Statistics Graduate Level Quiz: Mgf And Characteristic Functions
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Mgf And Characteristic FunctionsQuestion 1 of 10

A nonnegative random variable XX has characteristic function ϕX(t)=(12it)3.\phi_X(t)=(1-2it)^{-3}. What is the third raw moment E[X3]E[X^3]?

E[X3]=48.E[X^3]=48.
E[X3]=480.E[X^3]=480.
E[X3]=216.E[X^3]=216.
E[X3]=60.E[X^3]=60.
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Statistics Graduate Level Quiz

Statistics Graduate Level Quiz: Mgf And Characteristic Functions

Practice Mgf And Characteristic Functions in Statistics Graduate Level with focused quiz questions that help you check what you know, review explanations, and build confidence with test-style prompts.

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This quiz focuses on Mgf And Characteristic Functions, giving you a quick way to practice the rules, question types, and explanations that matter most for Statistics Graduate Level.

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Question 1

A nonnegative random variable XX has characteristic function ϕX(t)=(12it)3.\phi_X(t)=(1-2it)^{-3}. What is the third raw moment E[X3]E[X^3]?

  1. E[X3]=48.E[X^3]=48.
  2. E[X3]=480.E[X^3]=480. (correct answer)
  3. E[X3]=216.E[X^3]=216.
  4. E[X3]=60.E[X^3]=60.
Explanation: When you see a characteristic function on a statistics exam, your instinct should immediately be: identify the distribution, then use moment formulas. The characteristic function ϕX(t)=(12it)3\phi_X(t) = (1-2it)^{-3} matches the gamma distribution Gamma(k,θ)\text{Gamma}(k, \theta) with shape k=3k = 3 and scale θ=2\theta = 2, since the gamma CF is (1iθt)k(1 - i\theta t)^{-k}. For a Gamma(k,θ)\text{Gamma}(k, \theta) distribution, the nn-th raw moment is E[Xn]=θnΓ(k+n)Γ(k)E[X^n] = \theta^n \cdot \frac{\Gamma(k+n)}{\Gamma(k)}. For the third raw moment with k=3k=3 and θ=2\theta=2: E[X3]=23Γ(6)Γ(3)=81202=860=480.E[X^3] = 2^3 \cdot \frac{\Gamma(6)}{\Gamma(3)} = 8 \cdot \frac{120}{2} = 8 \cdot 60 = 480. So B) 480 is correct. You can verify this using the CF derivative method: E[Xn]=inϕX(n)(0)E[X^n] = i^{-n} \phi_X^{(n)}(0). Differentiating three times and evaluating at t=0t=0 yields the same result. Choice A) 48 likely comes from forgetting the Γ\Gamma ratio and computing 8×6=488 \times 6 = 48, confusing Γ(6)/Γ(3)\Gamma(6)/\Gamma(3) with just k=6k=6. Choice C) 216 is 636^3, suggesting the student used E[X]3=(kθ)3=63E[X]^3 = (k\theta)^3 = 6^3 instead of E[X3]E[X^3] — a classic moment vs. moment-of-moments confusion. Choice D) 60 is simply Γ(6)/2=60\Gamma(6)/2 = 60, dropping the θ3\theta^3 factor entirely. Your study tip: memorize the gamma moment formula E[Xn]=θnΓ(k+n)/Γ(k)E[X^n] = \theta^n \Gamma(k+n)/\Gamma(k) and always check whether the CF's scale parameter needs to be raised to the nn-th power.

Question 2

The joint characteristic function of XX and YY is ϕX,Y(s,t)=exp{12(s2+4st+9t2)}.\phi_{X,Y}(s,t)=\exp\left\{-\frac{1}{2}(s^2+4st+9t^2)\right\}. Which pair of random variables is independent?

  1. XX and YY
  2. X+YX+Y and 2XY2X-Y
  3. XX and Y2XY-2X (correct answer)
  4. X2YX-2Y and 2X+Y2X+Y
Explanation: When working with joint characteristic functions, the key tool for testing independence is this: two random variables UU and VV are independent if and only if their joint characteristic function factors as ϕU,V(s,t)=ϕU(s)ϕV(t).\phi_{U,V}(s,t) = \phi_U(s)\cdot\phi_V(t). For jointly normal variables, this happens precisely when UU and VV are uncorrelated. First, read off the covariance structure from ϕX,Y(s,t)=exp{12(s2+4st+9t2)}.\phi_{X,Y}(s,t)=\exp\left\{-\tfrac{1}{2}(s^2+4st+9t^2)\right\}. The exponent reveals the covariance matrix: Var(X)=1,Cov(X,Y)=2,Var(Y)=9.\text{Var}(X)=1,\quad\text{Cov}(X,Y)=2,\quad\text{Var}(Y)=9. So σX=1\sigma_X=1, σY=3\sigma_Y=3, and Cov(X,Y)=2\text{Cov}(X,Y)=2. For choice C, compute Cov(X,Y2X)=Cov(X,Y)2Var(X)=22(1)=0.\text{Cov}(X,\, Y-2X) = \text{Cov}(X,Y) - 2\text{Var}(X) = 2 - 2(1) = 0. Since XX and Y2XY-2X are jointly normal (linear combinations of normals) and uncorrelated, they are independent — confirming C is correct. For A, Cov(X,Y)=20\text{Cov}(X,Y)=2\neq 0, so XX and YY are dependent. For B, compute Cov(X+Y,2XY)=2Var(X)+Cov(X,Y)Cov(Y,X)Var(Y)...\text{Cov}(X+Y,\,2X-Y) = 2\text{Var}(X) + \text{Cov}(X,Y) - \text{Cov}(Y,X) - \text{Var}(Y)... working it out: 2(1)+(2)(2)9=70.2(1)+(2)-(2)-9 = -7\neq 0. For D, Cov(X2Y,2X+Y)=2(1)+Cov(X,Y)4Cov(Y,X)2(9)=2+2818=220.\text{Cov}(X-2Y,\,2X+Y) = 2(1)+\text{Cov}(X,Y)-4\text{Cov}(Y,X)-2(9) = 2+2-8-18=-22\neq 0. Your go-to strategy: extract the covariance matrix directly from the quadratic form in the exponent, then check whether your target linear combinations have zero covariance. For jointly Gaussian variables, zero covariance equals independence.

Question 3

A random variable XX has characteristic function ϕX(t)=0.3+0.7e2itt2/2.\phi_X(t)=0.3+0.7e^{2it-t^2/2}. Which pair gives the mean and variance of XX?

  1. E[X]=1.4,Var(X)=3.50.E[X]=1.4,\quad \operatorname{Var}(X)=3.50.
  2. E[X]=1.4,Var(X)=0.70.E[X]=1.4,\quad \operatorname{Var}(X)=0.70.
  3. E[X]=2.0,Var(X)=1.00.E[X]=2.0,\quad \operatorname{Var}(X)=1.00.
  4. E[X]=1.4,Var(X)=1.54.E[X]=1.4,\quad \operatorname{Var}(X)=1.54. (correct answer)
Explanation: When you encounter a characteristic function, remember that moments are extracted via derivatives: E[X]=ϕX(0)iE[X] = \frac{\phi_X'(0)}{i} and E[X2]=ϕX(0)i2E[X^2] = \frac{\phi_X''(0)}{i^2}, with Var(X)=E[X2](E[X])2\operatorname{Var}(X) = E[X^2] - (E[X])^2. Here, ϕX(t)=0.3+0.7e2itt2/2\phi_X(t) = 0.3 + 0.7e^{2it - t^2/2}. Taking the first derivative: ϕX(t)=0.7(2it)e2itt2/2\phi_X'(t) = 0.7(2i - t)e^{2it - t^2/2} At t=0t=0: ϕX(0)=0.7(2i)=1.4i\phi_X'(0) = 0.7(2i) = 1.4i, so E[X]=1.4ii=1.4E[X] = \frac{1.4i}{i} = 1.4. For the second derivative, differentiating again: ϕX(t)=0.7[(1)+(2it)2]e2itt2/2\phi_X''(t) = 0.7\left[(-1) + (2i-t)^2\right]e^{2it - t^2/2} At t=0t=0: ϕX(0)=0.7[1+(2i)2]=0.7(14)=3.5\phi_X''(0) = 0.7[{-1} + (2i)^2] = 0.7(-1 - 4) = -3.5, so E[X2]=3.5i2=3.51=3.5E[X^2] = \frac{-3.5}{i^2} = \frac{-3.5}{-1} = 3.5. Therefore Var(X)=3.5(1.4)2=3.51.96=1.54\operatorname{Var}(X) = 3.5 - (1.4)^2 = 3.5 - 1.96 = 1.54, confirming answer D. Choice A correctly computes E[X2]=3.5E[X^2] = 3.5 but forgets to subtract (E[X])2(E[X])^2, reporting it as the variance directly. Choice B gets the mean right but uses only the Gaussian component's variance (1) scaled by 0.7, ignoring the full moment calculation. Choice C mistakes the Gaussian mean parameter (2) for E[X]E[X] and its variance parameter (1) for Var(X)\operatorname{Var}(X), ignoring the mixing weight entirely. Study tip: Always subtract (E[X])2(E[X])^2 when computing variance from characteristic functions — forgetting this step is the most common trap, and it's exactly what choice A exploits.

Question 4

Let X1X_1 and X2X_2 be independent copies of a random variable having characteristic function ϕX(t)=e2t.\phi_X(t)=e^{-2|t|}. Define Y=(X1+X2)/2.Y=(X_1+X_2)/2. Which statement about the distribution of YY is correct?

  1. YY has the same distribution as X1X_1. (correct answer)
  2. YY has the same distribution as 2X12X_1.
  3. YY has the same distribution as X1/2X_1/2.
  4. YY is normally distributed with variance 44.
Explanation: When you see a characteristic function of the form ecte^{-c|t|}, you should immediately recognize the Cauchy distribution family. The key property to exploit here is the stability of the Cauchy distribution: linear combinations of Cauchy random variables remain Cauchy, and the scale parameter transforms predictably through characteristic functions. Recall that if XX has characteristic function ϕX(t)\phi_X(t), then a scaled version aXaX has characteristic function ϕX(at)\phi_X(at). For independent X1,X2X_1, X_2, the characteristic function of X1+X2X_1 + X_2 is ϕX(t)2\phi_X(t)^2. Putting this together, Y=(X1+X2)/2Y = (X_1 + X_2)/2 has characteristic function: ϕY(t)=ϕX(t/2)2=(e2t/2)2=e2t\phi_Y(t) = \phi_X(t/2)^2 = \left(e^{-2|t/2|}\right)^2 = e^{-2|t|} This is identical to ϕX(t)\phi_X(t), so by the uniqueness theorem for characteristic functions, YY has the same distribution as X1X_1 — confirming answer A. For the wrong answers: B would require ϕY(t)=e4t\phi_Y(t) = e^{-4|t|}, which corresponds to scaling X1X_1 by 2 (doubling the Cauchy scale parameter) — that's not what we computed. C would require ϕY(t)=et\phi_Y(t) = e^{-|t|}, which would arise if you naively divided the scale by 2 without accounting for the squaring from independence — a common algebraic error. D is fundamentally wrong because a Cauchy distribution has no finite variance and is certainly not normal; the heavy-tailed ete^{-|t|} form (linear in t|t|) is a hallmark of the Cauchy, not the Gaussian (which is eσ2t2/2e^{-\sigma^2 t^2/2}). Study tip: When a characteristic function is exponential in t|t|, think Cauchy stability — always compute ϕY(t)\phi_Y(t) explicitly and apply the uniqueness theorem rather than guessing distributional form from intuition.

Question 5

Suppose XX and YY are claimed to be independent, S=X+YS=X+Y, and the characteristic functions of XX and SS are reported as ϕX(t)=e2t2\phi_X(t)=e^{-2t^2} and ϕS(t)=et2\phi_S(t)=e^{-t^2}, respectively. Which conclusion is correct?

  1. YY must be normal with mean zero and variance 2-2, interpreted through formal subtraction of variances.
  2. YY must be normal with mean zero and variance 22 because the exponents differ by t2t^2.
  3. No probability distribution for an independent YY is compatible with the two reported characteristic functions. (correct answer)
  4. YY may be normal with variance 22 provided its covariance with XX is sufficiently negative.
Explanation: Characteristic functions are uniquely tied to probability distributions, and one of their most powerful properties is the multiplication rule for independent random variables: if XYX \perp Y, then ϕX+Y(t)=ϕX(t)ϕY(t)\phi_{X+Y}(t) = \phi_X(t) \cdot \phi_Y(t). This question tests whether you can apply that rule and recognize when reported characteristic functions are internally inconsistent. If XX and YY are truly independent and S=X+YS = X + Y, then ϕY(t)\phi_Y(t) must equal ϕS(t)/ϕX(t)\phi_S(t)/\phi_X(t). Plugging in the given functions: ϕY(t)=et2/e2t2=et2\phi_Y(t) = e^{-t^2}/e^{-2t^2} = e^{t^2}. Here's the problem — et2e^{t^2} is not a valid characteristic function. A valid characteristic function must satisfy ϕ(t)1|\phi(t)| \leq 1 for all tt, and must be positive semi-definite. The function et2e^{t^2} grows without bound and violates these conditions. Therefore, no legitimate probability distribution for YY can reconcile the two given characteristic functions, making C correct. Choice A fails because you cannot have a normal distribution with negative variance — variance must be non-negative by definition, and no such distribution exists. Choice B sounds plausible because it correctly identifies the exponent difference, but it draws the wrong conclusion: a normal distribution with variance 2 would have characteristic function et2e^{-t^2}, not e+t2e^{+t^2}, which is invalid. Choice D introduces covariance as a fix, but independence already implies zero covariance — you cannot adjust covariance while maintaining independence. Study tip: Whenever you're given characteristic functions for a claimed relationship, immediately check consistency using the multiplication rule. If the implied ϕY(t)\phi_Y(t) explodes or violates ϕ(t)ϕ(0)=1|\phi(t)| \leq \phi(0) = 1, the setup is mathematically impossible.

Question 6

Suppose XX is lognormal. Its positive integer moments are all finite, but its MGF is infinite for every t>0t>0. Let YY be another random variable satisfying E[Yk]=E[Xk]E[Y^k]=E[X^k] for every positive integer kk. Which conclusion is valid?

  1. The equality of all integer moments forces XX and YY to have the same distribution, even without finite MGFs.
  2. The moment equalities need not determine the distribution, but equality of the characteristic functions for all real arguments would. (correct answer)
  3. Because every integer moment of XX exists, its MGF must be finite on some open interval containing zero.
  4. The absence of a positive-side MGF means that even the characteristic function cannot uniquely determine the distribution of XX.
Explanation: This question tests your understanding of the moment problem — specifically, when do moments uniquely determine a distribution? The key distinction is between the moment determinacy problem and the role of MGFs versus characteristic functions. The lognormal distribution is the classic example of a moment-indeterminate distribution: even though all positive integer moments E[Xk]E[X^k] are finite, there exist infinitely many other distributions sharing the exact same integer moments. This was shown by Heyde (1963). So YY need not equal XX in distribution, even with E[Yk]=E[Xk]E[Y^k] = E[X^k] for all kZ+k \in \mathbb{Z}^+. However, the characteristic function φ(t)=E[eitX]\varphi(t) = E[e^{itX}] always exists for all real tt (since eitX=1|e^{itX}| = 1), and by the Lévy uniqueness theorem, it uniquely determines the distribution. So B is correct: moment equality is insufficient, but characteristic function equality would force distributional equality. A is wrong because it asserts that integer moment equality implies distributional equality — precisely the claim the lognormal counterexample refutes. C contains a critical misconception: finiteness of all integer moments does not imply a finite MGF on any interval around zero. The MGF requires finiteness of E[etX]E[e^{tX}], which involves all moments growing fast enough — lognormal moments grow too rapidly (faster than any exponential), making the MGF infinite for every t>0t > 0. D is wrong because it conflates the MGF with the characteristic function. The characteristic function always exists and always uniquely determines the distribution, regardless of MGF behavior. Study tip: Remember the triad — moments can fail to determine a distribution (moment problem), MGFs may not exist, but characteristic functions always exist and always uniquely characterize distributions.

Question 7

A random variable XX has moment generating function MX(t)=e2t(13t)4,t<1/3.M_X(t)=e^{2t}(1-3t)^{-4},\quad t<1/3. Define Y=(X14)/6.Y=(X-14)/6. Which expression is the moment generating function of YY, including its maximal interval of finiteness containing zero?

  1. MY(t)=e2t(1t/2)4,t<2.M_Y(t)=e^{-2t}(1-t/2)^{-4},\quad t<2. (correct answer)
  2. MY(t)=e2t(1t/2)4,t<2.M_Y(t)=e^{2t}(1-t/2)^{-4},\quad t<2.
  3. MY(t)=e2t(118t)4,t<1/18.M_Y(t)=e^{-2t}(1-18t)^{-4},\quad t<1/18.
  4. MY(t)=e7t/3(1t/2)4,t<2.M_Y(t)=e^{-7t/3}(1-t/2)^{-4},\quad t<2.
Explanation: When you need to find the MGF of a linear transformation Y=aX+bY = aX + b, use the fundamental property: MY(t)=ebtMX(at)M_Y(t) = e^{bt} M_X(at). Here, Y=(X14)/6=16X146Y = (X - 14)/6 = \frac{1}{6}X - \frac{14}{6}, so a=1/6a = 1/6 and b=14/6=7/3b = -14/6 = -7/3. Applying the formula, substitute at=t/6at = t/6 into MXM_X: MY(t)=e7t/3MX(t/6)=e7t/3e2(t/6)(13(t/6))4M_Y(t) = e^{-7t/3} \cdot M_X(t/6) = e^{-7t/3} \cdot e^{2(t/6)}(1 - 3(t/6))^{-4} =e7t/3et/3(1t/2)4=e2t(1t/2)4= e^{-7t/3} \cdot e^{t/3}(1 - t/2)^{-4} = e^{-2t}(1 - t/2)^{-4} For the domain, the original MGF requires t/6<1/3t/6 < 1/3, which gives t<2t < 2. So the correct answer is A. B has the wrong sign on the exponential — it uses +2t+2t instead of 2t-2t, likely from forgetting the negative sign in b=7/3b = -7/3 or misapplying the shift. C correctly captures the negative exponential idea but fails to scale the argument properly; substituting t/6t/6 into 3t3t gives t/2t/2, not 18t18t — this error comes from mistakenly multiplying instead of dividing. D is a tempting trap: it correctly computes e7t/3e^{-7t/3} but stops before combining the exponential terms, forgetting to merge e7t/3et/3=e2te^{-7t/3} \cdot e^{t/3} = e^{-2t}. Study tip: Always simplify exponential factors fully after substitution — combining ebteaμte^{bt} \cdot e^{a \mu t} into a single exponential is the step most students skip, and it's exactly where the wrong answers hide.

Question 8

For each positive integer nn, let XnX_n be normally distributed with mean zero and variance nn. Its characteristic function is ϕn(t)=ent2/2.\phi_n(t)=e^{-nt^2/2}. The pointwise limit is one at t=0t=0 and zero at every t0t\ne 0. Which conclusion is correct?

  1. XnX_n converges in distribution to the constant zero because the limiting characteristic function equals one at zero.
  2. XnX_n converges in distribution to a probability law whose characteristic function vanishes at every nonzero argument.
  3. XnX_n has no weak limit on the real line because the pointwise limit is discontinuous at zero. (correct answer)
  4. XnX_n converges to a centered normal law with infinite variance, interpreted as a proper limiting distribution.
Explanation: Whenever you see a question about convergence in distribution, your first instinct should be to invoke Lévy's continuity theorem: a sequence of distributions converges weakly to a proper probability law if and only if its characteristic functions converge pointwise to a function that is continuous at zero. This continuity condition is not optional — it's the decisive criterion. Here, ϕn(t)=ent2/2\phi_n(t) = e^{-nt^2/2} converges pointwise to the function f(t)=1t=0f(t) = \mathbf{1}_{t=0}, which equals 1 at t=0t=0 and 0 everywhere else. This limiting function is discontinuous at zero (the left- and right-hand limits as t0t \to 0 equal 0, not 1). Because the pointwise limit fails the continuity-at-zero requirement, Lévy's theorem tells you that no proper probability distribution on R\mathbb{R} has this as its characteristic function. The sequence XnX_n therefore has no weak limit on the real line — intuitively, the mass is "escaping to infinity" as nn \to \infty. This confirms C is correct. A is wrong because convergence in distribution requires the limiting characteristic function to be continuous at zero and be a valid characteristic function everywhere — the value at zero alone tells you nothing. B is wrong because no proper probability law on R\mathbb{R} can have a characteristic function that vanishes at all nonzero tt; such a function isn't continuous at zero, so it violates Bochner's theorem. D is wrong because "infinite variance normal" is not a proper distribution on R\mathbb{R}; the concept is informal and has no rigorous probability measure to support it. Study tip: Memorize Lévy's continuity theorem precisely — the continuity at zero condition is the most commonly tested and most commonly forgotten part.

Question 9

Let NN have a Poisson distribution with mean 33. Conditional on NN, let Z1,,ZNZ_1,\ldots,Z_N be independent exponential random variables with rate 22, independent of NN, and define S=j=1NZjS=\sum_{j=1}^{N}Z_j, with the empty sum equal to zero. Which pair gives both the MGF of SS and the probability that S=0S=0?

  1. MS(t)=exp{3(22t1)},Pr(S=0)=e3.M_S(t)=\exp\left\{3\left(\frac{2}{2-t}-1\right)\right\},\quad \Pr(S=0)=e^{-3}. (correct answer)
  2. MS(t)=(22t)3,Pr(S=0)=0.M_S(t)=\left(\frac{2}{2-t}\right)^3,\quad \Pr(S=0)=0.
  3. MS(t)=exp{322t},Pr(S=0)=e3.M_S(t)=\exp\left\{3\cdot\frac{2}{2-t}\right\},\quad \Pr(S=0)=e^{-3}.
  4. MS(t)=exp{6t2t},Pr(S=0)=1e3.M_S(t)=\exp\left\{\frac{6t}{2-t}\right\},\quad \Pr(S=0)=1-e^{-3}.
Explanation: When you encounter a compound random variable like S=j=1NZjS = \sum_{j=1}^N Z_j where NN is itself random, the key tool is the law of total expectation applied to MGFs: condition on NN first, then average over it. Given N=nN = n, SS is a sum of nn independent Exp(2) random variables, each with MGF 22t\frac{2}{2-t}. So the conditional MGF is (22t)n\left(\frac{2}{2-t}\right)^n. Now average over NPoisson(3)N \sim \text{Poisson}(3): MS(t)=E ⁣[E[etSN]]=E ⁣[(22t)N]=GN ⁣(22t)M_S(t) = E\!\left[E[e^{tS}\mid N]\right] = E\!\left[\left(\frac{2}{2-t}\right)^N\right] = G_N\!\left(\frac{2}{2-t}\right) where GN(z)=e3(z1)G_N(z) = e^{3(z-1)} is the PGF of Poisson(3). Substituting gives MS(t)=exp ⁣{3 ⁣(22t1)}M_S(t) = \exp\!\left\{3\!\left(\frac{2}{2-t}-1\right)\right\}. For Pr(S=0)\Pr(S=0): this happens only when N=0N=0, so Pr(S=0)=Pr(N=0)=e3\Pr(S=0) = \Pr(N=0) = e^{-3}. That's answer A. B is wrong on two counts: the MGF (22t)3\left(\frac{2}{2-t}\right)^3 treats NN as fixed at 3 rather than random, and it implies SS is always positive, forcing Pr(S=0)=0\Pr(S=0)=0 — ignoring the positive probability that N=0N=0. C incorrectly omits the 1-1 in the exponent, failing to subtract the normalization term when applying the PGF formula. D uses an algebraically incorrect simplification of the exponent and gives the wrong probability 1e31 - e^{-3}, which is actually Pr(N1)\Pr(N \geq 1). Study tip: Memorize that for NPoisson(λ)N \sim \text{Poisson}(\lambda), the compound sum MGF is exp{λ(MZ(t)1)}\exp\{\lambda(M_Z(t)-1)\}. The 1-1 inside is essential — it ensures MS(0)=1M_S(0)=1.

Question 10

Under a probability measure PP, a random variable XX has MGF MP(t)=(1t)2M_P(t)=(1-t)^{-2} for t<1t<1. A new probability measure QQ is defined by exponential tilting with parameter 1/21/2, so that dQ/dP=eX/2/MP(1/2).dQ/dP=e^{X/2}/M_P(1/2). Which is the MGF of XX under QQ, with its correct domain?

  1. MQ(t)=(12t)2,t<1.M_Q(t)=(1-2t)^{-2},\quad t<1.
  2. MQ(t)=(1t/2)2,t<2.M_Q(t)=(1-t/2)^{-2},\quad t<2.
  3. MQ(t)=4(1/2t)2,t<1/2.M_Q(t)=4(1/2-t)^{-2},\quad t<1/2.
  4. MQ(t)=(12t)2,t<1/2.M_Q(t)=(1-2t)^{-2},\quad t<1/2. (correct answer)
Explanation: Exponential tilting (also called an Esscher transform) is a fundamental tool in mathematical finance and risk theory. When you see a Radon-Nikodym derivative of the form dQ/dP=eθX/MP(θ)dQ/dP = e^{\theta X}/M_P(\theta), your job is to compute the MGF under QQ by absorbing the tilt into the moment-generating machinery. The MGF of XX under QQ is: MQ(t)=EQ[etX]=EP ⁣[etXdQdP]=EP[e(t+θ)X]MP(θ)=MP(t+θ)MP(θ).M_Q(t) = E^Q[e^{tX}] = E^P\!\left[e^{tX}\cdot\frac{dQ}{dP}\right] = \frac{E^P[e^{(t+\theta)X}]}{M_P(\theta)} = \frac{M_P(t+\theta)}{M_P(\theta)}. With θ=1/2\theta = 1/2 and MP(t)=(1t)2M_P(t)=(1-t)^{-2}, first compute MP(1/2)=(11/2)2=4M_P(1/2) = (1-1/2)^{-2} = 4. Then: MQ(t)=(1(t+1/2))24=(1/2t)24.M_Q(t) = \frac{(1-(t+1/2))^{-2}}{4} = \frac{(1/2-t)^{-2}}{4}. Note that (1/2t)2=4(12t)2(1/2-t)^{-2} = 4(1-2t)^{-2}, so MQ(t)=4(12t)24=(12t)2M_Q(t) = \frac{4(1-2t)^{-2}}{4} = (1-2t)^{-2}. The domain requires t+1/2<1t + 1/2 < 1, i.e., t<1/2t < 1/2. This confirms D. Choice A gives the right functional form (12t)2(1-2t)^{-2} but uses the wrong domain t<1t<1, ignoring that tilting shifts the convergence strip. Choice B results from an algebra error — using θ/2\theta/2 instead of θ\theta in the shift, producing a weaker tilt. Choice C correctly computes the intermediate expression 4(1/2t)24(1/2-t)^{-2} but fails to simplify it, leaving a distractor that looks numerically distinct. Your study tip: always track two things under exponential tilting — the shifted functional form and the shifted domain. The new domain is the old domain translated by θ-\theta, a step that eliminates both A and C as viable options.