Philosophy Quiz: Peer Disagreement

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Peer DisagreementQuestion 1 of 20

Maya and Ben are epistemic peers who have just finished watching a movie together. Maya tells Ben, "That was a truly excellent film." Ben replies, "I thought it was terrible." Which of the following, if true, would most weaken the claim that Maya has an epistemic duty to conciliate with Ben?

The statement "That film is excellent" is an expression of subjective taste rather than a proposition with a truth value.

Maya and Ben have a long history of disagreeing about whether films are good or bad.

Ben has a PhD in film studies, whereas Maya is just a casual moviegoer.

Maya can point to specific elements like cinematography and acting that she believes were objectively high-quality.

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Philosophy Quiz

Philosophy Quiz: Peer Disagreement

Practice Peer Disagreement in Philosophy with focused quiz questions that help you check what you know, review explanations, and build confidence with test-style prompts.

What this quiz covers

This quiz focuses on Peer Disagreement, giving you a quick way to practice the rules, question types, and explanations that matter most for Philosophy.

How to use this quiz

Try each quiz question before looking at the correct answer. Use the explanations to review missed ideas, then come back to similar questions until the pattern feels familiar.

All questions

Question 1

The statement "That film is excellent" is an expression of subjective taste rather than a proposition with a truth value. (correct answer)
Maya and Ben have a long history of disagreeing about whether films are good or bad.
Ben has a PhD in film studies, whereas Maya is just a casual moviegoer.
Maya can point to specific elements like cinematography and acting that she believes were objectively high-quality.

Explanation: When you encounter questions about epistemic peer disagreement, focus on what conditions create or eliminate the duty to conciliate. Epistemic conciliation requires that when equally qualified peers disagree about a factual claim, each should moderate their confidence toward the other's position. The key insight here is that conciliation only applies to disagreements about matters of objective truth. If Maya's statement "That was a truly excellent film" expresses subjective taste rather than a factual proposition, then there's nothing objective to disagree about. Without an objective truth at stake, the entire framework of epistemic duty dissolves. Answer A correctly identifies this fundamental challenge to conciliation - you can't have an epistemic duty regarding claims that lack truth values. Answer B actually strengthens the case for conciliation by suggesting a pattern where both might benefit from adjusting their confidence. Answer C would strengthen conciliation duties since Ben's expertise would make him a superior rather than equal epistemic peer, giving Maya even more reason to defer. Answer D attempts to rescue the objectivity of Maya's claim by pointing to measurable film qualities, but this would restore rather than weaken her conciliation duties. The critical distinction is between disagreements about taste (where conciliation doesn't apply) versus disagreements about facts (where it does). Remember that epistemic duties in peer disagreement depend entirely on whether there's an objective truth to be discovered. When you see conciliation questions, always ask first: "Is this the kind of claim that can be objectively true or false?"

Question 2

A common objection to conciliationism is the "Spinelessness Objection." Which of the following scenarios best illustrates this criticism?

An expert refuses to change their mind despite overwhelming disagreement from other experts, appearing dogmatic and arrogant.
A person constantly seeks out others' opinions before forming their own, showing a lack of independent critical thinking.
A person holds a controversial belief and, upon encountering disagreement from a single peer, immediately abandons it for a state of neutral suspension of judgment. (correct answer)
A person enters a debate with strong convictions but, after hearing the arguments, realizes their own position was flawed and changes their mind.

Explanation: The Spinelessness Objection claims that if one were to consistently apply the principle of conciliation, one would be forced to abandon most of one's controversial beliefs, leading to a form of agnosticism or wishy-washy intellectual 'spinelessness.' The scenario in (C) captures this perfectly: a single instance of peer disagreement forces the agent to give up a belief they may have good reasons for. (A) illustrates dogmatism, the opposite problem. (B) is about belief formation, not belief revision in light of disagreement. (D) describes rational belief revision based on evidence, not just the fact of disagreement.

Question 3

Two literary critics, who are acknowledged peers, disagree on the primary theme of a dense, ambiguous novel. Critic A argues the theme is 'the futility of ambition,' while Critic B argues it is 'the triumph of the human spirit.' This disagreement persists even after extensive discussion. Which feature of this scenario makes it particularly difficult to apply a simple 'split the difference' model of conciliation?

The critics are likely to be professional rivals, which gives them non-epistemic reasons to maintain their positions.
The disagreement is not about a quantitative value or a simple factual proposition, but a complex hermeneutic interpretation. (correct answer)
One of the critics must be wrong, as a novel cannot have two contradictory primary themes.
Literary criticism is entirely subjective, so the concept of epistemic peerhood does not apply in the first place.

Explanation: Conciliationism is most straightforwardly applied to disagreements over propositions with clear truth values or credences (e.g., 'What is 73 x 12?' or 'What is the probability of rain?'). In this case, the disagreement is about a complex interpretation. It's not clear what 'splitting the difference' between 'futility of ambition' and 'triumph of the human spirit' would even mean. The qualitative and interpretive nature of the dispute makes a simple conciliatory adjustment difficult to conceptualize, even if the general principle (reducing confidence in one's own interpretation) still holds.

Question 4

Two accountants, Priya and Quentin, are epistemic peers. They independently audit a complex corporate ledger. Priya finds that the accounts balance perfectly. Quentin finds a $5,000 discrepancy. After they share their conclusions, Priya re-checks her own work carefully but finds no error. Without seeing Quentin's specific calculations, what is Priya's most rational epistemic response according to conciliationism?

She should maintain full confidence that the books are balanced, as she has re-verified her own work and found no error.
She should conclude that the books are unbalanced, as the discovery of an error is more definitive than a finding of no error.
She should substantially decrease her confidence that the books are balanced, acknowledging the significant probability that she has missed something Quentin found. (correct answer)
She should believe that both conclusions are somehow correct, perhaps due to a flaw in accounting principles themselves.

Explanation: Even though Priya has re-checked her work, she knows that Quentin is her peer and has found a specific discrepancy. The disagreement itself is strong evidence that an error exists in one of their processes. She cannot be sure the error is Quentin's. Conciliationism requires her to give his conclusion significant weight and therefore substantially reduce her own confidence in her initial conclusion. Maintaining full confidence (A) is the Steadfast position. Concluding Quentin is right (B) is too strong; he is just as likely to be wrong as she is. (D) is an irrelevant philosophical skepticism.

Question 5

Dr. Chen, a senior cardiologist with 30 years of experience, and Dr. Davis, a first-year resident, review the same complex EKG. Dr. Chen diagnoses a rare but benign anomaly. Dr. Davis, after careful review, believes it indicates an impending myocardial infarction. They are both aware of their respective levels of experience. In this situation, the principles of peer disagreement are not straightforwardly applicable. Why?

Because medical diagnoses are matters of interpretation, not objective fact, so there is no single correct answer for them to disagree about.
Because in cases of disagreement, epistemic norms are subordinate to prudential norms, and the most cautious diagnosis should always be preferred.
Because Dr. Chen and Dr. Davis are not epistemic peers; the significant disparity in their expertise and experience is epistemically relevant. (correct answer)
Because they have access to private evidence, namely their own medical intuitions, which makes their reasoning processes incomparable.

Explanation: The entire framework of peer disagreement hinges on the two parties being (roughly) epistemic peers—equals in terms of evidence and cognitive ability. The vast difference in experience and expertise between a senior cardiologist and a first-year resident means this condition is not met. Dr. Chen is an expert and Dr. Davis is a novice. Therefore, Dr. Chen is not rationally required to give equal weight to Dr. Davis's conclusion.

Question 6

Two chess grandmasters, who are perfect epistemic peers regarding chess analysis, are analyzing a complex mid-game position from a famous match. After an hour of study, Grandmaster A concludes that White has a decisive winning advantage. Grandmaster B concludes that the position is a dead draw. What does the principle of conciliation suggest about the objective nature of the chess position itself?

It suggests that the position is likely a draw, as disagreement tends to favor the more conservative conclusion.
It provides strong evidence that the position is extremely difficult to evaluate, even for experts. (correct answer)
It proves that chess is not an objective game but one based on subjective player intuition.
It suggests that Grandmaster A is the better player, as finding a win is more difficult than finding a draw.

Explanation: While conciliationism is primarily about how the grandmasters should adjust their beliefs (i.e., reduce their confidence), the disagreement itself is strong evidence about the world—in this case, about the chess position. The fact that two top-level experts, with all their powers of calculation and intuition, can look at the same objective position and come to starkly different conclusions is powerful evidence that the position's true evaluation is non-obvious and profoundly difficult. The disagreement functions as a reliable indicator of the problem's complexity.

Question 7

The critics are likely to be professional rivals, which gives them non-epistemic reasons to maintain their positions.
The disagreement is not about a quantitative value or a simple factual proposition, but a complex hermeneutic interpretation. (correct answer)
One of the critics must be wrong, as a novel cannot have two contradictory primary themes.
Literary criticism is entirely subjective, so the concept of epistemic peerhood does not apply in the first place.

Question 8

Two equally skilled meteorologists, Alex and Ben, are epistemic peers. They analyze the identical set of complex weather data. Alex concludes there is an 80% chance of rain, while Ben concludes there is a 20% chance. After sharing their conclusions, they are unable to find any specific error in each other's analysis. According to a standard conciliationist view (like the Equal Weight View), what is the most epistemically rational response for Alex?

Alex should maintain his 80% confidence, because his own careful reasoning provides the most direct evidence he has.
Alex should significantly lower his confidence in the 80% probability, moving his credence toward Ben's 20% to reflect the peer disagreement. (correct answer)
Alex should dismiss Ben's conclusion, as the large divergence in their probabilities is strong evidence that Ben has made a serious, yet undetectable, error.
Alex should suspend judgment on the probability of rain entirely, as the disagreement from a peer proves the evidence is fundamentally inscrutable.

Explanation: The core tenet of conciliationism, particularly the Equal Weight View, is that the disagreement of an epistemic peer is itself a powerful piece of higher-order evidence that one may have made a mistake. Therefore, Alex is rationally required to significantly reduce his confidence. Moving his credence from 80% towards Ben's 20% (e.g., to 50%) is the paradigmatic response. He should not remain steadfast or dismiss his peer without a specific, independent reason to do so.

Question 9

Two philosophy students, Maria and John, are epistemic peers working on a difficult logic proof. Maria concludes the proof is valid, while John concludes it is invalid. Just as they are about to discuss their disagreement, their professor informs them that on 10 previous, similarly difficult proofs, Maria was correct 9 times and John was correct 3 times. How does this new, higher-order evidence affect how Maria should respond to the disagreement?

It has no effect; their established peer status concerning their general logical ability overrides a specific track record.
It proves Maria is epistemically superior, so she should increase her confidence to certainty and dismiss John's view entirely.
It provides a symmetry-breaking reason for Maria to trust her own conclusion more, justifying less conciliation than would otherwise be required. (correct answer)
It should cause Maria to trust John more, as his lower success rate suggests he is more cautious and less prone to overconfidence.

Explanation: The information about their track records is higher-order evidence about the reliability of their respective reasoning processes in this specific context. This evidence is a 'symmetry-breaker' that gives Maria a good reason to believe she is more likely to be correct than John. While it doesn't warrant absolute certainty, it justifies her in being less conciliatory—that is, reducing her confidence less than she would have if they had identical or unknown track records. She no longer has to treat John's opinion as having equal weight.

Question 10

You are a member of a 12-person jury. Initially, you and 10 other jurors are 95% confident that the defendant is guilty. One juror, whom you respect as an epistemic peer, is 95% confident the defendant is not guilty. All jurors have seen the exact same evidence and arguments. How does the epistemic significance of this single dissenter compare to a situation where the jury was split 6-6?

The single dissenter is epistemically insignificant, as the 11-1 majority provides overwhelming confirmation of the guilty verdict.
The single dissenter is more epistemically significant than any individual in the 6-6 split, as their lone dissent is evidence of a flaw the other 11 missed.
The single dissenter has the same epistemic significance as the 6 dissenters in the 6-6 split, as any peer disagreement mandates suspending judgment.
The single dissenter's opinion carries significant epistemic weight, requiring a reduction in confidence, but less weight than the disagreement of six peers in a 6-6 split. (correct answer)

Explanation: When you encounter questions about peer disagreement, you're dealing with a core problem in epistemology: how should rational agents respond when equally qualified people disagree? The key insight is that epistemic peers deserve serious consideration, but the weight of their disagreement should be proportional to their numbers. The correct approach recognizes that a single dissenting epistemic peer carries significant weight because they've reviewed the same evidence yet reached a starkly different conclusion. This suggests either they've spotted something the majority missed, or there's genuine ambiguity in the evidence. However, the disagreement of six peers (as in a 6-6 split) represents much stronger counter-evidence than one dissenter, since it's statistically much less likely that six equally qualified people would all be wrong. Answer A is wrong because it commits the fallacy of simply counting votes without considering epistemic significance. Even one respected peer's disagreement should give you pause. Answer B overstates the single dissenter's importance by claiming they're more significant than six dissenters—this ignores that multiple independent judgments provide stronger evidence than a single judgment. Answer C applies an overly rigid interpretation of peer disagreement that would make rational belief impossible whenever any peer disagrees, regardless of numbers. The correct answer is D because it properly calibrates the epistemic weight: the single dissenter deserves serious consideration and should reduce your confidence, but not as much as six dissenters would. Remember: In peer disagreement questions, look for answers that acknowledge both the significance of peer opinions and the importance of proportional weighting based on numbers.

Question 11

On Monday, after carefully studying a philosophical argument, you become 95% confident that it is sound. On Tuesday, having forgotten the details of your reasoning but clearly remembering your prior conclusion and confidence level, you re-evaluate the argument and now become 95% confident that it is unsound. Assuming your cognitive abilities and the evidence were identical on both days, how should a conciliationist advise you to treat this disagreement with your past self?

Trust your current self, as your most recent reasoning is more immediate and epistemically privileged over a mere memory of a past conclusion.
Treat your past self as an epistemic peer and significantly reduce your confidence in your new conclusion, moving towards suspension of judgment. (correct answer)
Trust your past self, as first impressions are often more accurate and less likely to be the result of over-thinking the problem.
Alternate between believing the argument is sound and unsound, as there is no rational basis for choosing between the two conclusions.

Explanation: The scenario sets up your past self as an epistemic peer to your current self: you had the same evidence and the same cognitive abilities. The disagreement between your two selves functions just like a disagreement between two different people who are peers. The conciliationist view would therefore require you to give equal weight to your past self's conclusion. The fact that you arrived at a contrary conclusion is strong evidence that your reasoning is unreliable on this problem. Thus, you should significantly reduce your confidence and move towards agnosticism.

Question 12

An agent, Sam, holds belief P with 0.8 credence. He then encounters a group of 100 people he considers his epistemic peers. He learns that all 100 of them, based on the same evidence, hold belief P with only 0.3 credence. According to the Equal Weight View, how should Sam revise his credence in P?

He should stick with 0.8, because the unanimity of the other group suggests collusion or groupthink, not 100 independent evaluations.
He should completely adopt the group's view and move his credence to 0.3, as the weight of 100 peers is overwhelming.
He should suspend judgment entirely and move to 0.5, as the disagreement is so vast it indicates the evidence is unreliable.
He should calculate the average credence of all 101 people and adopt that value, which would be slightly above 0.3. (correct answer)

Explanation: When you encounter questions about epistemic peer disagreement, you're dealing with how rational agents should revise their beliefs when equally competent people disagree with them. The Equal Weight View is a specific theory that says you should give equal consideration to your own judgment and that of your epistemic peers. According to the Equal Weight View, Sam should treat his own credence of 0.8 as just one data point among 101 total judgments. The theory requires him to average all credences equally: his 0.8 plus 100 peers at 0.3 each. This calculation yields

(1 × 0.8 + 100 × 0.3) ÷ 101 = 30.8 ÷ 101 ≈ 0.305

, which is slightly above 0.3. This makes D correct. Option A misunderstands the Equal Weight View by allowing Sam to dismiss peer testimony based on suspicious patterns. The theory doesn't permit such selective discounting of epistemic peers. Option B goes too far by completely abandoning Sam's initial judgment—the Equal Weight View incorporates his credence too, not just the group's. Option C invokes suspension of judgment, but this isn't what the Equal Weight View prescribes for peer disagreement; it specifically calls for averaging, not agnosticism. Remember that the Equal Weight View is quite demanding—it requires you to treat your own judgment as having no special authority over that of genuine epistemic peers. When you see peer disagreement questions, identify whether they're asking about Equal Weight specifically or other approaches like the Total Evidence View, which might yield different answers.

Question 13

Two historians, both experts on the French Revolution and thus epistemic peers, examine the same set of primary source documents. Historian A concludes that economic desperation was the primary cause of the revolution. Historian B concludes that the spread of Enlightenment ideals was the primary cause. They both agree that both factors were important. Which concept best describes the nature of their disagreement?

A factual disagreement over the content of the historical documents.
A disagreement about the fundamental axioms of historical inquiry.
A performative contradiction, since both factors cannot be the 'primary' cause.
A disagreement about how to weigh the relative importance of shared evidence. (correct answer)

Explanation: When you encounter questions about expert disagreement in philosophy, focus on the nature of the dispute rather than its content. This question tests your understanding of how epistemic peers—experts with equal credentials and access to evidence—can reach different conclusions. The key insight here is that both historians agree on the facts: economic desperation and Enlightenment ideals both contributed to the French Revolution. Their disagreement isn't about what happened, but about which factor deserves the label "primary cause." This is fundamentally a disagreement about how to weigh the relative importance of shared evidence, making D correct. Let's examine why the other options miss the mark. Option A suggests they disagree about the content of the documents themselves, but the question states they're working with the same sources and agree both factors were important. Option B implies they have different foundational assumptions about how to study history, but nothing indicates such a deep methodological divide—they're using the same evidence and reaching conclusions about causation. Option C misunderstands the situation by claiming a logical contradiction exists, when in fact historians routinely debate which among multiple contributing factors deserves emphasis as "primary." This type of disagreement about weighing evidence is common in philosophy and reflects genuine interpretive challenges rather than logical errors or factual disputes. When you see questions about expert disagreement, ask yourself: Are they disputing facts, methods, or the significance of agreed-upon evidence? The answer often reveals the true nature of the philosophical problem at stake.

Question 14

An agent holds a belief based on a complex body of evidence. She then learns that an epistemic peer, who has access to an additional, private piece of evidence that she herself has not seen, disagrees with her. How does the peer's access to private evidence affect the agent's rational response?

It strengthens the reason for her to conciliate, as the peer's disagreement may be explained by evidence the agent lacks. (correct answer)
It has no effect on her response, as she cannot evaluate evidence she has not seen.
It justifies the agent in holding her belief more steadfastly, as the peer's reasoning is based on a different set of information.
It requires the agent to suspend judgment until she can gain access to the peer's private evidence.

Explanation: This question tests your understanding of peer disagreement in epistemology, specifically how additional evidence possessed by an epistemic peer should influence your confidence in your own beliefs. An epistemic peer is someone roughly equal to you in intelligence, access to evidence, and reasoning ability regarding the topic at hand. When an epistemic peer disagrees with you, the standard view suggests you should give their opinion significant weight—this is called conciliation. The key insight here is that when your peer has access to private evidence you lack, this strengthens rather than weakens the case for conciliation. Their disagreement might be perfectly rational given what they know that you don't know. This asymmetry in evidence means their dissent could reflect genuine reasons you're unaware of, making their disagreement more epistemically significant. Option A correctly captures this reasoning—the peer's private evidence provides a plausible explanation for the disagreement that doesn't impugn either party's rationality. Option B is wrong because you can still recognize that unseen evidence might be relevant to your belief's truth, even if you can't evaluate its specific content. Option C gets the direction backward—private evidence makes the peer's disagreement more significant, not less, so it argues against holding your belief more steadfastly. Option D is too strong; while some reduction in confidence is warranted, completely suspending judgment isn't necessarily required. Remember: In peer disagreement scenarios, always consider whether there are epistemic asymmetries that might explain the disagreement without assuming someone made an error.

Question 15

Imagine a 'perfectly rational agent' who discovers an epistemic peer disagrees with her belief P. Why can this agent not simply reason: "My peer's disagreement is evidence that one of us has made a mistake. Given that I am a perfectly rational agent, the mistake cannot be mine. Therefore, the mistake must be my peer's, and I should not change my mind"?

This reasoning begs the question by assuming the agent's own rationality as a premise to dismiss evidence that calls that very rationality into question on this specific occasion. (correct answer)
This reasoning is flawed because the peer is also a perfectly rational agent, so the agent's premise that she is unique is false.
This reasoning fails because a perfectly rational agent would know that even they can make mistakes.
This reasoning is invalid because perfect rationality does not guarantee truth, only valid inferences from given evidence.

Explanation: This question tests your understanding of epistemic peer disagreement and circular reasoning in epistemology. When facing disagreement with an epistemic peer (someone equally rational and informed), you need to recognize what counts as legitimate evidence for revising your beliefs. The reasoning fails because it's circular—it assumes the very thing that needs to be proven. The agent uses her own rationality as a premise to dismiss evidence (the peer's disagreement) that potentially challenges her rationality on this particular issue. This is question-begging: you can't use "I'm rational" as grounds for ignoring evidence that suggests you might have made an error, because doing so presupposes the conclusion you're trying to reach. The peer's disagreement is precisely evidence that calls into question whether the agent reasoned correctly this time, so dismissing it based on assumed infallibility creates a logical circle. Option B is incorrect because the problem isn't about false premises regarding the peer's rationality—both agents can be perfectly rational yet still disagree. Option C misses the mark because the issue isn't whether rational agents can make mistakes in general, but rather the circular logic used to dismiss this specific disagreement. Option D fails because the problem isn't about rationality guaranteeing truth, but about the self-defeating nature of the reasoning process itself. Watch for circular reasoning in philosophy questions—any argument that assumes its conclusion as a premise to dismiss counter-evidence is suspect. When you see "perfectly rational agent" scenarios, focus on the logical structure of the reasoning, not just the content of the beliefs.

Question 16

Sarah and Tom are epistemic peers who disagree about the solution to a math problem. Sarah gets answer X, and Tom gets answer Y. Sarah then discovers a crucial piece of information: Tom quietly admits to her that he did not have his morning coffee and feels quite groggy and unfocused. How should this new information impact Sarah's obligation to conciliate with Tom?

It strengthens her obligation to conciliate, as Tom's grogginess means he needs more epistemic support from his peers.
It has no impact, as cognitive states are private and cannot be used to evaluate the objective merits of a mathematical calculation.
It requires her to average their answers, but with a weighting system that gives Tom's answer less than 50% weight.
It weakens or eliminates her obligation to conciliate, as she now has a reason independent of the disagreement to think Tom's cognitive performance is impaired. (correct answer)

Explanation: When you encounter questions about epistemic peer disagreement, focus on what breaks the symmetry between the disagreeing parties. Epistemic peers are individuals with roughly equal competence, evidence, and cognitive abilities regarding a particular domain. When peers disagree, conciliation theory suggests you should reduce confidence in your view and move toward your peer's position. The key insight here is that Sarah's new information fundamentally changes the epistemic landscape. Tom's admission about being groggy provides Sarah with an independent reason to doubt his cognitive performance that has nothing to do with the content of their disagreement. This breaks the epistemic parity between them. Since mathematical problems have objective answers that depend heavily on careful reasoning and attention to detail, Tom's impaired cognitive state gives Sarah legitimate grounds to discount his judgment. Answer A incorrectly suggests grogginess creates a greater obligation to conciliate, but epistemic support doesn't work by deferring more to impaired reasoners. Answer B wrongly claims cognitive states are irrelevant to mathematical reasoning, but alertness and focus clearly affect our ability to perform calculations accurately. Answer C proposes a mechanical averaging approach, but once epistemic parity is broken, there's no principled reason why Tom's answer should receive exactly less than 50% weight rather than being largely discounted. Remember: epistemic peer disagreement depends on maintaining rough equality between the parties. Any independent evidence that one party's reasoning is compromised - whether from fatigue, bias, or other factors - weakens or eliminates the obligation to conciliate with their view.

Question 17

Alex should maintain his 80% confidence, because his own careful reasoning provides the most direct evidence he has.
Alex should significantly lower his confidence in the 80% probability, moving his credence toward Ben's 20% to reflect the peer disagreement. (correct answer)
Alex should dismiss Ben's conclusion, as the large divergence in their probabilities is strong evidence that Ben has made a serious, yet undetectable, error.
Alex should suspend judgment on the probability of rain entirely, as the disagreement from a peer proves the evidence is fundamentally inscrutable.

Question 18

It has no effect; their established peer status concerning their general logical ability overrides a specific track record.
It proves Maria is epistemically superior, so she should increase her confidence to certainty and dismiss John's view entirely.
It provides a symmetry-breaking reason for Maria to trust her own conclusion more, justifying less conciliation than would otherwise be required. (correct answer)
It should cause Maria to trust John more, as his lower success rate suggests he is more cautious and less prone to overconfidence.

Question 19

She should maintain full confidence that the books are balanced, as she has re-verified her own work and found no error.
She should conclude that the books are unbalanced, as the discovery of an error is more definitive than a finding of no error.
She should substantially decrease her confidence that the books are balanced, acknowledging the significant probability that she has missed something Quentin found. (correct answer)
She should believe that both conclusions are somehow correct, perhaps due to a flaw in accounting principles themselves.

Question 20

The single dissenter is epistemically insignificant, as the 11-1 majority provides overwhelming confirmation of the guilty verdict.
The single dissenter is more epistemically significant than any individual in the 6-6 split, as their lone dissent is evidence of a flaw the other 11 missed.
The single dissenter has the same epistemic significance as the 6 dissenters in the 6-6 split, as any peer disagreement mandates suspending judgment.
The single dissenter's opinion carries significant epistemic weight, requiring a reduction in confidence, but less weight than the disagreement of six peers in a 6-6 split. (correct answer)