Predictable Vs Sudden Hazards Practice Test

A region monitors two hazards with a simple weekly log.

Hazard M (Volcano): Week 1—few small quakes; Week 2—more small quakes; Week 3—steam increases; Week 4—official alert raised to Orange; Week 5—eruption occurs.

Hazard N (Earthquake): A magnitude 6.0 earthquake occurs during Week 5 with no earlier change in alerts.

Which statement about warning signs is supported by the log, while also recognizing that prediction does not mean certainty?

A news post says: “Scientists can predict natural hazards now, so communities don’t need drills.”

Local evidence from the past year:

• Wildfire smoke days increased during a 2-month drought; fire danger alerts were posted repeatedly before several fires started.
• A magnitude 5.5 earthquake occurred with no short-term public warning.

Which statement best evaluates the news post using the evidence?