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Statistics Quiz

Statistics Quiz: Estimating Population Parameters With Error Margin

Practice Estimating Population Parameters With Error Margin in Statistics with focused quiz questions that help you check what you know, review explanations, and build confidence with test-style prompts.

Question 1 / 20

0 of 20 answered

A store wants to estimate the population parameter ppp, the proportion of all customers who use self-checkout. A random sample of 500 customers found 310 used self-checkout, so the sample statistic is p^=310/500=0.62\hat p = 310/500 = 0.62p^​=310/500=0.62 (62%). Students ran a simulation of 1,000 repeated random samples of size 500 and found that about 95% of simulated sample proportions were between 0.58 and 0.66.

What margin of error is supported by the simulation for estimating the population parameter ppp? (Express your answer as a percent.)

Select an answer to continue

What this quiz covers

This quiz focuses on Estimating Population Parameters With Error Margin, giving you a quick way to practice the rules, question types, and explanations that matter most for Statistics.

How to use this quiz

Try each quiz question before looking at the correct answer. Use the explanations to review missed ideas, then come back to similar questions until the pattern feels familiar.

All questions

Question 1

A store wants to estimate the population parameter ppp, the proportion of all customers who use self-checkout. A random sample of 500 customers found 310 used self-checkout, so the sample statistic is p^=310/500=0.62\hat p = 310/500 = 0.62p^​=310/500=0.62 (62%). Students ran a simulation of 1,000 repeated random samples of size 500 and found that about 95% of simulated sample proportions were between 0.58 and 0.66.

What margin of error is supported by the simulation for estimating the population parameter ppp? (Express your answer as a percent.)

  1. ±4%\pm 4\%±4% (correct answer)
  2. ±0.04%\pm 0.04\%±0.04%
  3. ±8%\pm 8\%±8%
  4. ±62%\pm 62\%±62%

Explanation: Simulation helps estimate the margin of error for the proportion p using self-checkout. Repeated samples produce a distribution of proportions, revealing variability. MOE is the typical distance capturing 95% around the center. The 95% from 0.58 to 0.66 (58% to 66%) gives a width of 8%, so MOE is ±4%. This is a reasonable error margin for estimating p at 62%. Common error: mistaking full width for MOE or using decimals when percents are asked. Always locate the middle 95% in simulations and halve its spread for the MOE in percent form if required.

Question 2

A student council wants to estimate the population parameter ppp, the proportion of all students who support a new lunchtime schedule. A random sample of 80 students found 44 in support, so the sample statistic is p^=44/80=0.55\hat p = 44/80 = 0.55p^​=44/80=0.55. Students ran two simulations to compare sample sizes.

  • For samples of size 80, about 95% of simulated p^\hat pp^​ values were between 0.44 and 0.66.
  • For samples of size 320, about 95% of simulated p^\hat pp^​ values were between 0.49 and 0.61.

Which interval is a reasonable estimate range for the population parameter ppp if the council uses the larger sample size n=320n=320n=320?

  1. 0.550.550.55 to 0.610.610.61
  2. 0.060.060.06 to 0.120.120.12
  3. 0.440.440.44 to 0.660.660.66
  4. 0.490.490.49 to 0.610.610.61 (correct answer)

Explanation: Using simulation, we estimate the margin of error for the proportion p supporting a new schedule, comparing sample sizes. Repeated samples create distributions of proportions, with larger n reducing variability. MOE is the distance capturing 95% of simulated results around the center. For n=320, 95% fell between 0.49 and 0.61, so that's a reasonable interval for p. This narrower range reflects less uncertainty with bigger samples. Don't confuse full width (0.12) with MOE (±0.06), and remember proportions vs. percents. Look for the middle 95% spread in simulations for your sample size and halve it for MOE.

Question 3

A gym wants to estimate the population parameter μ\muμ, the mean number of days per week all members work out. A random sample of 60 members gave a sample mean (sample statistic) of xˉ=3.9\bar x = 3.9xˉ=3.9 days. Students used simulation with 2,000 repeated random samples of size 60. The results showed that about 95% of simulated sample means were within 0.4 days of 3.9.

Which interval is a reasonable estimate range for the population parameter μ\muμ based on the simulation? (Round endpoints to the nearest tenth.)

  1. 3.9±0.83.9 \pm 0.83.9±0.8
  2. 3.53.53.5 to 4.34.34.3 (correct answer)
  3. 3.863.863.86 to 3.943.943.94
  4. 3.93.93.9 to 4.34.34.3

Explanation: Simulation estimates the margin of error for the mean μ of workout days per week. Repeated samples generate a distribution of means, illustrating variation. MOE is the distance around the sample mean capturing 95% of simulated means, here ±0.4 days. This creates a plausible interval from 3.5 to 4.3 for μ based on 3.9. The range accounts for sampling uncertainty. Avoid confusing full width (0.8) with MOE (half); round as needed but keep decimals accurate. In transfers, find the central 95% spread and divide by two for your MOE from simulation data.

Question 4

A community center wants to estimate the population parameter ppp, the proportion of all local residents who would attend a free weekend class. A random sample of 300 residents found that 147 said “yes,” so the sample statistic is p^=147/300=0.49\hat p = 147/300 = 0.49p^​=147/300=0.49 (49%). Students used simulation to model repeated random sampling of size 300. Their summary said: “In 1,000 simulated samples, about 95% of the simulated sample proportions were within 0.06 of 0.49.”

What does the margin of error mean in context?

  1. If many random samples of 300 residents were taken, the sample statistic p^\hat pp^​ would typically be within about 0.06 of the population parameter ppp. (correct answer)
  2. The population parameter ppp changes by about 0.06 from sample to sample.
  3. About 95% of individual residents have a true probability between 0.43 and 0.55 of attending.
  4. The simulation guarantees the true population parameter ppp is between 0.43 and 0.55.

Explanation: Simulation estimates the margin of error for the proportion p of residents attending a class. By simulating repeated samples, we get a distribution of sample proportions showing expected variability. The MOE is the distance from the center that includes about 95% of these proportions, like ±0.06 here. The simulation found 95% within 0.06 of 0.49, meaning sample proportions typically fall within 0.06 of the true p. This interprets the MOE as how close our sample statistic likely is to the population parameter in repeated sampling. A misconception is thinking MOE is the full width (0.12) rather than half; also, it's not about individual probabilities but sample statistics. To transfer, find the middle 95% deviation in simulations and use half as MOE for interpretation.

Question 5

A community center wants to estimate the population parameter ppp, the proportion of all families in the community that attend at least one event each month. A random sample of n=100n=100n=100 families gave a sample statistic p^=0.40\hat{p}=0.40p^​=0.40 (40%). Students simulated 1,000 repeated random samples of size 100 and found that the middle 95% of simulated sample proportions ranged from 0.31 to 0.49.

What margin of error is supported by the simulation (in percentage points)?

  1. 0.09 percentage points
  2. 18 percentage points
  3. 9 percentage points (correct answer)
  4. 40 percentage points

Explanation: The concept involves simulating to estimate margin of error for the population proportion p of event attendees. Repeated samples of size 100 create a distribution around the sample's 0.40. MOE is half the interval width that holds 95% of simulated proportions, reflecting variability. The middle 95% is 0.31 to 0.49 (31% to 49%), width 18 points, so MOE is 9 percentage points. Thus, p is estimated at 40% ± 9 points. People often forget to convert to percentage points; here it's specified. In general, find the 95% range in the simulation and halve its width for MOE.

Question 6

A school wants to estimate the population parameter ppp, the proportion of all students at the school who usually bring a reusable water bottle. A random sample of 200 students found that 118 brought a reusable bottle, so the sample statistic is p^=118/200=0.59\hat p = 118/200 = 0.59p^​=118/200=0.59 (59%). To model random sampling variability, students ran a simulation of 1,000 random samples of size 200 from a population where the proportion is unknown, but centered at the observed sample statistic. In the simulation, about 95% of the simulated sample proportions were between 0.53 and 0.65.

Which interval is a reasonable estimate range for the population parameter ppp based on the simulation?

  1. 0.560.560.56 to 0.620.620.62
  2. 0.590.590.59 to 0.650.650.65
  3. 0.060.060.06 to 0.120.120.12
  4. 0.530.530.53 to 0.650.650.65 (correct answer)

Explanation: We're using simulation to estimate a margin of error for the population proportion p of students bringing reusable water bottles. By taking repeated random samples, we create a distribution of sample proportions that shows how much they vary due to random sampling. The margin of error is the typical distance from the center of this distribution that captures about 95% of the simulated results, giving us a sense of sampling variability. From the simulation, 95% of the sample proportions fell between 0.53 and 0.65, so the interval from 0.53 to 0.65 represents a plausible range for the true p. This means the population proportion is likely somewhere in that range, based on the observed sample of 0.59. A common misconception is confusing the full interval width (0.12) with the margin of error, which is actually half that (0.06) on each side. To apply this elsewhere, just find the middle 95% spread in your simulation and halve it for the MOE.

Question 7

A store wants to estimate the population parameter μ\muμ, the mean amount (in dollars) customers spend per visit. A random sample of n=80n=80n=80 customers had a sample statistic xˉ=24.50\bar{x}=24.50xˉ=24.50. Students used a simulation with 3,000 repeated random samples of size 80 and recorded the sample mean each time. The simulation showed that about 95% of the simulated sample means were within \2.00 of \24.50.

Which interval is a reasonable estimate range for the population parameter μ\muμ?

  1. \22.50tototo$26.50$ (correct answer)
  2. \20.50tototo$28.50$
  3. \24.50tototo$26.50$
  4. \24.48tototo$24.52$

Explanation: We're using simulation to estimate the margin of error for the population mean μ of spending per visit. Simulations of size 80 samples build a distribution of means around the observed 24.50.MOEishalfthewidthenclosing9524.50. MOE is half the width enclosing 95% of these means, showing expected fluctuation. The simulation has 95% within 24.50.MOEishalfthewidthenclosing952.00 of 24.50,sotheintervalis24.50, so the interval is 24.50,sotheintervalis22.50 to $26.50. This is a solid range for μ. A misconception is using percent instead of dollars; stick to the units given. To transfer, identify the 95% spread in simulations and take half as MOE or use the full interval as asked.

Question 8

A student council wants to estimate the population parameter ppp, the proportion of all students who prefer a new lunch option. A random sample of n=300n=300n=300 students found a sample statistic p^=0.54\hat{p}=0.54p^​=0.54 (54%). Students ran a simulation and summarized: in 2,000 repeated random samples of size 300, about 95% of the simulated sample proportions were between 0.49 and 0.59.

What margin of error is supported by the simulation for estimating ppp?

  1. 0.54
  2. 0.05 (correct answer)
  3. 0.10
  4. 5% written as 0.005

Explanation: This simulation estimates the margin of error for the population proportion p preferring a lunch option. Repeated samples of size 300 produce a distribution of proportions centered at the sample's 0.54. The MOE is the offset from the center covering 95% of simulated values, indicating reliability. With 95% between 0.49 and 0.59, the width is 0.10, so MOE is 0.05. This means p is likely 0.54 ± 0.05. Don't mix up percent (5%) with decimal (0.05); the choices are in decimals. For other cases, find the middle 95% in the simulation and halve its width to get MOE.

Question 9

A company wants to estimate the population parameter μ\muμ, the mean number of hours per week all employees spend in meetings. A random sample of 40 employees gave a sample mean (sample statistic) of xˉ=6.8\bar x = 6.8xˉ=6.8 hours. Students simulated 1,000 repeated random samples of size 40 and found that about 95% of the simulated sample means were between 5.6 and 8.0 hours.

Which interval is a reasonable estimate range for the population parameter μ\muμ based on the simulation?

  1. 6.8±8.06.8 \pm 8.06.8±8.0 hours
  2. 5.65.65.6 to 8.08.08.0 hours (correct answer)
  3. 5.65.65.6 to 6.86.86.8 hours
  4. 6.86.86.8 to 8.08.08.0 hours

Explanation: We're employing simulation to gauge the margin of error for the mean μ of hours employees spend in meetings. Repeated samples produce a distribution of sample means, highlighting sampling variation. The MOE is the typical offset from the sample mean that captures 95% of simulated means. The simulation indicates 95% between 5.6 and 8.0 hours, making that a plausible interval for μ around the observed 6.8. This range accounts for uncertainty in estimating the true population mean. Avoid confusing the full interval (2.4 hours wide) with the MOE (±1.2 hours); it's half the width. In future scenarios, spot the middle 95% in your simulation and divide its spread by two for the MOE.

Question 10

A cafeteria manager wants to estimate the population parameter ppp, the proportion of all customers who choose a vegetarian option on a given day. A random sample of 150 customers found 39 chose vegetarian, so the sample statistic is p^=39/150=0.26\hat p = 39/150 = 0.26p^​=39/150=0.26 (26%). Students ran a simulation of 1,000 repeated random samples of size 150, and about 95% of simulated sample proportions were between 0.19 and 0.33.

Which interval is a reasonable estimate range for the population parameter ppp based on the simulation? (Use proportions, not percents.)

  1. 0.070.070.07 to 0.140.140.14
  2. 0.190.190.19 to 0.330.330.33 (correct answer)
  3. 0.220.220.22 to 0.300.300.30
  4. 0.260.260.26 to 0.330.330.33

Explanation: We're using simulation to estimate the margin of error for the proportion p choosing vegetarian options. Repeated samples build a distribution of proportions, showing variability. MOE is the distance from the center enclosing 95% of simulations. The 95% range from 0.19 to 0.33 identifies a plausible interval for p around 0.26. This interval reflects likely values for the true proportion. Misconception: full width (0.14) isn't MOE—it's ±0.07; use proportions, not percents unless specified. Spot the middle 95% in simulations and halve the spread for MOE in similar problems.

Question 11

A library wants to estimate the population parameter ppp, the proportion of all library visitors who check out at least one book. A random sample of n=60n=60n=60 visitors was observed, and the sample statistic was p^=0.55\hat p=0.55p^​=0.55 (55%). A simulation repeatedly took 1,000 random samples of size 60 from a large list of library visits and recorded p^\hat pp^​ each time. The simulation summary said: “About 95% of the simulated p^\hat pp^​ values were within 0.08 of 0.55.”

Which interval is a reasonable estimate range for the population parameter ppp? (Write endpoints as decimals.)

  1. 0.5420.5420.542 to 0.5580.5580.558
  2. 0.390.390.39 to 0.710.710.71
  3. 0.550.550.55 to 0.630.630.63
  4. 0.470.470.47 to 0.630.630.63 (correct answer)

Explanation: This problem uses simulation to estimate the proportion of library visitors who check out books. The simulation tells us that about 95% of sample proportions (from samples of size 60) fall within 0.08 of 0.55. This means the margin of error is 0.08, so our estimate interval extends from 0.55 - 0.08 = 0.47 to 0.55 + 0.08 = 0.63. This interval (0.47 to 0.63) represents the plausible range for the true population proportion based on our sampling method and the observed variability in the simulation. A common error would be to misinterpret "within 0.08" as meaning only above 0.55, giving 0.55 to 0.63, but the margin of error works in both directions. Another mistake would be to use an overly precise interval like 0.542 to 0.558. The simulation evidence supports 0.47 to 0.63 as our estimate for the proportion of all library visitors who check out at least one book.

Question 12

A cafeteria wants to estimate the population parameter μ\muμ, the mean amount (in dollars) that students spend on lunch. A random sample of n=75n=75n=75 students was selected, and the sample statistic was xˉ=6.20\bar x=6.20xˉ=6.20. A simulation repeatedly took 1,000 random samples of size 75 from a large list of cafeteria purchases and recorded xˉ\bar xxˉ each time. In the simulation, about 95% of the simulated sample means were between 5.805.805.80 and 6.606.606.60.

Which interval is a reasonable estimate range for the population parameter μ\muμ?

  1. 6.20±0.206.20 \pm 0.206.20±0.20 (so 6.006.006.00 to 6.406.406.40)
  2. 6.20±0.806.20 \pm 0.806.20±0.80 (so 5.405.405.40 to 7.007.007.00)
  3. 6.20±0.406.20 \pm 0.406.20±0.40 (so 5.805.805.80 to 6.606.606.60) (correct answer)
  4. 6.20±6.206.20 \pm 6.206.20±6.20 (so 0.000.000.00 to 12.4012.4012.40)

Explanation: This problem asks us to identify the estimate interval for mean lunch spending based on simulation results. The simulation shows that when we take samples of 75 students, about 95% of the sample means fall between 5.80and5.80 and 5.80and6.60. This interval directly provides our estimate for the population mean μ. We can also express this as the sample mean plus or minus the margin of error: 6.20±6.20 ± 6.20±0.40, since the distance from 6.20toeither6.20 to either 6.20toeither5.80 or 6.60is6.60 is 6.60is0.40. This gives us the interval 5.80to5.80 to 5.80to6.60 as our estimate. A common mistake would be to double the margin of error (using ±0.80)ortousejusthalfofit(±0.80) or to use just half of it (±0.80)ortousejusthalfofit(±0.20), but the simulation clearly shows the 95% interval spans from 5.80to5.80 to 5.80to6.60. This interval represents our best estimate for the true mean amount all students spend on lunch, based on the sampling variability observed in the simulation.

Question 13

A store wants to estimate the population parameter ppp, the proportion of all customers who prefer self-checkout. A random sample of n=120n=120n=120 customers was surveyed, and the sample statistic was p^=0.45\hat p=0.45p^​=0.45 (45%). A simulation repeatedly took 1,000 random samples of size 120 from a large list of customers and recorded p^\hat pp^​ each time. The simulation summary said: “In about 95% of the samples, p^\hat pp^​ was within 0.06 of 0.45.”

What does the margin of error mean in context?

  1. The population parameter ppp is guaranteed to be between 0.39 and 0.51.
  2. The margin of error is 0.45 because that is the sample statistic.
  3. About 95% of individual customers prefer self-checkout.
  4. Using this sampling method, the sample statistic p^\hat pp^​ is typically within about 0.06 (6 percentage points) of the population parameter ppp. (correct answer)

Explanation: This problem asks about interpreting the margin of error in context. The simulation tells us that when we take random samples of 120 customers, about 95% of the time the sample proportion (p̂) falls within 0.06 of 0.45. This margin of error of 0.06 (or 6 percentage points) represents the typical distance between a sample statistic and the true population parameter when using this sampling method. In other words, if we use this sampling approach, we can expect our sample proportion to typically be within about 6 percentage points of the true population proportion. This doesn't mean 95% of customers prefer self-checkout (that confuses the margin with the actual proportion), nor does it guarantee the exact location of p. The margin of error describes the reliability of our sampling method, not properties of individual customers or absolute certainties about the parameter.

Question 14

A city wants to estimate the population parameter μ\muμ, the mean number of minutes it takes residents to commute to work. A random sample of n=50n=50n=50 residents reported their commute times, and the sample statistic was xˉ=32\bar x=32xˉ=32 minutes. A simulation repeatedly took 2,000 random samples of size 50 from a large database of city commutes and recorded xˉ\bar xxˉ each time. In the simulation, about 95% of the simulated sample means were between 28 and 36 minutes.

What margin of error is supported by the simulation for estimating μ\muμ?

  1. ±4\pm 4±4 minutes (correct answer)
  2. ±2\pm 2±2 minutes
  3. ±32\pm 32±32 minutes
  4. ±8\pm 8±8 minutes

Explanation: This problem asks for the margin of error when estimating the mean commute time using simulation. The simulation took 2,000 random samples of size 50 and found that about 95% of the sample means fell between 28 and 36 minutes. The margin of error (MOE) is the typical distance from the center of this interval to either endpoint - it tells us how far our sample statistic might typically be from the true population parameter. The center of the interval from 28 to 36 is 32 minutes (which matches our sample mean), and the distance from 32 to either endpoint is 4 minutes. So the margin of error is ±4 minutes. A common mistake is to use the full width of the interval (8 minutes) as the margin of error, but remember that MOE is the half-width. This means we can estimate the population mean commute time as 32 ± 4 minutes, or between 28 and 36 minutes.

Question 15

A music club wants to estimate the population parameter μ\muμ, the mean number of songs students have downloaded in the past month. A random sample of n=30n=30n=30 students was taken, and the sample statistic was xˉ=18\bar x=18xˉ=18 songs. A simulation repeatedly took 2,000 random samples of size 30 from a large list of students and recorded xˉ\bar xxˉ each time. In the simulation, about 95% of the simulated sample means were between 14 and 22 songs.

Which interval is a reasonable estimate range for the population parameter μ\muμ?

  1. 141414 to 222222 (correct answer)
  2. 161616 to 202020
  3. 181818 to 222222
  4. 101010 to 262626

Explanation: This problem uses simulation to estimate the mean number of songs students downloaded. The simulation repeatedly took samples of 30 students and found that about 95% of the sample means fell between 14 and 22 songs. This interval represents the typical range of sample means we'd observe with this sampling method, which directly translates to our estimate for the population mean. Since the simulation shows sample means typically range from 14 to 22 songs, and our sample mean of 18 falls right in the middle, the interval 14 to 22 songs is our best estimate for the true population mean μ. A common misconception might be to use a narrower interval like 16 to 20, but the simulation evidence clearly shows the 95% spread goes from 14 to 22. The margin of error here would be ±4 songs (the distance from 18 to either endpoint). This interval accounts for the sampling variability and gives us a plausible range for the true mean number of songs downloaded by all students.

Question 16

A school wants to estimate the population parameter ppp, the proportion of all students at the school who usually bring a reusable water bottle. A random sample of n=80n=80n=80 students was surveyed, and the sample statistic was p^=0.60\hat p=0.60p^​=0.60 (60%). To model sampling variability, a simulation repeatedly took 1,000 random samples of size 80 from a large list representing the school and recorded p^\hat pp^​ each time. In the simulation, about 95% of the simulated p^\hat pp^​ values were between 0.50 and 0.70.

Which interval is a reasonable estimate range for the population parameter ppp based on this simulation?

  1. 0.100.100.10 to 0.900.900.90
  2. 0.600.600.60 to 0.800.800.80
  3. 0.500.500.50 to 0.700.700.70 (correct answer)
  4. 0.550.550.55 to 0.650.650.65

Explanation: This problem uses simulation to estimate a margin of error for the population proportion of students who bring reusable water bottles. When we repeatedly take random samples of size 80, each sample gives us a different sample proportion (p̂), creating a distribution of sample statistics. The simulation tells us that about 95% of these sample proportions fell between 0.50 and 0.70, which means this interval captures the typical spread of results we'd expect from this sampling process. Since our actual sample gave p̂ = 0.60, and the simulation shows sample proportions typically vary between 0.50 and 0.70, this 0.50 to 0.70 interval represents a plausible range for the true population proportion p. A common misconception is thinking we need to calculate something new from these bounds, but the simulation already gives us the interval directly. The key insight is that if sample proportions typically fall in this range, then working backwards, the true population proportion likely generated these samples.

Question 17

A library wants to estimate the population parameter ppp, the proportion of all library visitors who prefer e-books over printed books. A random sample of n=120n=120n=120 visitors was surveyed, and the sample statistic was p^=0.35\hat{p}=0.35p^​=0.35.

Students ran a simulation of repeated random sampling (5,000 samples of size 120) using a model where the true proportion is 0.35. They found that about 95% of the simulated sample proportions were within 0.08 of 0.35.

What does the margin of error mean in context?

  1. About 95% of random samples of 120 visitors will have p^\hat{p}p^​ within 8 percentage points of the true population proportion ppp. (correct answer)
  2. About 95% of individual visitors prefer e-books, within 8 percentage points.
  3. The true population proportion ppp is guaranteed to be between 0.27 and 0.43.
  4. The margin of error is 0.35 because that is the sample statistic.

Explanation: This problem asks about interpreting what a margin of error means in context. The simulation shows that when we repeatedly take random samples of 120 visitors, about 95% of those sample proportions fall within 0.08 (or 8 percentage points) of the true population proportion. This margin of error tells us about the reliability of our sampling process—it describes how much sample proportions typically vary from the true population value. The correct interpretation is that about 95% of random samples of 120 visitors will have sample proportions within 8 percentage points of the true population proportion. A common misconception is thinking the margin applies to individual visitors rather than to sample statistics. The margin of error describes sampling variability, not individual behavior. To interpret margin of error correctly, focus on what happens across many random samples, not on guarantees about the true value or individual data points.

Question 18

A pet store chain wants to estimate the population parameter ppp, the proportion of all customers who buy pet food at least once per month. A random sample of n=250n=250n=250 customers gave a sample statistic p^=0.72\hat{p}=0.72p^​=0.72.

A simulation of repeated random sampling (2,500 samples of size 250) produced a distribution of simulated sample proportions. The store summarized the simulation: “About 95% of simulated p^\hat{p}p^​ values were between 0.68 and 0.76.”

Which interval is a reasonable estimate range for the population parameter ppp? (Answer in percent.)

  1. 68% to 76% (correct answer)
  2. 72% to 76%
  3. 64% to 80%
  4. 0.68% to 0.76%

Explanation: This problem asks us to estimate the population proportion using simulation results. The simulation shows that about 95% of sample proportions fell between 0.68 and 0.76 when repeatedly sampling 250 customers. Since the question asks for the answer in percent form, this interval becomes 68% to 76%, which represents our estimate range for the true proportion of all customers who buy pet food monthly. The margin of error is ±4 percentage points (since 72% - 68% = 4% and 76% - 72% = 4%), indicating how much sample proportions typically vary from the true value. A common error is expressing the answer in decimal form (like 0.68% to 0.76%) instead of converting properly to percentages. When simulation gives you a range in decimal form, multiply by 100 to convert to percentages. The key insight is that the simulation interval directly provides your confidence interval for estimating the population parameter.

Question 19

A park manager wants to estimate the population parameter ppp, the proportion of park visitors who arrive by bicycle on weekends. A random sample of n=100n=100n=100 visitors had a sample statistic p^=0.18\hat{p}=0.18p^​=0.18.

Students ran a simulation of 10,000 repeated random samples of size 100. They reported: “About 95% of simulated sample proportions were between 0.11 and 0.25.”

What margin of error is supported by this simulation (in percentage points)?

  1. ±7\pm 7±7 percentage points (correct answer)
  2. ±14\pm 14±14 percentage points
  3. ±0.07\pm 0.07±0.07 percentage points
  4. ±18\pm 18±18 percentage points

Explanation: This problem asks for the margin of error in percentage points based on simulation results. The simulation shows that about 95% of sample proportions fell between 0.11 and 0.25 when repeatedly sampling 100 visitors. To find the margin of error, calculate half the width of this interval: (0.25 - 0.11)/2 = 0.14/2 = 0.07. Since we need the answer in percentage points, we convert: 0.07 = 7 percentage points, so the margin of error is ±7 percentage points. This means that when we take random samples of 100 visitors, the sample proportion typically varies by about 7 percentage points from the true proportion who arrive by bicycle. A common mistake is forgetting to convert from decimal to percentage form or reporting the full width (14 percentage points) instead of the half-width. Remember that margin of error is always expressed as a ± value representing the typical distance from the center.

Question 20

A recreation center wants to estimate the population parameter μ\muμ, the mean number of days per week adults in the community exercise. A random sample of n=60n=60n=60 adults reported a sample statistic xˉ=3.9\bar{x}=3.9xˉ=3.9 days.

Using a simulation of 1,000 repeated random samples of size 60, students found that the middle 95% of simulated sample means ran from 3.4 to 4.4 days.

Which interval is a reasonable estimate range for the population parameter μ\muμ?

  1. 3.43.43.4 to 4.44.44.4 days (correct answer)
  2. 3.93.93.9 to 4.44.44.4 days
  3. 3.03.03.0 to 4.84.84.8 days
  4. 3.43.43.4 to 3.93.93.9 days

Explanation: This question uses simulation to estimate a reasonable interval for the population mean number of exercise days. The simulation shows that when we take repeated samples of 60 adults, the middle 95% of sample means range from 3.4 to 4.4 days. This interval directly gives us our estimate range for the true population mean—we can be reasonably confident that the average number of days all adults in the community exercise falls between 3.4 and 4.4 days per week. The margin of error here is ±0.5 days (since 3.9 - 3.4 = 0.5 and 4.4 - 3.9 = 0.5). A common mistake is to use only part of the interval or to center it incorrectly. When simulation gives you the middle 95% range, that entire interval becomes your estimate for the population parameter. The strategy is straightforward: the simulation interval becomes your confidence interval for the true population value.