All questions
Question 1
The 'catering theory' of dividends posits that managers cater to investor preferences, initiating or increasing dividends when investors are placing a stock price premium on dividend-paying stocks, and omitting them when they are not. If this theory is correct, which of the following empirical observations would be most likely?
- The market-wide premium for dividend-paying stocks is a significant predictor of the number of firms initiating dividend payments in the following period. (correct answer)
- Firms with high institutional ownership are more likely to pay dividends than firms with high retail ownership.
- The aggregate dividend payout ratios of all firms in the market remain relatively stable over time, regardless of market conditions.
- A firm's dividend policy is highly correlated with its level of free cash flow and investment opportunities.
Explanation: The catering theory of dividends suggests that managers adjust dividend policies based on how the market currently values dividend-paying versus non-dividend-paying stocks. When investors favor dividend stocks and bid up their prices, managers respond by initiating or increasing dividends to capture this premium. When the market doesn't reward dividend payments, managers reduce or eliminate them.
If this theory is correct, you'd expect to see a clear relationship between market sentiment toward dividends and corporate dividend decisions. Answer A captures this perfectly: when there's a market-wide premium for dividend-paying stocks (meaning investors are willing to pay higher prices for them), more firms should initiate dividend payments in subsequent periods as managers try to capitalize on this investor preference.
Answer B is incorrect because it describes institutional versus retail ownership patterns, which relates more to clientele effects than catering theory. Answer C contradicts catering theory entirely—if managers truly cater to changing investor preferences, aggregate payout ratios should fluctuate significantly as market sentiment shifts, not remain stable. Answer D describes traditional dividend theories based on free cash flow and investment opportunities (like pecking order theory), not the market-timing aspect central to catering theory.
When studying dividend theories, remember that catering theory is unique because it emphasizes managers responding to market sentiment and investor preferences rather than fundamental factors like cash flow or growth opportunities. Look for questions that test whether you can distinguish between theories that focus on market psychology versus those based on financial fundamentals.
Question 2
According to the dividend irrelevance theory proposed by Miller and Modigliani, in a world with perfect capital markets, a firm's dividend policy does not affect its value. Which of the following real-world factors, if introduced, would not in itself provide a rationale for why dividend policy could affect firm value?
- The existence of different tax rates on dividends and capital gains for investors.
- The presence of significant transaction costs for investors selling shares.
- The diversification of the firm's investor base across various income and tax brackets. (correct answer)
- The belief among managers that they have better information about the firm's prospects than outside investors.
Explanation: The M&M theory relies on assumptions like no taxes, no transaction costs, and no information asymmetry. Violating these assumptions can make dividend policy relevant. (A) Differential taxes create a preference for one form of payout over another, affecting value. (B) Transaction costs make 'homemade dividends' an imperfect substitute for corporate dividends. (D) Information asymmetry is the foundation for signaling theory, where dividends convey information and thus affect value. (C) describes the clientele effect. While related to dividend policy, the theory itself does not argue that the policy creates value. It argues that investors will sort themselves into firms with preferred policies. Once a firm's clientele is established, the policy itself doesn't affect value; rather, changing the policy would cause a temporary price dislocation as clienteles shift.
Question 3
A company experiences a windfall profit from the sale of a non-core asset. The board wants to distribute the proceeds to shareholders but is uncertain about the sustainability of its core business's recent performance improvement. Which payout choice and associated signal is most appropriate for this situation?
- Increase the regular quarterly dividend, signaling strong confidence in the firm's permanent earnings power.
- Announce a large, one-time special dividend, signaling that the cash distribution is from a non-recurring event. (correct answer)
- Initiate a fixed-price tender offer repurchase, signaling that management believes the stock is currently undervalued.
- Use the proceeds to pay down debt, signaling a commitment to a more conservative capital structure.
Explanation: The key is that the profit is a 'windfall' (non-recurring) and management is uncertain about future performance. Increasing the regular dividend (A) creates an expectation that the new, higher dividend will be maintained, which management is not confident it can do. This would send a false signal. A special dividend (B) is the perfect tool for this situation. It distributes the non-recurring cash flow to shareholders without creating a future commitment, correctly signaling the temporary nature of the funds. A repurchase (C) signals undervaluation, which isn't the primary message here. Paying down debt (D) is a use of cash but not a distribution to shareholders as requested by the board.
Question 4
A country's government announces a major tax reform. The new law will eliminate all taxes on long-term capital gains but will maintain a 20% tax rate on dividend income for all investors. According to the tax preference theory, what is the most likely aggregate response of corporations' payout policies in that country?
- Firms will significantly increase their use of regular dividends to signal their quality in a tax-disadvantaged way.
- Payout policies will remain unchanged, as firms prioritize dividend stability and signaling over tax considerations.
- Firms will shift their payout policies away from cash dividends and towards share repurchases and reinvestment. (correct answer)
- Firms will increase their dividend payout ratios to attract a new clientele of tax-exempt institutional investors.
Explanation: The tax preference theory posits that, because capital gains are historically taxed at a lower effective rate than dividends, investors prefer to receive returns in the form of capital gains. Firms, in turn, should have lower dividend payout ratios to cater to this preference. The described tax reform dramatically increases the tax disadvantage of dividends (20% tax) relative to capital gains (0% tax). Therefore, the theory predicts that firms will respond to this incentive by minimizing dividends and favoring methods that produce capital gains, such as reinvesting cash into the business or conducting share repurchases.
Question 5
A company whose stock is trading at $120 per share declares a 2-for-1 stock split. From a purely theoretical finance perspective, assuming perfect markets, what is the impact on shareholder wealth and what is the most common positive signal management intends to send?
- Wealth increases due to the shareholder receiving more shares; the signal is that the company has excess retained earnings.
- Wealth is unchanged as the stock price will halve; the signal is that management expects future earnings to grow sufficiently to support a higher share price. (correct answer)
- Wealth decreases due to administrative costs; the signal is that the company is trying to artificially inflate its earnings per share.
- Wealth is unchanged; the signal is that the company is moving towards a more conservative dividend policy.
Explanation: A stock split is like cutting a pizza into more slices; the total amount of pizza doesn't change. A 2-for-1 split doubles the number of shares but halves the value per share (the price should adjust to ~$60). Thus, total shareholder wealth is unchanged. However, splits are not done in a vacuum. The most common interpretation is that management is sending a signal of confidence. They believe future earnings and growth will be strong, causing the post-split price to rise significantly from its new, lower level. Management splits the stock to keep it in a trading range they feel is attractive to investors, anticipating future price appreciation.
Question 6
'Dividend capture' is a trading strategy where an investor buys a stock just before its ex-dividend date and sells it shortly after, aiming to capture the dividend payment. The existence and active use of this strategy by certain traders implies what about the information content and valuation of dividends?
- It reinforces the Miller-Modigliani dividend irrelevance theorem, as traders can create any income stream they prefer.
- It suggests that the market does not efficiently price the information content of dividend announcements in advance.
- It proves that dividend payments contain significant private information about a firm's future prospects.
- It indicates that for some market participants, the cash payment of a dividend is valued distinctly from the capital appreciation component of total return. (correct answer)
Explanation: When you encounter questions about dividend capture strategies, focus on what the strategy reveals about how different market participants value different components of investment returns.
The dividend capture strategy works because it exploits a fundamental market reality: on the ex-dividend date, a stock's price typically drops by approximately the dividend amount, but this adjustment isn't always perfectly efficient in the short term. More importantly, the strategy's existence demonstrates that some investors specifically value the cash dividend payment differently from equivalent capital appreciation. This behavioral preference—whether due to tax considerations, income needs, or psychological factors—creates opportunities for traders who are indifferent between cash dividends and capital gains to profit from these valuation differences.
Option A is incorrect because Miller-Modigliani's theorem assumes perfect markets without taxes or transaction costs, which don't exist in reality where dividend capture operates. Option B mischaracterizes the issue—markets generally do price dividend announcements efficiently over longer periods, but short-term inefficiencies around ex-dividend dates create trading opportunities. Option C overstates the case; dividend capture doesn't require dividends to contain private information about future prospects—it simply exploits price adjustment patterns and investor preferences.
The correct answer is D because dividend capture's profitability fundamentally depends on the fact that some market participants treat dividend income distinctly from capital gains, creating arbitrage opportunities for those who view them as equivalent.
Remember: When analyzing trading strategies, ask yourself what market inefficiency or behavioral difference the strategy exploits—this often reveals the underlying economic principle being tested.
Question 7
Consider a firm in a Miller-Modigliani world with no taxes. The firm has a fixed investment policy. The firm decides to change its payout policy by issuing new debt and using the proceeds to immediately pay a large, one-time dividend to shareholders. According to M&M theory, what is the effect of this transaction on the firm's total value and its cost of equity?
- Firm value remains unchanged, but the cost of equity increases to reflect the higher financial risk from the new debt. (correct answer)
- Firm value remains unchanged, and the cost of equity remains unchanged because the firm's operating cash flows are not affected.
- Firm value increases because of the tax shield of debt, and the cost of equity remains unchanged.
- Firm value decreases because of the agency costs of debt, and the cost of equity increases.
Explanation: This question tests your understanding of Miller-Modigliani (M&M) Proposition I in a world without taxes, specifically how capital structure changes affect firm value and cost of equity when investment policy remains fixed.
Under M&M Proposition I with no taxes, a firm's total value depends only on its operating cash flows and investment policy, not on how it's financed. When the firm issues debt to pay a dividend, it's simply changing the mix of debt and equity without affecting the underlying business operations or investment decisions. The dividend payment transfers wealth from the firm to shareholders, but this is exactly offset by the new debt obligation, leaving total firm value unchanged.
However, the cost of equity does increase. As the firm takes on more debt, equity holders face greater financial risk since debt payments have priority over equity returns. According to M&M Proposition II, the cost of equity rises linearly with the debt-to-equity ratio to compensate shareholders for this additional financial risk.
Looking at the wrong answers: B incorrectly assumes the cost of equity stays constant—while operating cash flows aren't affected, the financial risk to equity holders definitely increases. C mentions a tax shield, but the question explicitly states this is a no-tax world. D introduces agency costs, which aren't part of the basic M&M framework without taxes.
Remember this key M&M insight: in perfect markets without taxes, capital structure changes are just reshuffling—they don't create or destroy value, but they do affect the risk and required return of each security type.
Question 8
A company announces a fixed-price tender offer to repurchase 10% of its outstanding shares at a price 20% above the current market price. This action is generally interpreted as a stronger positive signal than an open-market repurchase authorization of the same size. Which of the following best explains why?
- The tender offer is a less tax-efficient method of returning capital, so management must be more confident to use it.
- The fixed price and specific quantity create a more binding and immediate commitment, signaling a stronger belief that the stock is undervalued. (correct answer)
- The tender offer increases the firm's financial leverage more rapidly, signaling a shift to a more aggressive capital structure.
- The 20% premium directly compensates shareholders for the future dividends they will forego by selling their shares.
Explanation: An open-market repurchase is merely an authorization for management to buy back shares over a period, and there is no guarantee it will be completed. It offers high flexibility. In contrast, a fixed-price tender offer is a direct, public offer to buy a specific number of shares at a specific premium price by a specific date. This represents a much stronger, more credible commitment from the company. It effectively says, 'We believe so strongly that our stock is worth at least this premium price that we are making an immediate, binding offer to buy it.' This high level of commitment makes it a more powerful signal of undervaluation than a more flexible open-market plan.
Question 9
A growth-stage biotechnology firm has just achieved profitability. It anticipates highly variable but potentially large R&D and capital expenditure needs over the next five years. The firm's management is also concerned about its stock being perceived as speculative. Which dividend policy would best balance the need for financial flexibility with the desire to send a positive signal to the market?
- Initiate a high, regular quarterly dividend to signal confidence and attract institutional investors.
- Commit to a stable dividend payout ratio, such as 30% of annual earnings.
- Adopt a policy of a low regular dividend supplemented by special dividends in years of high cash flow. (correct answer)
- Announce a policy of no dividends, using all cash for reinvestment and share repurchases.
Explanation: The firm faces conflicting goals: it needs financial flexibility for its unpredictable investments, but it also wants to signal stability. A high regular dividend (A) would be risky and could lead to a damaging dividend cut if cash is needed for R&D. A stable payout ratio (B) would result in volatile dividends because earnings are unstable, sending a confusing signal. A policy of no dividends (D) maximizes flexibility but fails to send the desired positive signal. A policy of a low, stable regular dividend supplemented by occasional special dividends (C) is the best compromise. The low regular dividend provides a consistent, credible signal of stability, while keeping the cash commitment manageable. Special dividends can be used to pay out excess cash in good years without creating an ongoing expectation, thus preserving flexibility.
Question 10
A company is financed with a high level of risky debt with weak covenants. Management, acting in shareholders' interests, is considering two uses for excess cash: 1) investing in a very high-risk project with a slightly negative NPV, or 2) paying a large, unexpected special dividend. From the perspective of the company's bondholders, which of the following is true?
- Both actions are beneficial as they signal the company's ability to generate cash.
- The special dividend is preferable because it returns capital that could otherwise be used for risky projects.
- The high-risk project is preferable because its success would increase the firm's asset base, improving bond safety.
- Both actions are detrimental as they transfer wealth from bondholders to shareholders. (correct answer)
Explanation: This question addresses agency costs of debt. From the bondholders' perspective, both options are harmful. Option 1 is the 'asset substitution' problem: shareholders benefit from the massive upside if the risky project succeeds, while bondholders bear the increased risk of default if it fails. Option 2 is the 'claim dilution' or 'asset stripping' problem: paying a large dividend removes assets from the firm, reducing the collateral base that protects bondholders and increasing the likelihood of default. Both actions increase the riskiness of the bonds and transfer wealth from bondholders to shareholders.
Question 11
Apex Manufacturing has a publicly stated policy of adhering strictly to the residual dividend model. The company maintains a target debt-to-equity ratio of 0.50. For the upcoming year, it has a capital budget of $120 million and projects net income of $100 million. The payment of the dividend calculated under this policy primarily signals which of the following to the market?
- Management's confidence in achieving exactly $100 million in net income for the year.
- The firm has a limited number of profitable investment opportunities relative to its earnings generation. (correct answer)
- A commitment to a stable and predictable payout for shareholders, enhancing investor confidence.
- The firm's intention to shift its capital structure towards a higher proportion of equity financing.
Explanation: Under the residual dividend model, dividends are paid only from earnings that are 'left over' after financing the equity portion of the optimal capital budget. The equity portion needed is $120M * (1 / (1 + 0.50)) = $80M. Since net income is $100M, there is a residual of $100M - $80M = $20M to be paid as a dividend. The primary signal here is not about the precision of the income forecast, but about the relationship between profits and investments. The fact that a dividend is paid at all signals that the firm generated more earnings than it had profitable (positive NPV) projects to invest in. A strict residual policy leads to volatile dividends, so it does not signal stability (C). The policy is designed to maintain a target capital structure, not change it (D).
Question 12
The 'catering theory' of dividends posits that managers cater to investor preferences, initiating or increasing dividends when investors are placing a stock price premium on dividend-paying stocks, and omitting them when they are not. If this theory is correct, which of the following empirical observations would be most likely?
- The market-wide premium for dividend-paying stocks is a significant predictor of the number of firms initiating dividend payments in the following period. (correct answer)
- Firms with high institutional ownership are more likely to pay dividends than firms with high retail ownership.
- The aggregate dividend payout ratios of all firms in the market remain relatively stable over time, regardless of market conditions.
- A firm's dividend policy is highly correlated with its level of free cash flow and investment opportunities.
Explanation: The catering theory of dividends suggests that managers adjust dividend policies based on how the market currently values dividend-paying versus non-dividend-paying stocks. When investors favor dividend stocks and bid up their prices, managers respond by initiating or increasing dividends to capture this premium. When the market doesn't reward dividend payments, managers reduce or eliminate them.
If this theory is correct, you'd expect to see a clear relationship between market sentiment toward dividends and corporate dividend decisions. Answer A captures this perfectly: when there's a market-wide premium for dividend-paying stocks (meaning investors are willing to pay higher prices for them), more firms should initiate dividend payments in subsequent periods as managers try to capitalize on this investor preference.
Answer B is incorrect because it describes institutional versus retail ownership patterns, which relates more to clientele effects than catering theory. Answer C contradicts catering theory entirely—if managers truly cater to changing investor preferences, aggregate payout ratios should fluctuate significantly as market sentiment shifts, not remain stable. Answer D describes traditional dividend theories based on free cash flow and investment opportunities (like pecking order theory), not the market-timing aspect central to catering theory.
When studying dividend theories, remember that catering theory is unique because it emphasizes managers responding to market sentiment and investor preferences rather than fundamental factors like cash flow or growth opportunities. Look for questions that test whether you can distinguish between theories that focus on market psychology versus those based on financial fundamentals.
Question 13
A company follows a hybrid dividend policy. It aims to adhere to a residual payout model based on its capital budget but is also strongly committed to avoiding any reduction in its current dividend per share of $2.00. The company has 10 million shares outstanding, a capital budget of $80 million, and a target capital structure of 40% debt. What level of net income would force the company to choose between its two policy goals?
- Net income of $70 million
- Net income of $68 million
- Net income of $65 million (correct answer)
- Net income of $48 million
Explanation: This is a multi-step problem. First, calculate the funds needed for investment and the committed dividend payment.
-
Equity portion of capital budget = Total Budget * (1 - Debt Ratio) = $80M * (1 - 0.40) = $48M.
-
Total committed dividend = Dividend per share * Shares = $2.00 * 10M = $20M.
For the company to satisfy both goals, its net income must be large enough to cover both the equity needed for investment and the committed dividend. The total need is $48M + $20M = $68M. If net income is less than $68M, a conflict arises. Let's check the choices:
- At NI = $70M, the residual is $70M - $48M = $22M, which is enough to pay the $20M dividend.
- At NI = $68M, the residual is $68M - $48M = $20M, exactly enough.
- At NI = $65M, the residual is $65M - $48M = $17M. This is not enough to pay the $20M dividend. The firm must either cut the dividend or fail to fund its budget/maintain its capital structure. Thus, $65M forces a choice.
Question 14
A mature company with few growth prospects generates substantial free cash flow. Its management team has a history of pursuing low-return 'empire-building' acquisitions. A group of activist investors gains seats on the board. Which change in payout policy would most effectively address the agency problem described?
- Implementing a flexible open-market stock repurchase plan to return capital efficiently.
- Instituting a large, regular quarterly dividend, creating a binding commitment to pay out cash. (correct answer)
- Declaring a one-time special dividend to return the current excess cash balance to shareholders.
- Adopting a residual dividend policy to ensure all positive NPV projects are funded first.
Explanation: The agency problem described is the free cash flow problem, where managers with excess cash invest in value-destroying projects rather than returning cash to shareholders. The most effective solution is to remove managerial discretion over this cash. Instituting a large, regular dividend creates a strong, ongoing commitment to pay out cash quarterly. This 'hard' commitment reduces the cash available for wasteful spending. A flexible repurchase plan (A) still leaves discretion with managers. A special dividend (C) is a one-time fix and doesn't address future cash flows. A residual policy (D) is ineffective because the problem is that management's assessment of 'positive NPV projects' is flawed.
Question 15
A utility company, which has historically paid a high and stable dividend attracting a large base of retired, income-seeking investors, announces a new policy. It will eliminate its regular dividend and instead use all free cash flow for aggressive share repurchases to maximize capital gains. According to the clientele effect, what is the most probable immediate market reaction?
- The stock price will increase significantly as the market rewards the firm for adopting a more tax-efficient payout method.
- The stock price will remain stable as income-seeking investors are replaced by capital-gains-oriented investors at the current market price.
- The stock will experience temporary downward price pressure as the current investor base sells its shares to new investors who prefer the new policy. (correct answer)
- The firm's beta will decrease because the new policy reduces the uncertainty of future cash flows for shareholders.
Explanation: The clientele effect suggests that firms attract investors who prefer their specific dividend policy. The utility's current clientele consists of income-seeking investors. When the firm eliminates its dividend, this group will no longer find the stock attractive and will sell their shares. This sudden, large-scale selling will create temporary downward pressure on the stock price. Over time, a new clientele of investors who prefer capital gains (via repurchases) will be attracted to the stock, and the price may recover or even increase. However, the immediate effect of the existing clientele leaving is negative price pressure.
Question 16
A mature technology company, Innovate Corp., operates in a highly competitive market with significant information asymmetry regarding its R&D pipeline. The board announces a 25% increase in its regular quarterly dividend, a significant departure from its historical policy of small, stable increases. Which of the following is the most likely reason an informed analyst would interpret this as a credible signal of strong future prospects?
- The commitment to higher future cash payouts makes it costly for a firm with poor prospects to mimic the signal. (correct answer)
- The announcement immediately increases the firm's stock price, which confirms the signal's validity to the market.
- Dividend increases are less tax-efficient than share repurchases, so management must be extremely confident to choose this option.
- The firm is signaling that it has exhausted its positive net present value (NPV) investment opportunities.
Explanation: The core of signaling theory is that for a signal to be credible, it must be costly for a lower-quality firm to imitate. By committing to a higher regular dividend, management is committing to substantial future cash outflows. A firm with genuinely strong prospects can afford this, while a firm with poor prospects cannot, as it would lead to financial distress. Therefore, the cost of falsely signaling prevents weak firms from mimicking strong ones. Choice B confuses the effect (price increase) with the cause of credibility. Choice C is a consideration but not the primary reason for credibility; the commitment itself is the key. Choice D describes a potential negative signal (the free cash flow hypothesis), not a positive one about future prospects.
Question 17
For the first time in 25 years, a blue-chip industrial company announces it is omitting its next quarterly dividend. The company's press release states the cash is being conserved to 'pursue strategic opportunities.' The market reacts with a 15% drop in the stock price. What is the most likely interpretation of this event by the market?
- The market believes the 'strategic opportunities' are likely to be highly profitable, value-creating investments.
- The market interprets the announcement as a signal that the firm's shares are significantly undervalued.
- The market is signaling its disapproval of the firm's shift from an income stock to a growth stock.
- The market believes the firm's future earnings and cash flows will be insufficient to maintain the historical dividend. (correct answer)
Explanation: Dividend omissions, especially for established dividend-paying firms, are one of the strongest and most negative signals a company can send. The market is highly skeptical of management's stated reasons (like 'strategic opportunities') and tends to interpret the action as a sign of severe financial distress or a pessimistic outlook on future earnings and cash flow. The magnitude of the price drop reflects this negative information content. A dividend cut implies that managers, who have the best information, believe the firm cannot afford the payment, which is a dire signal. The undervaluation signal (B) is associated with repurchases. While there is a clientele shift (C), the primary signal is about fundamental financial health.
Question 18
An analyst argues that a firm should increase its dividend payout ratio, stating, "Investors are risk-averse and will always value a dollar of certain dividends today more than a dollar of uncertain future capital gains. Therefore, a higher dividend will reduce the firm's cost of equity and increase its value." This argument is most closely associated with which dividend theory, and what is its primary theoretical flaw?
- Tax Preference Theory; its flaw is ignoring the higher tax rates typically applied to dividends versus capital gains.
- Signaling Theory; its flaw is assuming that all dividend increases are credible signals of future growth.
- Bird-in-the-Hand Theory; its flaw is that it incorrectly equates the riskiness of the dividend policy with the firm's overall systematic risk. (correct answer)
- Clientele Effect Theory; its flaw is assuming that the firm can change its investor base without incurring transaction costs.
Explanation: The analyst's argument is the classic formulation of the Bird-in-the-Hand theory, which posits that investors prefer the 'bird in the hand' (a certain dividend) to the 'two in the bush' (uncertain capital gains). The primary theoretical counterargument, advanced by Miller and Modigliani, is that this reasoning is a fallacy. The firm's riskiness, and therefore its cost of capital, is determined by the risk of its underlying cash flows from its investment decisions, not by how it chooses to distribute those cash flows (i.e., its payout policy). The choice between dividends and capital gains doesn't change the firm's fundamental operating risk.
Question 19
A company's stock is trading at $50 per share. It has $100 million in earnings and 40 million shares outstanding. The board authorizes a $200 million open-market repurchase program. Assuming the company repurchases shares at the current market price, what are the primary signaling and financial consequences?
- Earnings per share (EPS) will decrease, signaling management's belief that the company's growth prospects are limited.
- Earnings per share (EPS) will increase, primarily signaling management's belief that the firm's shares are currently undervalued. (correct answer)
- The firm's P/E ratio will increase, signaling a commitment to returning capital to shareholders instead of pursuing risky projects.
- The book value per share will decrease, signaling the underlying weakness of the company's asset base.
Explanation: First, let's analyze the financial effect. The company would repurchase $200M / $50/share = 4 million shares. The new number of shares outstanding would be 40M - 4M = 36 million. The new EPS would be $100M / 36M shares = $2.78. The old EPS was $100M / 40M shares = $2.50. So, EPS increases. Second, the primary signal of an open-market share repurchase is that management believes its stock is a good investment at the current price, i.e., that it is undervalued. Therefore, both the financial consequence (EPS increase) and the primary signal (undervaluation) in choice B are correct. Choice A incorrectly states EPS will decrease. Choice C is incorrect about the P/E ratio effect (it would likely decrease if the price doesn't rise proportionally to the EPS increase). Choice D is incorrect because book value per share will decrease as long as the market-to-book ratio is above 1, but this does not signal weakness.
Question 20
A high-growth technology firm that has never paid a dividend announces the initiation of a modest but regular quarterly dividend. The firm's revenue growth has recently slowed from 40% annually to 15%. What is the most likely dual signal the market will receive from this dividend initiation?
- A positive signal of confidence in future earnings stability, and a negative signal of declining future investment opportunities. (correct answer)
- A positive signal of shareholder-friendly governance, and a positive signal of imminent high-growth projects.
- A negative signal that the firm must attract income investors, and a negative signal of increased financial risk.
- A positive signal that the stock is undervalued, and a negative signal of an attempt to manipulate earnings per share.
Explanation: A dividend initiation sends a complex, two-sided signal. On the one hand, it is a positive sign of maturity. Management is confident enough in the stability and predictability of future cash flows to make a regular commitment to shareholders. This reduces the perceived risk of the firm. On the other hand, it is a negative signal about growth prospects. The decision to pay cash out, rather than reinvest it all, implies that the firm no longer has an abundance of high-return (positive NPV) investment opportunities that characterized its hyper-growth phase. This signals a transition from a growth firm to a more mature one.