How to find the probability of an outcome - SAT Math

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Question

A number between 1 and 15 is selected at random. What are the odds the number selected is a multiple of 6?

Answer

In the set of 1 to 15, two numbers, 6 and 12, are multiples of 6. That means there are two chances out of 15 to select a multiple of 6.

2/15

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Question

A big box of crayons contains a total of 120 crayons.

The box is composed of 3 colors; red, blue, and orange. 30 of the crayons are red, 40 of the crayons are blue and the rest are orange. If one picks a crayon randomly from the box, what is the probability that it will be orange?

Answer

To solve the problem one must calculate that there are 50 orange crayons in the box. So 50/120 are orange. If we simplify that fraction by 10 we get 5/12.

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Question

A bag of jellybeans has 20 watermelon jellybeans, 45 sour apple jellybeans, 30 orange jellybeans and 5 cotton candy jellybeans. If you reach in and grab one jelly bean, what is the probability that it will be watermelon flavored?

Answer

Add up the total number of jellybeans, 20 + 45 + 30 + 5 = 100.

Divide the number of watermelon jellybeans by the total: 20/100 and reduce the fraction to 1/5.

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Question

What is the probability of choosing three hearts in three draws from a standard deck of playing cards, if replacement of cards is not allowed?

Answer

The standard deck of cards has 52 cards: 13 cards in 4 suits.

Ways to choose three hearts: 13 * 12 * 11 = 1716

Ways to choose three cards: 52 * 51 * 50 = 132600

Probability is a number between 0 and 1 that is defines as the total ways of what you want ÷ by the total ways

The resulting simplified fraction is 11/850

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Question

A skydiver is trying to determine the probability of landing within the target of a grass field. If the field measures 1000 meters by 500 meters and the target area measures 50 meters by 50 meters, what is the probability of the skydiver landing in the target area?

Answer

Find the area of the entire field and the target area. The fraction of the field that is the target area is equal to the probability of the skydiver hitting the target area. For example, if the field were 100 m3 and the target area was 100 m3 than the probability would be 1. If the field were 100 m3 and the target area was 50 m3 than the probability would be 0.5 and so on.

(50 * 50)/(1000 * 500) = 5/1000 = 1/200

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Question

If a container holds 4 red balls, 3 yellow balls, and 2 blue balls, what are the odds of picking out both of the blue balls without replacement?

Answer

You take the probability of the first outcome times the probability of the second, so (2/9) * (1/8) = 2/72 = 1/36

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Question

All of Jean's brothers have red hair.

If the statement above is true, then which of the following CANNOT be true?

Answer

Here we have a logic statement:

If A (Jean's brother), then B (red hair).

"If Ron has red hair, then he is Jean's brother" states "If B, then A" - we do not know whether or not this is true.

"If Winston does not have red hair, then he is not Jean's brother" states "If not B, then not A" - this has to be true.

"If Paul is not Jean's brother, then he has red hair" states "If not A, then B." We do not know whether or not this is true.

"If Eddie is Jean's brother, then he does not have red hair" states "If A, then not B" - we know this cannot be true.

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Question

Ben only goes to the park when it is sunny.

If the above statement is true, which of the following is also true?

Answer

“Ben only goes to the park when it is sunny.” This means it has to be sunny out for Ben to go to the park, but it does not mean that he always is at the park when it is sunny. Looking at the first choice we can say that this is not necessarily true because it could be sunny and Ben doesn’t have to be at the park. Similar reasoning would prove the second choice wrong as well. The third choice is correct-Ben only is at the park when it is sunny, so he’s definitely not there when it’s not sunny. The fourth choice is clearly wrong because we know Ben only goes when it is sunny, not when it’s rainy.

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Question

You went to order a cake but all of the cakes are in identical boxes. If there are five chocolate cakes, four carrot cakes, three vanilla cakes, and six red velvet cakes, what is the maximum number of boxes that you would have to open to ensure that you have one of each type of cake?

Answer

There are four different types of cake. In this type of problem we want to guarantee we have one of each, so we need to assumbe we have very bad luck. We start with the red velvet since that is the type with the most cakes. If we open those 6 we are not guaranteed to have different ones. Then say we opened all five chocolate cakes, then all four carrot cakes. We still have only three types of cakes but opened 15 boxes. When we open the next box (16) we will be guaranteed to have one of each.

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Question

A circle is inscribed inside a square. If a point inside the square is selected at random, what is the probability that the point will also be inside the circle?

Answer

The probability of the point being inside the circle is the ratio of the area of the circle to the area of the square. If we suppose that the circle has radius r, then the square must have side 2r. The area of the circle is πr2 and the area of the square is 〖(2r)〗2=〖4r〗2, so the proportion of the areas is (πr2)/〖4r〗2 =π/4.

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Question

John has a bowl with 54 marbles in it. Half of the marbles are green and half of the marbles are blue. John takes 3 green marbles and 6 blue marbles from the jar. John then takes 13 additional marbles from the remaining marbles in the jar. What is the minimum number of these 13 marbles that must be green in order for there to be more blue marbles than green marbles left?

Answer

The bowl has 54 marbles, half green and half blue. This gives us 27 green and 27 blue marbles:

27 G / 27 B

John then takes 3 green and 6 blue from the bowl. This leaves the bowl with:

24 G / 21 B

If there are going to be more blue than green marbles after John's 13 marbles, he has to take at least 4 more green marbles than blue marbles, because right now there are 3 less blue marbles. Therefore, we need to take at least 9 green marbles, which would mean 4 or less of the marbles would be blue (8 green and 5 blue would leave us with equal green and equal blue marbles, so it would have to be more than 8 green marbles, which gives us 9 green marbles).

We can also solve this as an inequality. You take the difference in marbles, which is 3, which means you need the difference in green and blue marbles to be greater than 3, or at least 4. You have b + g = 13 and g - b > 3, where b and g are positive integers.

b + g = 13 (Subtract g on both sides of the equation)

b = 13 - g

g - b > 3 (Substitute above equation)

g - (13 - g) > 3 (Distribute negative sign in parentheses)

g - 13 + g > 3 (Add both g variables)

2g - 13 > 3 (Add 13 to both sides of the inequality)

2g > 16 (Divide both sides of the inequality by 2)

g > 8 so g has to be 9 or greater.

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Question

If x is chosen at random from the set (4, 6, 7, 9, 11) and y is chosen at random from the set (12, 13, 15, 17) then what is the probability that xy is odd?

Answer

If x is chosen at random from the set (4, 6, 7, 9, 11) and y is chosen at random from the set (12, 13, 15, 17) then what is the probability that xy is odd?

Here we have 5 possible choices for x and 4 possible choices for y, giving us 5 * 4 = 20 possible outcomes.

We know that odd times odd = odd; even times even = even; and even times odd = even. Thus we need all of the outcomes where x and y are odd. We have 3 possibilities of odd numbers for x, and 3 possibilities of odd numbers for y, so we will have 9 outcomes of our total 20 outcomes where xy is odd, giving us a probability of 9/20.

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Question

Mike has a bag of marbles, 4 white, 8 blue, and 6 red. He pulls out one marble from the bag and it is red. What is the probability that the second marble he pulls out of the bag is white?

Answer

There are 18 marbles in total. One of them is removed so now there are 17 marbles. This is our denominator. All of the original white marbles are still in the bag so there is a 4 out of 17 or 4/17 chance that the next marble taken out of the bag will be white.

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Question

Jackie is a contestant on a gameshow. She has to pick marbles out of a big bag to win various amounts of money. The bag contains a total of 200 marbles.

There are 100 red marbles worth $10 each, 50 blue marbles worth $20 each, 30 green marbles worth $50 each, 15 white marbles worth $100 each and 5 black marbles worth $1000 each. If she picks once, what percent chance does she have of picking a $1000 marble?

Answer

There are 5 black marbles worth $1000 dollars out of the total of 200 marbles. \dpi{100} \small 5\div 200=.025 or 2.5%

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Question

Michael tosses three fair coins. What is the probability that at least one of these coins will land on heads?

Answer

Michael can toss either one head, two heads, or three heads.

If Michael tosses one head, then it could be on either the first, second, or third toss. We could model it like this, where H represents heads and T represents tails.

HTT, THT, or TTH

If Michael tosses two heads, then there are three possible combinations:

HHT, HTH, or THH

If Michael tosses three heads, then there is only one possible combination:

HHH

Thus, there are seven ways that Michael can toss at least one head. We must find the probability of each of these ways and then add them together.

The probability of rolling a head is ½ and the probability of rolling a tail is ½. Because each coin toss is independent, we can multiply the probabilities together.

For example, the probability of the combination HTT is (1/2)(1/2)(1/2) = 1/8

Probability of HTT = 1/8

Probability of THT = (1/2)(1/2)(1/2) = 1/8

Probability of TTH = (1/2)(1/2)(1/2) = 1/8

Probability of HHT = 1/8

Probability of HTH = 1/8

Probability of THH = 1/8

Probability of HHH = 1/8

So, there are seven possible ways that Michael can toss at least one head. The probability of each of these seven ways is equal to 1/8. Thus, the total probability of all seven events is 7/8.

ALTERNATE SOLUTION:

Michael can toss at least one head, or he can toss zero heads. The sum of these two probabilities must equal one, because they represent all of the ways that Michael could toss the coins. He could either toss at least on head, or he could toss no heads at all.

Probability of tossing at least one head + probability of tossing no heads = 1

The probability of tossing no heads is only possible with the combination TTT. The probability of tossing three tails is equal to (1/2)(1/2)(1/2) = 1/8

Probability of tossing at least one head + 1/8 = 1

Probability of tossing at least one head = 1 – 1/8 = 7/8 .

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Question

A jar of marbles has 125 marbles in it. 25 are blue marbles, 65 are red marble, 15 are green marbles and 20 are yellow marbles. What is the probability that the first three marbles picked are green or blue?

Answer

Probability of each event = (# green marbles + # blue marbles)/ Total # of Marbles

P1 = (15 + 25) / 125 = 40 / 125

Second event assumes a blue or green was chosen for first event so there is one fewer marble on top and also one fewer marble in the total number of marbles.

P2 = (14 + 25) / 124 = 39 / 124

Third event assumes a blue or green was chosen for first and second events so there are two fewer marbles on top and also two fewer marbles in the total number of marbles.

P3 = (13 + 25) / 124 = 38 / 123

Probability for multiple events = P1 x P2 x P3

(40 / 125) * (39 / 124) * (38 / 123)

( 40 * 39 * 38) / (125 * 124 * 123 ) = 59280 / 1906500 = 0.031

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Question

You have a full deck of 52 cards. If there are four queens in the deck, what is the probability that out of two cards dealt to you both are queens?

Answer

Probability of each event = (# queens)/ Total # of cards

P1 = 4 / 52

Second event assumes a queen was chosen for first event so there is one less queen and also one less card:

P2 = 3 / 51

Probability for multiple events = P1 x P2

(4 / 52) * (3 / 51)

( 4 * 3) / (52 * 51 ) = 12 / 2652 = 0.0045

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Question

If given two dice, what is the probability that the sum of the two numbers rolled will equal 9?

Answer

There are 36 possible outcomes of the additive dice roll. The way to roll a sum of 9 is 6 (and vice versa) and 3 or 5 and 4 (and vice versa). This is possible 4 of the 36 times, giving a probability the sum of the two dice rolled of 4/36 or 1/9.

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Question

A bag contains 6 green marbles, 5 blue, and 9 red. What is the probability that you will select two green marbles from the bag?

Answer

There are 20 total marbles. Selecting the first green marble has a 6/20 chance, the second green marble has a 5/19 chance. This gives a total chance of 30/380, or a 3/38 chance.

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Question

There is a special contest held at a high school where the winner will receive a prize of $100. 300 seniors, 200 juniors, 200 sophomores, and 100 freshmen enter the contest. Each senior places their name in the hat 5 times, juniors 3 times, and sophmores and freshmen each only once. What is the probability that a junior's name will be chosen?

Answer

The first thing to do here is find the total number of students in the contest. Seniors = 300 * 5 = 1500, Juniors = 200 * 3 = 600, Sophomores = 200, and Freshmen = 100. So adding all these up you get a total of 2400 names in the hat. Out of these 2400 names, 600 of them are Juniors. So the probability of choosing a Junior's name is 600/2400 = 1/4.

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