Statistics Graduate Level Quiz: Random Variables And Distributions
10 questions · exam conditions
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Random Variables And DistributionsQuestion 1 of 10

A random variable XX has density fX(x)=(1+x)/2f_X(x)=(1+x)/2 for 1<x<1-1<x<1 and zero otherwise. If Y=X2Y=X^2, which expression is the CDF of YY for 0<y<10<y<1?

FY(y)=2sqrt(y)yF_Y(y)=2sqrt(y)-y
FY(y)=yF_Y(y)=y
FY(y)=[sqrt(y)+y]/2F_Y(y)=[sqrt(y)+y]/2
FY(y)=sqrt(y)F_Y(y)=sqrt(y)
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Statistics Graduate Level Quiz

Statistics Graduate Level Quiz: Random Variables And Distributions

Practice Random Variables And Distributions in Statistics Graduate Level with focused quiz questions that help you check what you know, review explanations, and build confidence with test-style prompts.

What this quiz covers

This quiz focuses on Random Variables And Distributions, giving you a quick way to practice the rules, question types, and explanations that matter most for Statistics Graduate Level.

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Try each quiz question before looking at the correct answer. Use the explanations to review missed ideas, then come back to similar questions until the pattern feels familiar.

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Question 1

A random variable XX has density fX(x)=(1+x)/2f_X(x)=(1+x)/2 for 1<x<1-1<x<1 and zero otherwise. If Y=X2Y=X^2, which expression is the CDF of YY for 0<y<10<y<1?

  1. FY(y)=2sqrt(y)yF_Y(y)=2sqrt(y)-y
  2. FY(y)=yF_Y(y)=y
  3. FY(y)=[sqrt(y)+y]/2F_Y(y)=[sqrt(y)+y]/2
  4. FY(y)=sqrt(y)F_Y(y)=sqrt(y) (correct answer)
Explanation: When a transformation like Y=X2Y = X^2 maps both negative and positive values of XX to the same value of YY, you must account for both branches of the inverse transformation when computing the CDF. For 0<y<10 < y < 1, the event {Yy}={X2y}={yXy}\{Y \leq y\} = \{X^2 \leq y\} = \{-\sqrt{y} \leq X \leq \sqrt{y}\}. So the CDF is: FY(y)=yy1+x2dxF_Y(y) = \int_{-\sqrt{y}}^{\sqrt{y}} \frac{1+x}{2}\, dx Split the integral: =yy12dx+yyx2dx= \int_{-\sqrt{y}}^{\sqrt{y}} \frac{1}{2}\, dx + \int_{-\sqrt{y}}^{\sqrt{y}} \frac{x}{2}\, dx The first integral gives 12(2y)=y\frac{1}{2}(2\sqrt{y}) = \sqrt{y}. The second integral vanishes because x/2x/2 is an odd function integrated over a symmetric interval. Therefore FY(y)=yF_Y(y) = \sqrt{y}, confirming answer D. Now consider why the distractors fail. Answer A, 2yy2\sqrt{y} - y, likely comes from incorrectly integrating only over [0,y][0, \sqrt{y}] and doubling, while mishandling the xx term. Answer B, FY(y)=yF_Y(y) = y, is the CDF of a Uniform(0,1) — it ignores the non-uniform density entirely and is a classic distractor. Answer C, [y+y]/2[\sqrt{y} + y]/2, retains the yy term as if the odd-function integral contributed, reflecting a failure to recognize the symmetry cancellation. As a strategy: whenever you integrate an asymmetric density over a symmetric interval, always check whether pieces of the integrand are odd functions — they cancel and simplify your work considerably. This symmetry argument is a frequent shortcut on graduate-level problems.

Question 2

A device lifetime XX is zero with probability 0.30.3. Conditional on being positive, it has an exponential distribution with rate 11. The recorded lifetime is censored at time 11, so the observed random variable is Y=min(X,1)Y=min(X,1).

Which description gives the complete distribution of YY?

  1. An atom of size 0.30.3 at 00, density 0.7ey0.7e^{-y} on 0<y<10<y<1, and an atom of size 0.7e10.7e^{-1} at 11. (correct answer)
  2. An atom of size 0.30.3 at 00, density eye^{-y} on 0<y<10<y<1, and an atom of size e1e^{-1} at 11.
  3. No atom at 00, density 0.7ey0.7e^{-y} on 0<y<10<y<1, and an atom of size 0.3+0.7e10.3+0.7e^{-1} at 11.
  4. An atom of size 0.30.3 at 00, density 0.7ey0.7e^{-y} on 0<y<10<y<1, and no atom at 11.
Explanation: When you encounter a mixed distribution (one that has both discrete mass points and a continuous density), your job is to carefully track every place probability accumulates. Here, XX is a mixture: point mass 0.30.3 at zero, and with probability 0.70.7 it's Exp(1)\text{Exp}(1). Censoring at 11 means Y=min(X,1)Y = \min(X, 1), so you need to find probability at y=0y=0, density on (0,1)(0,1), and probability at y=1y=1. At y=0y=0: Y=0Y=0 only when X=0X=0, which happens with probability 0.30.3. So there's an atom of size 0.30.3 at zero. On (0,1)(0,1): Y=yY=y when X=y(0,1)X=y\in(0,1), which requires XX to be positive (probability 0.70.7) and exponentially distributed at that value. The density is 0.7ey0.7 \cdot e^{-y} for 0<y<10 < y < 1. At y=1y=1: Y=1Y=1 when X1X \geq 1, which happens with probability 0.7P(Exp(1)1)=0.7e10.7 \cdot P(\text{Exp}(1)\geq 1) = 0.7e^{-1}. So there's an atom of size 0.7e10.7e^{-1} at one. You can verify: 0.3+010.7eydy+0.7e1=0.3+0.7(1e1)+0.7e1=10.3 + \int_0^1 0.7e^{-y}\,dy + 0.7e^{-1} = 0.3 + 0.7(1-e^{-1}) + 0.7e^{-1} = 1. ✓ This confirms A is correct. B omits the 0.70.7 mixing weight, giving an unnormalized distribution. C incorrectly removes the atom at zero and bundles it into the atom at one, misidentifying when Y=0Y=0 occurs. D correctly handles zero and the density but ignores the censoring atom at 11, losing probability mass. Always verify a mixed distribution by checking that atoms plus integrated density sum to exactly 11 — this instantly catches missing or misplaced mass.

Question 3

Random variables XX and YY both have uniform marginal distributions on [0,1][0,1]. Their joint CDF on [0,1]2[0,1]^2 is FX,Y(x,y)=min(x,y)F_{X,Y}(x,y)=min(x,y). Let W=X+YW=X+Y.

Which expression gives FW(w)F_W(w) for 0<=w<=20<=w<=2?

  1. FW(w)=sqrt(w/2)F_W(w)=sqrt(w/2) for 0<=w<=20<=w<=2
  2. FW(w)=w2/2F_W(w)=w^2/2 for 0<=w<=10<=w<=1 and FW(w)=1(2w)2/2F_W(w)=1-(2-w)^2/2 for 1<w<=21<w<=2
  3. FW(w)=wF_W(w)=w for 0<=w<=10<=w<=1 and FW(w)=1F_W(w)=1 for 1<w<=21<w<=2
  4. FW(w)=w/2F_W(w)=w/2 (correct answer)
Explanation: When you see a joint distribution defined by FX,Y(x,y)=min(x,y)F_{X,Y}(x,y) = \min(x,y), recognize immediately that this is the Fréchet upper bound copula, which forces X=YX = Y almost surely. That is, this joint CDF describes perfect positive dependence — XX and YY are not independent; they are literally the same random variable. To confirm this, notice that the joint density would be concentrated on the diagonal x=yx = y, meaning P(X=Y)=1P(X = Y) = 1. Therefore W=X+Y=2XW = X + Y = 2X almost surely. Since XUniform(0,1)X \sim \text{Uniform}(0,1), we have W=2XUniform(0,2)W = 2X \sim \text{Uniform}(0,2). The CDF of a Uniform(0,2)\text{Uniform}(0,2) random variable is simply FW(w)=w/2F_W(w) = w/2 for 0w20 \leq w \leq 2, confirming answer D. Answer B is the classic trap — it gives the correct CDF for W=X+YW = X + Y when XX and YY are independent uniforms. This is the convolution result students often memorize, but it completely ignores the dependence structure encoded in the joint CDF. Answer A introduces a square root form with no probabilistic justification; it doesn't correspond to any standard distribution arising from this setup. Answer C implies WW is uniform on [0,1][0,1], which would require WW to stay bounded by 1 — impossible when both XX and YY range up to 1. The key study tip: always extract the dependence structure before computing a sum's distribution. If XX and YY are not independent, convolution does not apply — analyze the joint behavior first.

Question 4

Suppose two random variables have CDFs satisfying FX(t)FY(t)F_X(t) \geq F_Y(t) for every real tt. No assumption is made about their joint distribution. Which conclusion is guaranteed solely by this condition?

  1. Under every possible coupling of XX and YY, we have P(XY)=1P(X \leq Y)=1.
  2. There exists a coupling under which P(XY)=1P(X \leq Y)=1, but an arbitrary coupling need not have this property. (correct answer)
  3. There exists a coupling under which P(XY)=1P(X \geq Y)=1, because FX(t)FY(t)F_X(t) \geq F_Y(t) places XX stochastically to the right of YY.
  4. For every bounded increasing function gg, the inequality E[g(X)]E[g(Y)]E[g(X)] \geq E[g(Y)] holds.
Explanation: When you see a condition like FX(t)FY(t)F_X(t) \geq F_Y(t) for all tt, you're looking at first-order stochastic dominance — a concept that connects marginal CDFs to the existence of special joint distributions called couplings. The key insight is that a statement about marginal CDFs says nothing about how XX and YY are jointly distributed; you must reason carefully about what is and isn't guaranteed across all possible joint distributions. The correct answer is B. When FX(t)FY(t)F_X(t) \geq F_Y(t) for all tt, XX is stochastically smaller than YY — its distribution is shifted left. The Strassen/quantile coupling theorem guarantees that you can always construct a joint distribution where P(XY)=1P(X \leq Y) = 1 by pairing quantiles: set X=FX1(U)X = F_X^{-1}(U) and Y=FY1(U)Y = F_Y^{-1}(U) for the same uniform UU. Since FXFYF_X \geq F_Y implies FX1FY1F_X^{-1} \leq F_Y^{-1}, this coupling delivers XYX \leq Y almost surely. However, if you choose an arbitrary joint distribution — say, making XX and YY independent — there is no such guarantee. A is wrong because "every coupling" is far too strong; you can construct couplings where X>YX > Y with positive probability. C reverses the direction. FX(t)FY(t)F_X(t) \geq F_Y(t) means XX has more probability mass to the left, so XX is stochastically smaller, not larger. The coupling P(XY)=1P(X \geq Y) = 1 would require XX to dominate YY, which is the opposite condition. D is also backwards. For a bounded increasing gg, stochastic dominance of YY over XX gives E[g(Y)]E[g(X)]E[g(Y)] \geq E[g(X)], not the other way around. Study tip: Always check the direction of stochastic dominance carefully — FXFYF_X \geq F_Y means XX is smaller in distribution. Pair this with the quantile coupling construction as your go-to proof technique for existence results.

Question 5

For each positive integer nn, let XnX_n equal 1/n1/n with probability 1/21/2 and 1+1/n1+1/n with probability 1/21/2. Let XX equal 00 with probability 1/21/2 and 11 with probability 1/21/2.

Which statement about the distribution functions FnF_n and FF is correct?

  1. XnX_n does not converge in distribution to XX because Fn(0)F_n(0) does not converge to F(0)F(0).
  2. XnX_n converges in distribution to XX even though convergence fails at the discontinuity x=0x=0 of FF. (correct answer)
  3. XnX_n converges in distribution to the constant 1/21/2 because each variable has two equally likely values.
  4. XnX_n converges in distribution to XX only if Fn(x)F_n(x) converges to F(x)F(x) at every real xx.
Explanation: Convergence in distribution has a precise definition that trips up many students: XndXX_n \xrightarrow{d} X if and only if Fn(x)F(x)F_n(x) \to F(x) at every continuity point of FF. This exemption for discontinuity points is not a loophole — it is fundamental to the definition. Here, Fn(x)=0F_n(x) = 0 for x<1/nx < 1/n, jumps to 1/21/2 at x=1/nx = 1/n, and jumps to 11 at x=1+1/nx = 1 + 1/n. Meanwhile, F(x)=0F(x) = 0 for x<0x < 0, jumps to 1/21/2 at x=0x = 0, and jumps to 11 at x=1x = 1. The continuity points of FF are all x{0,1}x \notin \{0, 1\}. At any such point, you can verify Fn(x)F(x)F_n(x) \to F(x): for example, at x=0.5x = 0.5, Fn(0.5)=1/21/2=F(0.5)F_n(0.5) = 1/2 \to 1/2 = F(0.5). So B is correct — convergence in distribution holds even though Fn(0)=0↛1/2=F(0)F_n(0) = 0 \not\to 1/2 = F(0). A misidentifies what the definition requires. Failure at a discontinuity of FF is explicitly permitted and does not block convergence in distribution. C is nonsense — having two equally likely values does not pin down a limiting distribution; the actual values matter. D states a stricter condition than necessary and is flatly false as a characterization of convergence in distribution. Study tip: Whenever convergence in distribution is tested, immediately ask yourself: where is FF continuous? Pointwise convergence at discontinuities of FF is neither required nor expected — only continuity points count.

Question 6

For a constant cc, consider the function FF defined by F(x)=0F(x)=0 for x<0x<0, F(x)=cF(x)=c for 0<=x<10<=x<1, and F(x)=1(1/2)e(x1)F(x)=1-(1/2)e^{-(x-1)} for x>=1x>=1. Which statement correctly characterizes when FF is a cumulative distribution function and the resulting probability at x=1x=1?

  1. FF is a CDF only when c=1/2c=1/2, in which case P(X=1)=0P(X=1)=0.
  2. FF is a CDF for 0<=c<=1/20<=c<=1/2, and then P(X=1)=1/2cP(X=1)=1/2-c. (correct answer)
  3. FF is a CDF for 0<=c<1/20<=c<1/2, and then P(X=1)=1/2P(X=1)=1/2.
  4. FF is a CDF for 1/2<=c<=11/2<=c<=1, and then P(X=1)=c1/2P(X=1)=c-1/2.
Explanation: When analyzing whether a piecewise function qualifies as a CDF, you need to verify three properties: right-continuity, non-decreasing behavior, and boundary conditions (limits of 0 and 1 at -\infty and ++\infty). The trickiest requirement here is ensuring no decrease occurs at the junction point x=1x = 1. Evaluate the given pieces at the junction. The left-hand limit as x1x \to 1^- is cc (from the middle piece), and the function's value at x=1x = 1 from the right piece is F(1)=112e0=112=12F(1) = 1 - \frac{1}{2}e^0 = 1 - \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{2}. For FF to be non-decreasing, you need c12c \leq \frac{1}{2}. Also, since F(x)=0F(x) = 0 for x<0x < 0 and cc for 0x<10 \leq x < 1, you need c0c \geq 0 for non-decrease there. So FF is a valid CDF precisely when 0c120 \leq c \leq \frac{1}{2}. The atom (point mass) at x=1x = 1 equals the jump: P(X=1)=F(1)F(1)=12cP(X = 1) = F(1) - F(1^-) = \frac{1}{2} - c. This confirms B is correct. Choice A is too restrictive — it claims only c=12c = \frac{1}{2} works, but any c[0,12]c \in [0, \frac{1}{2}] satisfies the CDF requirements. Choice C wrongly excludes c=12c = \frac{1}{2} (which is valid) and incorrectly states P(X=1)=12P(X=1) = \frac{1}{2} regardless of cc. Choice D gets the inequality backwards; values c>12c > \frac{1}{2} would cause FF to decrease at x=1x = 1, violating the non-decreasing requirement. Your strategy: always check junction points in piecewise CDFs by comparing left-hand limits with the function's value — that difference directly gives the point mass at that location.

Question 7

Let X1,X2,X3X_1,X_2,X_3 be independent and identically distributed. Each variable equals 00 with probability 0.250.25; with probability 0.750.75, it is uniformly distributed on [0,1][0,1]. Let M=max(X1,X2,X3)M=max(X_1,X_2,X_3).

Which pair correctly gives the point mass P(M=0)P(M=0) and the density of MM for 0<m<10<m<1?

  1. P(M=0)=1/64P(M=0)=1/64 and fM(m)=2.25(0.25+0.75m)2f_M(m)=2.25(0.25+0.75m)^2. (correct answer)
  2. P(M=0)=0.25P(M=0)=0.25 and fM(m)=3(0.75m)2f_M(m)=3(0.75m)^2.
  3. P(M=0)=1/64P(M=0)=1/64 and fM(m)=3(0.75m)2f_M(m)=3(0.75m)^2.
  4. P(M=0)=3/64P(M=0)=3/64 and fM(m)=2.25(0.25+0.75m)2f_M(m)=2.25(0.25+0.75m)^2.
Explanation: When you see a maximum of mixed discrete-continuous random variables, recognize that the CDF of each XiX_i has a jump at zero — this makes the distribution of MM a mixed distribution with both a point mass and a continuous density. Start by finding the CDF of a single XiX_i. For 0x10 \leq x \leq 1: P(Xix)=P(Xi=0)+P(0<Xix)=0.25+0.75xP(X_i \leq x) = P(X_i = 0) + P(0 < X_i \leq x) = 0.25 + 0.75x. This CDF has a jump of 0.25 at zero, then rises continuously. Since M=max(X1,X2,X3)M = \max(X_1, X_2, X_3) and the variables are i.i.d., the CDF of MM is FM(m)=[FX(m)]3=(0.25+0.75m)3F_M(m) = [F_X(m)]^3 = (0.25 + 0.75m)^3. The point mass at zero is P(M=0)=FM(0)=(0.25)3=1/64P(M = 0) = F_M(0) = (0.25)^3 = 1/64. The density for 0<m<10 < m < 1 is fM(m)=FM(m)=3(0.25+0.75m)20.75=2.25(0.25+0.75m)2f_M(m) = F_M'(m) = 3(0.25 + 0.75m)^2 \cdot 0.75 = 2.25(0.25 + 0.75m)^2. This confirms answer A is correct. Answer B incorrectly sets P(M=0)=0.25P(M=0) = 0.25, confusing the marginal point mass of one variable with the joint event that all three equal zero. Its density also ignores the 0.25 jump in the CDF entirely. Answer C gets the point mass right (1/641/64) but uses the wrong density — dropping the 0.25 offset means it treats each XiX_i as purely uniform. Answer D uses the correct density form but sets P(M=0)=3/64P(M=0) = 3/64, which would come from mistakenly computing 3×(0.25)33 \times (0.25)^3 instead of (0.25)3(0.25)^3. Your key takeaway: always build the full CDF of each variable — including any point masses — before raising it to the nn-th power for order statistics. Differentiating an incomplete CDF is the most common trap here.

Question 8

A random variable XX has probability 0.20.2 at 1-1, density 0.40.4 on [0,1][0,1], probability 0.40.4 at 22, and no probability elsewhere. Define the generalized quantile function by Q(p)=inf{x:F(x)p}Q(p)=\inf\{x:F(x)\geq p\}.

Which ordered quadruple equals [Q(0.2),Q(0.5),Q(0.6),Q(0.61)][Q(0.2),\, Q(0.5),\, Q(0.6),\, Q(0.61)]?

  1. [1,  0.75,  1,  2][-1,\; 0.75,\; 1,\; 2] (correct answer)
  2. [0,  0.75,  2,  2][0,\; 0.75,\; 2,\; 2]
  3. [1,  0.50,  1,  2][-1,\; 0.50,\; 1,\; 2]
  4. [1,  0.75,  2,  2][-1,\; 0.75,\; 2,\; 2]
Explanation: Whenever you see a mixed distribution (point masses plus a continuous density), your first move should be to carefully construct the CDF F(x)F(x) before touching the quantile function. Here, the distribution places mass 0.20.2 at x=1x=-1, uniform density 0.40.4 over [0,1][0,1], and mass 0.40.4 at x=2x=2. This gives:
  • F(x)=0F(x) = 0 for x<1x < -1
  • F(1)=0.2F(-1) = 0.2 (jump to 0.2)
  • F(x)=0.2+0.4xF(x) = 0.2 + 0.4x for x[0,1]x \in [0,1], so F(0)=0.2F(0)=0.2, F(1)=0.6F(1)=0.6
  • F(x)=0.6F(x) = 0.6 for x(1,2)x \in (1,2)
  • F(2)=1.0F(2) = 1.0 (jump to 1.0)
Now apply Q(p)=inf{x:F(x)p}Q(p) = \inf\{x : F(x) \geq p\}:
  • Q(0.2)Q(0.2): We need the smallest xx with F(x)0.2F(x) \geq 0.2. Since F(1)=0.2F(-1) = 0.2, that's x=1x = -1.
  • Q(0.5)Q(0.5): Solve 0.2+0.4x=0.5x=0.750.2 + 0.4x = 0.5 \Rightarrow x = 0.75.
  • Q(0.6)Q(0.6): Solve 0.2+0.4x=0.6x=10.2 + 0.4x = 0.6 \Rightarrow x = 1. Since F(1)=0.60.6F(1) = 0.6 \geq 0.6, the infimum is x=1x = 1.
  • Q(0.61)Q(0.61): F(x)=0.6F(x) = 0.6 for all x[1,2)x \in [1,2), which never reaches 0.610.61. The first point where F(x)0.61F(x) \geq 0.61 is x=2x = 2.
This confirms answer A: [1,  0.75,  1,  2][-1,\; 0.75,\; 1,\; 2]. Choice B incorrectly gives Q(0.2)=0Q(0.2) = 0, missing that the jump at 1-1 already achieves p=0.2p = 0.2. Choice C gives Q(0.5)=0.50Q(0.5) = 0.50, confusing the probability level with the quantile value. Choice D correctly finds Q(0.2)Q(0.2) and Q(0.61)Q(0.61) but wrongly sets Q(0.6)=2Q(0.6) = 2, overlooking that F(1)=0.6F(1) = 0.6 exactly satisfies the condition. The key trap: at jump points and flat regions, always check whether the CDF reaches pp before you jump to the next mass.

Question 9

Let XX have an arbitrary cumulative distribution function FF, possibly with atoms. Let VV be independent of XX and uniformly distributed on [0,1][0,1]. Which random variable is guaranteed to be uniformly distributed on [0,1][0,1]?

  1. F(X)F(X)
  2. F(X)F(X-)
  3. F(X)+V[F(X)F(X)]F(X-)+V[F(X)-F(X-)] (correct answer)
  4. F(X)+V[1F(X)]F(X)+V[1-F(X)]
Explanation: When a CDF has jump discontinuities (atoms), the standard probability integral transform breaks down. The key concept here is the generalized inverse transform, which produces a uniform random variable even when FF is not continuous. For a continuous CDF, F(X)Uniform(0,1)F(X) \sim \text{Uniform}(0,1) — but atoms create point masses that pile probability at specific values, so F(X)F(X) is no longer uniform. The fix is to "smear out" each atom uniformly across the jump it creates. Why C works: At a point xx where FF jumps, the atom has mass F(x)F(x)F(x) - F(x-). The expression F(X)+V[F(X)F(X)]F(X-) + V[F(X) - F(X-)] takes the left-limit F(X)F(X-) and adds a uniform fraction VV of the jump size. This randomization distributes probability mass uniformly across the interval [F(X),F(X)][F(X-), F(X)], effectively "filling in" each atom. One can verify that P(Ct)=tP(C \leq t) = t for all t[0,1]t \in [0,1], confirming uniformity. Why A fails: F(X)F(X) assigns positive probability to individual points wherever FF has jumps — it cannot be uniform on [0,1][0,1] when atoms exist. Why B fails: F(X)F(X-) uses left-limits, but this has the same atom problem in reverse — point masses still survive, just shifted to the left endpoint of each jump interval. Why D fails: F(X)+V[1F(X)]F(X) + V[1 - F(X)] smears mass above F(X)F(X) rather than across the atom's jump, so it does not correctly handle the discontinuities and fails to produce a uniform distribution. Study tip: Whenever a problem involves a CDF "possibly with atoms," immediately think about what happens at jump discontinuities — the correct transformation must randomize within each jump interval, which is exactly what option C accomplishes.

Question 10

Let XX be uniformly distributed on [0,1][0,1]. Conditional on X=xX=x, a binary random variable YY satisfies P(Y=1X=x)=xP(Y=1|X=x)=x. Let ZZ have the conditional distribution of XX given Y=1Y=1.

Which expression is the CDF of ZZ for 0<=z<=10<=z<=1?

  1. FZ(z)=zF_Z(z)=z
  2. FZ(z)=2zz2F_Z(z)=2z-z^2
  3. FZ(z)=z2F_Z(z)=z^2 (correct answer)
  4. FZ(z)=sqrt(z)F_Z(z)=sqrt(z)
Explanation: When you see a question about conditioning on an observed outcome, reach for Bayes' theorem for continuous distributions. The key tool here is finding the conditional density of XX given Y=1Y=1, then integrating to get the CDF. Start with the marginal probability P(Y=1)P(Y=1). Since XUniform[0,1]X \sim \text{Uniform}[0,1] and P(Y=1X=x)=xP(Y=1|X=x)=x, the law of total probability gives P(Y=1)=01x1dx=12P(Y=1) = \int_0^1 x \cdot 1\, dx = \frac{1}{2}. Now apply Bayes' theorem to find the conditional density of XX given Y=1Y=1: fXY=1(x)=P(Y=1X=x)fX(x)P(Y=1)=x11/2=2xf_{X|Y=1}(x) = \frac{P(Y=1|X=x) \cdot f_X(x)}{P(Y=1)} = \frac{x \cdot 1}{1/2} = 2x. This is a Beta(2,1) density. Integrating to get the CDF of ZZ: FZ(z)=0z2xdx=z2F_Z(z) = \int_0^z 2x\, dx = z^2, confirming answer C. Choice A, FZ(z)=zF_Z(z) = z, corresponds to a Uniform[0,1] distribution — this is the CDF of XX itself, ignoring the conditioning on Y=1Y=1 entirely. Choice B, FZ(z)=2zz2F_Z(z) = 2z - z^2, is the CDF of a Beta(1,2) distribution, which would arise if you conditioned on Y=0Y=0 instead (where P(Y=0X=x)=1xP(Y=0|X=x) = 1-x), giving conditional density 2(1x)2(1-x). Choice D, FZ(z)=zF_Z(z) = \sqrt{z}, has density 12z\frac{1}{2\sqrt{z}}, which decreases on [0,1] — opposite to the intuition that higher xx makes Y=1Y=1 more likely. The study tip: always compute the normalizing constant (the marginal probability) before writing the conditional density. Forgetting to divide by P(Y=1)P(Y=1) is the most common error in Bayesian conditioning problems.