods like random numbers or drawing names from a hat, producing representative samples because randomness averages out variations so sample characteristics tend to match population proportions—if the population is 50% preferring pizza, a random sample is likely around 50% preferring pizza, though not guaranteed. Non-random sampling creates bias: convenience like surveying only the cafeteria during first lunch misses other periods and is not representative, voluntary where only motivated respond over-represents strong opinions, systematic like every 10th might create patterns; valid inferences require representative samples, so from a random sample of 50 students, you can reasonably generalize to a 500-student population, but from a biased sample like surveying only 8th graders, you cannot validly generalize as it doesn't represent all grades. For example, in 900 students, randomly selecting via generator would be representative for start times, but email with voluntary responses is self-selection biased toward strong opinions, making inferences invalid. The correct choice A identifies self-selection bias, while B wrongly calls it random, C claims measurement bias from email, and D says no bias from sending to all despite voluntary issue. A common error is thinking voluntary responses are unbiased, but self-selection creates strong bias as those with extreme views are more likely to respond, or claiming larger biased better than smaller random. Evaluating samples involves identifying the method like voluntary here, assessing bias such as only motivated responding, determining representativeness where biased is no, and evaluating inference validity where biased is invalid; randomness trumps size, and common mistakes include accepting convenience or voluntary as representative.
A school has 1,000 students. A student says, “We surveyed 25 students randomly, and 60% said they like the new school logo. So exactly 600 students like it.”
Which statement best evaluates this claim?
The claim is not reasonable only because the sample should have been chosen from one grade level instead of randomly.
The claim is correct because random sampling always gives the exact population result.
The claim is not reasonable because a sample result can estimate the population, but it does not guarantee the exact number in the whole school.
The claim is correct because any sample smaller than 30 is automatically unbiased and exact.
Explanation
This question tests understanding that random sampling, where each member has an equal selection chance, tends to produce representative samples matching population characteristics, enabling valid inferences from sample to population. Random sampling means every population member has equal probability of selection using unbiased methods like random numbers or drawing names from a hat, producing representative samples because randomness averages out variations so sample characteristics tend to match population proportions—if the population is 50% preferring A, a random sample is likely about 50% preferring A, though not guaranteed but probable; non-random sampling creates bias, such as convenience sampling by surveying only the cafeteria during first lunch which misses other periods and is not representative, voluntary sampling where only motivated people respond over-representing strong opinions, or systematic sampling like every 10th which might create patterns; valid inferences require representative samples, so from a random sample of 50 students you can reasonably generalize to a 500-student population, but from a biased sample like surveying only 8th graders you cannot validly generalize to all grades K-8. For example, in a school of 500 students, randomly selecting 50 for a lunch preference survey where each student has an equal chance via a random number generator makes the sample likely representative since random selection prevents systematic bias, allowing valid inferences like if 60% of the sample prefer pizza, it's a reasonable estimate that about 60% of the population prefers pizza; versus surveying only students in the cafeteria during the first period which is a convenience sample biased toward early lunch students, not representative of all lunch periods or students, making inferences invalid. The correct evaluation is that the claim is not reasonable because a sample result can estimate the population, but it does not guarantee the exact number in the whole school. A common error is thinking the claim is correct because random sampling always gives the exact result, or because samples smaller than 30 are unbiased and exact, or that it's not reasonable only because it should have been from one grade instead of random. To evaluate samples, first identify the selection method such as random, convenience, voluntary, or systematic, then assess bias potential like if the method systematically excludes groups, only includes motivated responders, or is limited to one location or time, next determine representativeness where random is likely representative but biased methods are likely not, and finally evaluate inference validity where representative samples allow valid generalizations but biased ones do not. Sample size provides more precision when larger, but randomness is more important than size, so a 50 random sample is better than a 500 biased one; random sampling is done by assigning numbers to population members and using a random number generator to select, ensuring no systematic bias; common mistakes include equating large size with representative since size doesn't fix bias, accepting convenience sampling because it's easy but easy doesn't mean representative, or thinking voluntary responses are unbiased when self-selection creates strong bias as those with extreme views are more likely to respond.
A school of 800 students wants to know which after-school activity is most popular. A group surveys 80 students who are already staying after school for sports practice.
Which statement best evaluates whether the survey results can be used to make a valid conclusion about all 800 students?
Yes; 80 is a large sample, so it must represent the whole school even if it comes from one group.
No; you can never make a valid conclusion about a population from a sample.
Yes; surveying students after school is the same as random sampling because students move around.
No; the sample is likely biased because it includes mostly students who already stay after school, so it may not represent students who go home right away.
Explanation
This question tests understanding that random sampling, where each member has an equal selection chance, tends to produce representative samples matching population characteristics, enabling valid inferences from sample to population. Random sampling means every population member has equal probability of selection using unbiased methods like random numbers or drawing names from a hat, producing representative samples because randomness averages out variations so sample characteristics tend to match population proportions—if the population is 50% preferring A, a random sample is likely about 50% preferring A, though not guaranteed but probable; non-random sampling creates bias, such as convenience sampling by surveying only the cafeteria during first lunch which misses other periods and is not representative, voluntary sampling where only motivated people respond over-representing strong opinions, or systematic sampling like every 10th which might create patterns; valid inferences require representative samples, so from a random sample of 50 students you can reasonably generalize to a 500-student population, but from a biased sample like surveying only 8th graders you cannot validly generalize to all grades K-8. For example, in a school of 500 students, randomly selecting 50 for a lunch preference survey where each student has an equal chance via a random number generator makes the sample likely representative since random selection prevents systematic bias, allowing valid inferences like if 60% of the sample prefer pizza, it's a reasonable estimate that about 60% of the population prefers pizza; versus surveying only students in the cafeteria during the first period which is a convenience sample biased toward early lunch students, not representative of all lunch periods or students, making inferences invalid. The correct evaluation is no, the sample is likely biased because it includes mostly students who already stay after school, so it may not represent students who go home right away, and thus cannot be used for a valid conclusion about all students. A common error is thinking yes because 80 is large so it must represent even from one group, or that surveying after school is the same as random, or that you can never conclude from a sample. To evaluate samples, first identify the selection method such as random, convenience, voluntary, or systematic, then assess bias potential like if the method systematically excludes groups, only includes motivated responders, or is limited to one location or time, next determine representativeness where random is likely representative but biased methods are likely not, and finally evaluate inference validity where representative samples allow valid generalizations but biased ones do not. Sample size provides more precision when larger, but randomness is more important than size, so a 50 random sample is better than a 500 biased one; random sampling is done by assigning numbers to population members and using a random number generator to select, ensuring no systematic bias; common mistakes include equating large size with representative since size doesn't fix bias, accepting convenience sampling because it's easy but easy doesn't mean representative, or thinking voluntary responses are unbiased when self-selection creates strong bias as those with extreme views are more likely to respond.
A science teacher wants to estimate the average height of plants grown in the school greenhouse. There are 300 plants.
The teacher labels the plants 1–300 and uses a random number generator to select 30 plants to measure.
Why does this method help the teacher make a valid inference about the average height of all 300 plants?
Because measuring 30 plants guarantees the sample average will equal the population average exactly.
Because any sample of 30 plants is representative as long as the teacher measures carefully.
Because random selection gives each plant an equal chance to be measured, the sample is likely to be representative of the whole greenhouse.
Because the teacher chose the healthiest-looking plants, the sample will match the greenhouse.
Explanation
This question tests understanding that random sampling, where each member has an equal selection chance, tends to produce representative samples matching population characteristics, enabling valid inferences from sample to population. Random sampling means every population member has equal probability of selection using unbiased methods like random numbers or drawing names from a hat, producing representative samples because randomness averages out variations so sample characteristics tend to match population proportions—if the population is 50% preferring A, a random sample is likely about 50% preferring A, though not guaranteed but probable; non-random sampling creates bias, such as convenience sampling by surveying only the cafeteria during first lunch which misses other periods and is not representative, voluntary sampling where only motivated people respond over-representing strong opinions, or systematic sampling like every 10th which might create patterns; valid inferences require representative samples, so from a random sample of 50 students you can reasonably generalize to a 500-student population, but from a biased sample like surveying only 8th graders you cannot validly generalize to all grades K-8. For example, in a school of 500 students, randomly selecting 50 for a lunch preference survey where each student has an equal chance via a random number generator makes the sample likely representative since random selection prevents systematic bias, allowing valid inferences like if 60% of the sample prefer pizza, it's a reasonable estimate that about 60% of the population prefers pizza; versus surveying only students in the cafeteria during the first period which is a convenience sample biased toward early lunch students, not representative of all lunch periods or students, making inferences invalid. The correct evaluation is that because random selection gives each plant an equal chance to be measured, the sample is likely to be representative of the whole greenhouse, helping make a valid inference. A common error is thinking that choosing the healthiest-looking plants will match the greenhouse, or that measuring 30 guarantees the average equals the population exactly, or that any 30 is representative if measured carefully. To evaluate samples, first identify the selection method such as random, convenience, voluntary, or systematic, then assess bias potential like if the method systematically excludes groups, only includes motivated responders, or is limited to one location or time, next determine representativeness where random is likely representative but biased methods are likely not, and finally evaluate inference validity where representative samples allow valid generalizations but biased ones do not. Sample size provides more precision when larger, but randomness is more important than size, so a 50 random sample is better than a 500 biased one; random sampling is done by assigning numbers to population members and using a random number generator to select, ensuring no systematic bias; common mistakes include equating large size with representative since size doesn't fix bias, accepting convenience sampling because it's easy but easy doesn't mean representative, or thinking voluntary responses are unbiased when self-selection creates strong bias as those with extreme views are more likely to respond.
A school has 540 students. A group wants to estimate the percentage of students who think the hallways are too crowded.
Plan 1: Randomly select 54 students from the full student list.
Plan 2: Survey 200 students who volunteer to answer during an assembly.
Which statement is most accurate?
Plan 2 is better because a larger sample is always more representative, even if it is voluntary.
Plan 2 is better because volunteers give more honest answers, so the sample must represent the whole school.
Both plans are equally good because they both ask students the same question.
Plan 1 is better because random selection reduces bias and is more likely to represent the whole school, even with a smaller sample size.
Explanation
This question tests understanding that random sampling, where each member has an equal selection chance, tends to produce representative samples matching population characteristics, enabling valid inferences from sample to population. Random sampling means every population member has equal probability of selection using unbiased methods like random numbers or drawing names from a hat, producing representative samples because randomness averages out variations so sample characteristics tend to match population proportions—if the population is 50% preferring A, a random sample is likely about 50% preferring A, though not guaranteed but probable; non-random sampling creates bias, such as convenience sampling by surveying only the cafeteria during first lunch which misses other periods and is not representative, voluntary sampling where only motivated people respond over-representing strong opinions, or systematic sampling like every 10th which might create patterns; valid inferences require representative samples, so from a random sample of 50 students you can reasonably generalize to a 500-student population, but from a biased sample like surveying only 8th graders you cannot validly generalize to all grades K-8. For example, in a school of 500 students, randomly selecting 50 for a lunch preference survey where each student has an equal chance via a random number generator makes the sample likely representative since random selection prevents systematic bias, allowing valid inferences like if 60% of the sample prefer pizza, it's a reasonable estimate that about 60% of the population prefers pizza; versus surveying only students in the cafeteria during the first period which is a convenience sample biased toward early lunch students, not representative of all lunch periods or students, making inferences invalid. The correct evaluation is that Plan 1 is better because random selection reduces bias and is more likely to represent the whole school, even with a smaller sample size. A common error is thinking Plan 2 is better because larger is always more representative even if voluntary, or because volunteers give more honest answers, or that both are equal since they ask the same question. To evaluate samples, first identify the selection method such as random, convenience, voluntary, or systematic, then assess bias potential like if the method systematically excludes groups, only includes motivated responders, or is limited to one location or time, next determine representativeness where random is likely representative but biased methods are likely not, and finally evaluate inference validity where representative samples allow valid generalizations but biased ones do not. Sample size provides more precision when larger, but randomness is more important than size, so a 50 random sample is better than a 500 biased one; random sampling is done by assigning numbers to population members and using a random number generator to select, ensuring no systematic bias; common mistakes include equating large size with representative since size doesn't fix bias, accepting convenience sampling because it's easy but easy doesn't mean representative, or thinking voluntary responses are unbiased when self-selection creates strong bias as those with extreme views are more likely to respond.
A school has 650 students. A club wants to estimate what fraction of students would attend a spring dance. They decide to survey every 10th student who walks into school on Monday morning. Which is the best evaluation of this sampling plan?
It is random because every 10th student guarantees each student has an equal chance.
It could be reasonable, but it might miss students who arrive at different times or are absent on Monday, so it may not be fully representative.
It is representative as long as at least 20 students are surveyed.
It is definitely biased because systematic sampling can never be representative.
Explanation
This question tests understanding that random sampling, where each member has an equal selection chance, tends to produce representative samples matching population characteristics, enabling valid inferences from sample to population. Random sampling means every population member has equal probability of selection using unbiased methods like random numbers or drawing names from a hat, producing representative samples because randomness averages out variations so sample characteristics tend to match population proportions—if the population is 50% preferring pizza, a random sample is likely around 50% preferring pizza, though not guaranteed. Non-random sampling creates bias: convenience like surveying only the cafeteria during first lunch misses other periods and is not representative, voluntary where only motivated respond over-represents strong opinions, systematic like every 10th might create patterns; valid inferences require representative samples, so from a random sample of 50 students, you can reasonably generalize to a 500-student population, but from a biased sample like surveying only 8th graders, you cannot validly generalize as it doesn't represent all grades. For example, in 650 students, true random selection would be representative for dance attendance, but every 10th on Monday morning is systematic that might miss late or absent students, potentially not fully representative. The correct choice B evaluates it as possibly reasonable but with potential bias, while A wrongly says definitely biased, C claims it's random, and D relies on size alone. A common error is thinking systematic is always random or never representative, but it can have patterns, or claiming small samples invalid due to size when random small can be valid. Evaluating samples involves identifying method like systematic here, assessing bias like time/day exclusion, determining representativeness possibly not full, and evaluating validity; randomness is key, and mistakes include equating large with representative.
A school has 540 students. A group wants to estimate the percentage of students who think the hallways are too crowded.
Plan 1: Randomly select 54 students from the full student list.
Plan 2: Survey 200 students who volunteer to answer during an assembly.
Which statement is most accurate?
Both plans are equally good because they both ask students the same question.
Plan 1 is better because random selection reduces bias and is more likely to represent the whole school, even with a smaller sample size.
Plan 2 is better because volunteers give more honest answers, so the sample must represent the whole school.
Plan 2 is better because a larger sample is always more representative, even if it is voluntary.
Explanation
This question tests understanding that random sampling, where each member has an equal selection chance, tends to produce representative samples matching population characteristics, enabling valid inferences from sample to population. Random sampling means every population member has equal probability of selection using unbiased methods like random numbers or drawing names from a hat, producing representative samples because randomness averages out variations so sample characteristics tend to match population proportions—if the population is 50% preferring A, a random sample is likely about 50% preferring A, though not guaranteed but probable; non-random sampling creates bias, such as convenience sampling by surveying only the cafeteria during first lunch which misses other periods and is not representative, voluntary sampling where only motivated people respond over-representing strong opinions, or systematic sampling like every 10th which might create patterns; valid inferences require representative samples, so from a random sample of 50 students you can reasonably generalize to a 500-student population, but from a biased sample like surveying only 8th graders you cannot validly generalize to all grades K-8. For example, in a school of 500 students, randomly selecting 50 for a lunch preference survey where each student has an equal chance via a random number generator makes the sample likely representative since random selection prevents systematic bias, allowing valid inferences like if 60% of the sample prefer pizza, it's a reasonable estimate that about 60% of the population prefers pizza; versus surveying only students in the cafeteria during the first period which is a convenience sample biased toward early lunch students, not representative of all lunch periods or students, making inferences invalid. The correct evaluation is that Plan 1 is better because random selection reduces bias and is more likely to represent the whole school, even with a smaller sample size. A common error is thinking Plan 2 is better because larger is always more representative even if voluntary, or because volunteers give more honest answers, or that both are equal since they ask the same question. To evaluate samples, first identify the selection method such as random, convenience, voluntary, or systematic, then assess bias potential like if the method systematically excludes groups, only includes motivated responders, or is limited to one location or time, next determine representativeness where random is likely representative but biased methods are likely not, and finally evaluate inference validity where representative samples allow valid generalizations but biased ones do not. Sample size provides more precision when larger, but randomness is more important than size, so a 50 random sample is better than a 500 biased one; random sampling is done by assigning numbers to population members and using a random number generator to select, ensuring no systematic bias; common mistakes include equating large size with representative since size doesn't fix bias, accepting convenience sampling because it's easy but easy doesn't mean representative, or thinking voluntary responses are unbiased when self-selection creates strong bias as those with extreme views are more likely to respond.
A school has 650 students. A student wants to estimate the percentage of students who ride the bus.
Method A: Pick 65 students by selecting every 10th name on the school roster (starting from a randomly chosen starting point).
Method B: Pick 65 students by surveying only students who arrive on the first bus route each morning.
Which method is more likely to produce a representative sample of the whole school?
Both methods are equally representative because they each include 65 students.
Method A, because it spreads selections across the roster and (with a random start) is closer to random sampling than surveying one bus route.
Method B, because bus riders are the group being studied, so surveying one bus route is enough to represent all students.
Method B, because it is faster, and faster samples are usually more representative.
Explanation
This question tests understanding that random sampling, where each member has an equal selection chance, tends to produce representative samples matching population characteristics, enabling valid inferences from sample to population. Random sampling means every population member has equal probability of selection using unbiased methods like random numbers or drawing names from a hat, producing representative samples because randomness averages out variations so sample characteristics tend to match population proportions—if the population is 50% preferring A, a random sample is likely about 50% preferring A, though not guaranteed but probable; non-random sampling creates bias, such as convenience sampling by surveying only the cafeteria during first lunch which misses other periods and is not representative, voluntary sampling where only motivated people respond over-representing strong opinions, or systematic sampling like every 10th which might create patterns; valid inferences require representative samples, so from a random sample of 50 students you can reasonably generalize to a 500-student population, but from a biased sample like surveying only 8th graders you cannot validly generalize to all grades K-8. For example, in a school of 500 students, randomly selecting 50 for a lunch preference survey where each student has an equal chance via a random number generator makes the sample likely representative since random selection prevents systematic bias, allowing valid inferences like if 60% of the sample prefer pizza, it's a reasonable estimate that about 60% of the population prefers pizza; versus surveying only students in the cafeteria during the first period which is a convenience sample biased toward early lunch students, not representative of all lunch periods or students, making inferences invalid. The correct evaluation is that Method A is more likely to produce a representative sample because it spreads selections across the roster and, with a random start, is closer to random sampling than surveying one bus route. A common error is thinking Method B is better because bus riders are the group studied so one route is enough, or because it's faster and faster is more representative, or that both are equal since each has 65 students. To evaluate samples, first identify the selection method such as random, convenience, voluntary, or systematic, then assess bias potential like if the method systematically excludes groups, only includes motivated responders, or is limited to one location or time, next determine representativeness where random is likely representative but biased methods are likely not, and finally evaluate inference validity where representative samples allow valid generalizations but biased ones do not. Sample size provides more precision when larger, but randomness is more important than size, so a 50 random sample is better than a 500 biased one; random sampling is done by assigning numbers to population members and using a random number generator to select, ensuring no systematic bias; common mistakes include equating large size with representative since size doesn't fix bias, accepting convenience sampling because it's easy but easy doesn't mean representative, or thinking voluntary responses are unbiased when self-selection creates strong bias as those with extreme views are more likely to respond.