AP Statistics Quiz: Inference And Experiments
20 questions · exam conditions
0:00
Inference And ExperimentsQuestion 1 of 20

Researchers want to study whether people who sleep fewer hours tend to have higher stress. They recruit 300 volunteers from a large company by emailing all employees; those who respond complete a survey reporting average sleep hours and a stress score. Which conclusion is justified based on the design?

(Assume accurate self-reporting.)

The study shows that sleeping fewer hours causes higher stress for all adults.
Because there is a large sample size, the results can be generalized to all employees at the company and establish causation.
The study can establish a cause-and-effect relationship between sleep and stress for the volunteers.
The study can describe an association between sleep and stress among the volunteers, but it cannot establish causation or be safely generalized to all employees.
Because employees self-selected into the study, random assignment is guaranteed, so causation can be concluded.
← Back to quizzes

AP Statistics Quiz

AP Statistics Quiz: Inference And Experiments

Practice Inference And Experiments in AP Statistics with focused quiz questions that help you check what you know, review explanations, and build confidence with test-style prompts.

What this quiz covers

This quiz focuses on Inference And Experiments, giving you a quick way to practice the rules, question types, and explanations that matter most for AP Statistics.

How to use this quiz

Try each quiz question before looking at the correct answer. Use the explanations to review missed ideas, then come back to similar questions until the pattern feels familiar.

All questions

Question 1

Researchers want to study whether people who sleep fewer hours tend to have higher stress. They recruit 300 volunteers from a large company by emailing all employees; those who respond complete a survey reporting average sleep hours and a stress score. Which conclusion is justified based on the design?

(Assume accurate self-reporting.)

  1. The study shows that sleeping fewer hours causes higher stress for all adults.
  2. Because there is a large sample size, the results can be generalized to all employees at the company and establish causation.
  3. The study can establish a cause-and-effect relationship between sleep and stress for the volunteers.
  4. The study can describe an association between sleep and stress among the volunteers, but it cannot establish causation or be safely generalized to all employees. (correct answer)
  5. Because employees self-selected into the study, random assignment is guaranteed, so causation can be concluded.

Explanation: This question evaluates the AP Statistics skill of distinguishing observational studies from experiments and the role of randomization in drawing inferences. The study lacks random assignment, as volunteers self-report sleep and stress without treatment manipulation, making it observational and unable to establish causation due to potential confounders like lifestyle factors. There is no random sampling either, since participants self-selected via email response, so results cannot be safely generalized beyond the volunteers. Choice E distracts by claiming self-selection guarantees random assignment, which is false; random assignment requires researcher control. In a mini-lesson on inference types, observational studies can describe associations in the sample but need random sampling for population generalization and random assignment (turning it into an experiment) for causation. Here, only an association among volunteers can be described, without broader inferences or causal claims.

Question 2

A state transportation agency wanted to estimate the average time (in minutes) that commuters spend waiting for a train during weekday mornings. The agency randomly selected 15 train stations from all stations in the state and then, at each selected station, recorded the waiting time for the first 20 commuters who arrived between 7:00 and 9:00 AM on a single Tuesday. Which conclusion is justified based on the design of this study?

  1. Because train stations were randomly selected, the agency can generalize the results to all weekday-morning commuters in the state without concern.
  2. Because commuters were not randomly selected within each station (only the first 20 arrivals), selection bias may limit how well the results represent all weekday-morning commuters at those stations. (correct answer)
  3. Because the agency observed waiting times, it can conclude that arriving earlier causes shorter waits.
  4. Because the total sample size is 15×20=30015\times 20=300, the agency can generalize the results to all commuters in the entire country.
  5. Because the agency collected data on a Tuesday, the agency can conclude the average waiting time is the same on all days of the week.

Explanation: This question evaluates understanding of complex sampling designs and selection bias. The agency used a two-stage sampling process: random selection of 15 stations (good for generalization) followed by convenience sampling of the first 20 arrivals at each station (problematic). The first 20 commuters to arrive between 7-9 AM may not represent all commuters at those stations - early arrivers might have different travel patterns or waiting experiences than later arrivers. This selection bias within stations limits how well the results represent all weekday morning commuters even at the sampled stations. Additionally, data from a single Tuesday cannot support conclusions about all weekdays. The correct answer identifies the within-station selection bias as the key limitation. Students often focus only on the first stage of sampling and miss bias introduced in subsequent stages.

Question 3

A company wanted to know whether allowing employees to work from home two days per week increases job satisfaction. The company surveyed all 300 employees and recorded each employee's current work arrangement (fully in-office vs. hybrid) and their satisfaction score on a 1–10 scale. Hybrid employees had higher average satisfaction. No employees were assigned to a work arrangement by the researchers. Which conclusion is justified based on the design of this study?

  1. Working hybrid causes higher job satisfaction because the company measured all employees.
  2. Hybrid work is associated with higher job satisfaction at this company, but the study does not justify a cause-and-effect claim. (correct answer)
  3. Hybrid work causes higher job satisfaction because the sample size is large.
  4. Hybrid work causes higher job satisfaction because the survey included a comparison group.
  5. Hybrid work is associated with higher job satisfaction for all employees nationwide because all employees at this company were surveyed.

Explanation: This question tests recognition of observational studies and their limitations for causal inference. The key skill is understanding that without random assignment, only associations can be established, not causation. The company surveyed all employees about their existing work arrangements and satisfaction levels, making this a census observational study. While the data shows hybrid employees have higher average satisfaction, this association does not prove that hybrid work causes higher satisfaction - there could be confounding factors (perhaps more senior employees choose hybrid work and are also more satisfied). The absence of random assignment to work arrangements means we cannot rule out alternative explanations for the observed difference. Even though all employees were surveyed (a census), this complete enumeration doesn't change the fundamental limitation that observational studies cannot establish causation, only associations.

Question 4

A nutrition researcher wanted to test whether a new high-fiber snack reduces afternoon hunger. She recruited 60 volunteers from a gym and matched them into 30 pairs based on age and baseline hunger rating. Within each pair, one person was randomly assigned to eat the high-fiber snack each afternoon for 2 weeks, and the other was randomly assigned to eat a standard snack with the same calories. At the end of 2 weeks, the high-fiber group reported lower average hunger. Which conclusion is justified based on the design of this study?

  1. The high-fiber snack caused lower afternoon hunger for all adults because matching eliminates all confounding.
  2. The high-fiber snack is associated with lower afternoon hunger among gym members, but causation cannot be inferred because the subjects volunteered.
  3. The high-fiber snack likely caused lower afternoon hunger for the gym volunteers in this study. (correct answer)
  4. Because pairs were matched, the results can be generalized to all gym members in the city.
  5. Because the standard snack had the same calories, the study is observational and cannot support a causal conclusion.

Explanation: This question tests understanding of matched-pairs experiments with volunteer subjects. The key skill is recognizing that random assignment within matched pairs allows causal inference, but volunteer samples limit generalization. The researcher created matched pairs based on age and baseline hunger, then randomly assigned treatments within each pair, making this a matched-pairs experiment. The random assignment within pairs controls for the matching variables and allows causal inference - the high-fiber snack likely caused lower afternoon hunger. However, because subjects were volunteers from a gym rather than randomly selected, the causal conclusion applies only to these volunteers, not to all gym members or adults generally. Matching improves precision by controlling for specific variables, but it doesn't enable broader generalization beyond the volunteer sample. The design supports causation for the study participants but not population-wide inference.

Question 5

A sports scientist recruited 40 volunteer runners from a local running club to test whether a new stretching routine reduces 5K race times. The 40 volunteers were randomly assigned to either use the new routine or continue their usual warm-up for 6 weeks, then each ran a timed 5K. The new-routine group had a lower mean time. Which conclusion is justified based on the design of this study?

  1. The new routine caused faster 5K times for all runners everywhere because random assignment was used.
  2. The new routine caused faster 5K times for runners in the local running club who volunteered for the study. (correct answer)
  3. The new routine is associated with faster 5K times, but causation cannot be inferred because the runners volunteered.
  4. The new routine caused faster 5K times for all members of the local running club because the runners were randomly assigned.
  5. The new routine caused faster 5K times for all adult runners in the city because the study used a control group.

Explanation: This question tests understanding of the scope of causal conclusions in experiments with volunteer samples. The key skill is recognizing that random assignment allows causal inference, but only for the specific group studied when volunteers are used. The sports scientist used random assignment to allocate the 40 volunteers to either the new routine or control group, making this an experiment that can support causal conclusions. However, because the runners volunteered from a local club rather than being randomly selected, the causal conclusion is limited to those volunteers who participated, not all club members or all runners generally. Random assignment eliminates confounding and permits causal inference for the experimental subjects, but without random selection from a larger population, we cannot generalize beyond the study participants. The correct interpretation acknowledges both the causal nature of the conclusion and its limited scope.

Question 6

To test whether background music affects reading comprehension, a researcher randomly selected 120 students from all first-year students at a university. Each selected student was randomly assigned to read a passage either in silence or while listening to instrumental music, then took the same comprehension quiz. The music group scored higher on average. Which conclusion is justified based on the design of this study?

  1. Listening to instrumental music caused higher reading comprehension for first-year students at this university. (correct answer)
  2. Listening to instrumental music is associated with higher reading comprehension for first-year students at this university, but causation cannot be inferred.
  3. Listening to instrumental music caused higher reading comprehension for all college students because random selection was used.
  4. Listening to instrumental music caused higher reading comprehension for the 120 selected students only, but not for other first-year students.
  5. Because the music group scored higher, instrumental music will improve comprehension for every individual student.

Explanation: This question tests understanding of experiments that combine random selection with random assignment. The key skill is recognizing that this design allows both causal inference and generalization to the sampled population. The researcher used random selection to choose 120 students from all first-year students, then randomly assigned them to music or silence conditions. This is a true experiment because of the random assignment, which eliminates confounding and allows us to conclude that the music caused higher comprehension scores. Additionally, because the students were randomly selected from all first-year students at the university, we can generalize this causal conclusion to that entire population. The combination of random selection (for generalization) and random assignment (for causation) makes this a powerful design. The causal conclusion applies to first-year students at this university, not just the 120 in the study.

Question 7

A doctor wants to compare two medications for lowering blood pressure. She enrolls 120 patients from her clinic who meet eligibility criteria. She then randomly assigns 60 patients to Medication A and 60 patients to Medication B for 8 weeks and compares the mean reduction in systolic blood pressure. Which conclusion is justified based on the design?

  1. If Medication A shows a larger mean reduction, the doctor can conclude Medication A caused a larger reduction for patients like those in her clinic. (correct answer)
  2. Because patients were randomly assigned, the doctor can generalize the results to all patients with high blood pressure nationwide.
  3. Because the doctor used volunteers from her clinic, she can conclude only an association, not causation.
  4. Because this is an experiment, the doctor can conclude Medication A causes lower blood pressure for all humans.
  5. Because there was no random sampling, the doctor cannot compare the two medications even for her clinic patients.

Explanation: This question probes AP Statistics understanding of experimental inference, emphasizing causation and limits on generalization. Random assignment of patients to medications allows a cause-and-effect conclusion about blood pressure reduction, as it minimizes confounding. However, without random sampling from a broader population, results apply only to similar clinic patients, not nationwide. Choice B is a distractor, incorrectly claiming random assignment enables national generalization. A mini-lesson on inference: experiments with random assignment support causality within the studied group, while random sampling extends to populations; volunteers limit scope. Thus, the doctor can conclude causation for her clinic-like patients.

Question 8

A researcher wanted to test whether a mindfulness app reduces stress among nurses at a large hospital. From a list of all 900 nurses at the hospital, the researcher randomly selected 150 nurses to participate. The 150 selected nurses were then randomly assigned to either use the mindfulness app daily for 4 weeks or to a control group that received no app. After 4 weeks, the app group had a lower mean stress score on a standardized questionnaire. Which conclusion is justified based on the design of this study?

  1. Using the mindfulness app caused lower stress for the nurses in the study, and the result can be generalized to all nurses at this hospital. (correct answer)
  2. Using the mindfulness app is associated with lower stress for the nurses in the study, but causation cannot be inferred because participation was voluntary.
  3. Using the mindfulness app caused lower stress for all nurses nationwide because random selection was used.
  4. Using the mindfulness app caused lower stress only for the 150 selected nurses, and the result cannot be generalized even to the hospital's nurses.
  5. Because the control group received no app, the study is observational and cannot support a causal claim.

Explanation: This question tests understanding of experiments combining random selection and random assignment for both causation and generalization. The key skill is recognizing when both types of inference are justified by the study design. The researcher first randomly selected 150 nurses from all 900 at the hospital (random selection), then randomly assigned these 150 to app or control groups (random assignment). This design is a true experiment because of random assignment, allowing the conclusion that the app caused lower stress. Additionally, because the 150 nurses were randomly selected from all hospital nurses, this causal conclusion can be generalized to all nurses at the hospital. The combination of random selection from the hospital's nurses and random assignment to treatments creates a powerful design supporting both causal inference and generalization to the specific population sampled (hospital nurses, not all nurses nationwide).

Question 9

A researcher investigated the relationship between sleep and GPA among high school seniors. The researcher randomly selected 200 seniors from the school roster. Each selected student reported their average hours of sleep per night and their current GPA. The researcher found that students who reported more sleep tended to have higher GPAs. Which conclusion is justified based on the design of this study?

  1. More sleep causes higher GPA among high school seniors because the sample was randomly selected.
  2. There is evidence of an association between reported sleep and GPA among seniors at this school, but a cause-and-effect conclusion is not justified. (correct answer)
  3. Because 200 seniors were studied, sleep and GPA must be strongly correlated for all teenagers.
  4. Because students self-reported sleep, the researcher can conclude that sleep has no effect on GPA.
  5. Because the researcher found a trend, the researcher can conclude that increasing sleep will raise GPA for each individual student.

Explanation: This question assesses understanding of observational studies and correlation versus causation. The researcher used random selection of seniors from the school, which supports generalization to all seniors at that school. However, this is an observational study where students self-reported both sleep and GPA - there was no random assignment to different sleep amounts. The observed association (students reporting more sleep tend to have higher GPAs) could be due to confounding variables like study habits, stress levels, or family support that affect both sleep and grades. Without random assignment, we cannot conclude that sleep causes higher GPA. The correct answer properly identifies an association while rejecting causal claims. A classic error is interpreting any relationship between variables as proof of causation.

Question 10

A beverage company completed an experiment to test whether a new packaging design increases purchase intent. The company recruited 300 online panelists (not randomly sampled from all consumers). Each participant was randomly assigned to view either the current package or the new package, then rated purchase intent on a 1–10 scale. The new-package group had a higher mean rating. Which conclusion is justified based on the design of this study?

  1. Because participants were randomly assigned, the new package caused higher purchase-intent ratings among these panelists, but generalizing to all consumers is not justified. (correct answer)
  2. Because the sample size is 300, the new package caused higher purchase intent for all consumers.
  3. Because the participants were not randomly sampled, causation cannot be concluded.
  4. Because the study was done online, it is observational and only association can be concluded.
  5. Because the new-package group rated higher, the new package is associated with higher intent for all consumers, and causation is justified.

Explanation: This question assesses understanding of experiments with limited generalizability. The study uses random assignment (participants randomly assigned to view different packages), which allows causal conclusions - the new package caused higher purchase intent among these 300 panelists. However, online panelists were not randomly sampled from all consumers, so results cannot be generalized to the broader consumer population. The key distractor is choice C, which incorrectly claims lack of random sampling prevents causal conclusions. In experimental design, random assignment (not random sampling) is what permits causal inference. This study can conclude causation for the participants studied but cannot generalize that causal effect to all consumers due to the convenience sample.

Question 11

A county election office wanted to know whether voters prefer to receive election reminders by text message or by email. From the county's list of registered voters, the office randomly selected 1,000 voters and sent each selected voter a survey asking their preferred reminder method. Which conclusion is justified based on the design of this study?

  1. Because voters were randomly selected, the survey results can be generalized to all registered voters in the county (assuming a high response rate and honest answers). (correct answer)
  2. Because the office used a survey, it can conclude that sending text reminders causes higher voter turnout than sending email reminders.
  3. Because 1,000 is a large sample, the results can be generalized to voters in every county in the state.
  4. Because the voters were randomly selected, the office can conclude that text reminders will increase turnout.
  5. Because registered voters were used, the results can be generalized to all adults living in the county, including non-registered adults.

Explanation: This question tests understanding of inference from random sampling in surveys. The election office used random selection from the county's registered voter list, which is the appropriate method for generalizing survey results to that population. With proper random sampling, the survey results can represent the preferences of all registered voters in the county (assuming good response rate and honest responses). However, this is an observational study asking about preferences, not an experiment with random assignment, so no causal conclusions can be drawn about the effect of different reminder types on turnout. The results also cannot extend to non-registered adults or voters in other counties. Students frequently confuse random selection (which supports generalization) with random assignment (which supports causation), or assume large samples automatically allow broader generalization.

Question 12

A nutrition blogger claims that people who eat breakfast have lower body mass index (BMI) than people who skip breakfast. To investigate, the blogger surveyed 500 followers on social media who chose to respond, asking whether they usually eat breakfast and their current BMI. Respondents who reported eating breakfast had lower average BMI. Which conclusion is justified based on the design of this study?

  1. Eating breakfast causes lower BMI because the breakfast group had lower average BMI.
  2. There is evidence of an association among the respondents, but the results may be affected by confounding and cannot be generalized to all people because the sample was voluntary and not randomly selected. (correct answer)
  3. Because 500 people responded, the blogger can generalize the results to all adults in the country.
  4. Because the blogger surveyed followers, the sample is random and supports a causal conclusion.
  5. Because BMI was measured, the study is an experiment and supports causation.

Explanation: This question explores limitations of voluntary response surveys in AP Statistics, which are observational and prone to bias. The blogger's social media survey showed an association between breakfast and lower BMI among respondents, but voluntary participation and lack of random assignment prevent causation or generalization due to confounding and bias. Choice A is a distractor, asserting causation from association alone, which overlooks observational design flaws. Mini-lesson on inference types: surveys without random sampling yield biased associations, not generalizable, and observational nature bars causation unlike randomized experiments. Sample size doesn't mitigate volunteer bias. Marked answer B properly highlights association, confounding, and nongeneralizability.

Question 13

To study whether using a standing desk affects daily step counts, a fitness researcher randomly samples 60 employees from a large corporation. However, each sampled employee chooses whether to use a standing desk or keep a traditional desk for the next 4 weeks. Step counts are recorded using the same wearable device for everyone. Which conclusion is justified based on the design?

  1. Because employees were randomly sampled, any difference in mean steps must be caused by the standing desk.
  2. Because employees chose the desk type, the study is observational; it may show an association but cannot establish causation, though results may be generalized to the corporation's employees. (correct answer)
  3. Because employees were randomly sampled, the results can be generalized to all adults, and causation can be concluded.
  4. Because there was no random assignment, the results cannot be generalized even to the corporation's employees.
  5. Because step counts were measured with a wearable device, the study is an experiment and can establish causation.

Explanation: This question evaluates AP Statistics distinction between sampling and assignment in inference. Random sampling of employees allows generalization to the corporation's employees, but self-choice of desk type makes it observational, showing only association, not causation, due to potential self-selection bias. Using wearable devices measures outcomes but doesn't create an experiment without assignment. Choice A distracts by confusing sampling with assignment for causation. In a mini-lesson on inference types, random sampling supports population estimates of associations, while random assignment is essential for causality by balancing groups. Here, association in step counts can be generalized corporately but not causally attributed to desks.

Question 14

A school district wants to determine whether a new online homework platform improves algebra test scores. From all 10th-grade algebra classes in the district, administrators randomly assign half of the classes to use the platform for 6 weeks and the other half to continue with the usual homework system. At the end, all students take the same district test. Which conclusion is justified based on the design?

(Assume the classes included are all 10th-grade algebra classes in the district.)

  1. Because classes were randomly assigned to treatments, the district can conclude the platform caused any observed difference in mean test scores. (correct answer)
  2. Because classes were randomly assigned, the district can generalize results to all 10th graders in the state.
  3. Because this was an experiment, the district cannot draw a cause-and-effect conclusion.
  4. Because students were not randomly sampled from all districts, the district cannot draw a cause-and-effect conclusion for these classes.
  5. Because there was no random sampling, the district can only conclude an association, not causation.

Explanation: This question assesses the AP Statistics concept of experimental design and its implications for causation and generalization in inference. Here, random assignment of classes to the homework platform or usual system enables a cause-and-effect conclusion because it balances potential confounders across groups. However, there is no random sampling from a larger population; the classes are all 10th-grade algebra classes in the district, so results can be generalized to this district but not necessarily to the state. Choice E is a distractor, wrongly stating that without random sampling, only association can be concluded; in fact, random assignment allows causation even without sampling for broader generalization. A mini-lesson on inference types: experiments with random assignment support causal inferences by creating comparable groups, while random sampling allows extending results to a population; both are ideal but not always necessary together. Therefore, the district can conclude if the platform causes score differences in their classes.

Question 15

A coffee shop chain wants to test whether a new store layout increases average customer spending. They choose 12 stores that volunteered to try the new layout. The manager flips a coin at each store to randomly assign it to either implement the new layout for one month or keep the current layout for one month, then compares average spending per customer. Which conclusion is justified based on the design?

  1. Because stores were randomly assigned, any observed difference in spending can be attributed to the layout for the 12 volunteer stores. (correct answer)
  2. Because stores volunteered, the results can be generalized to all stores in the chain.
  3. Because stores were not randomly sampled, no cause-and-effect conclusion is possible even for the 12 stores.
  4. Because a coin was used, the results can be generalized to all coffee shops everywhere.
  5. Because this is an observational study, only association (not causation) can be concluded.

Explanation: This question addresses AP Statistics experimental design with volunteer subjects and inference scope. Random assignment via coin flips to layouts allows causation for observed spending differences in these 12 stores, controlling confounders. However, since stores volunteered rather than being randomly sampled, results cannot generalize to the entire chain. Choice B is a distractor, wrongly equating volunteering with representativeness for generalization. A mini-lesson on inference: random assignment enables causality in the sample, but random sampling is needed for population extension; volunteers may differ systematically. Thus, causation is justified only for these volunteer stores.

Question 16

A marketing firm wants to estimate the mean amount spent per visit by customers at a grocery chain. They randomly select 25 stores from all stores in the chain and then record the total spent by every customer who shops at those stores on a single Saturday. Which conclusion is justified based on the design?

(Assume the 25 stores are selected by simple random sampling.)

  1. The results can be generalized to all customers of the chain on Saturdays, but not necessarily to all days of the week. (correct answer)
  2. Because stores were randomly selected, the study proves that shopping on Saturday causes customers to spend more.
  3. Because every customer at selected stores was included, the results can be generalized to all grocery shoppers everywhere.
  4. Because customers were not randomly assigned to stores, no generalization to the chain is possible.
  5. Because the sample includes all customers at selected stores, the results can be generalized to all customers of the chain on all days.

Explanation: This question examines AP Statistics inference principles in sampling designs, particularly generalization without causation. Random selection of stores enables generalization to all chain stores, but limiting data to one Saturday means results apply only to Saturdays, not all days, due to potential weekly variations. There is no random assignment or treatment, so this observational census of customers at selected stores cannot prove causation, like Saturday causing more spending. Choice E distracts by overgeneralizing to all days despite the single-day scope. In a mini-lesson on inference types, random sampling supports population estimates but not causality, which requires experimental manipulation; here, it's for estimating Saturday spending across the chain. The design justifies generalization to Saturday customers chain-wide.

Question 17

A state education department wants to know whether schools that require a full-year personal finance course have higher graduation rates. They collect existing data from all public high schools in the state on whether the course is required and the school's graduation rate. Which conclusion is justified based on the design?

  1. If schools with the requirement have higher graduation rates, the course requirement is proven to cause higher graduation rates.
  2. Because data were collected from all schools in the state, the department can conclude the requirement causes higher graduation rates in the state.
  3. The department can determine whether there is an association between requiring the course and graduation rate, but it cannot conclude causation. (correct answer)
  4. Because the department studied all schools, random assignment is not needed to conclude causation.
  5. Because the department used a census of schools, it cannot even examine association.

Explanation: This question tests AP Statistics skills in observational data analysis and inference limitations without randomization. Using existing data from all schools (a census) allows examining associations between course requirement and graduation rates across the state, but without random assignment, causation cannot be concluded due to confounders like school resources. No sampling occurred, but the census covers the population, enabling state-wide association inferences. Choice D distracts by suggesting a census eliminates the need for random assignment for causation, which is untrue. In a mini-lesson on inference types, observational studies (even censuses) show correlations but not causes; experiments with assignment are needed for causality. The department can assess association but not prove the requirement causes higher rates.

Question 18

A city health department wants to know whether a new text-message reminder system increases the percentage of patients who arrive on time for appointments. Over one month, the department randomly selected 400 patients from all patients with appointments and randomly assigned 200 to receive text reminders and 200 to receive no reminders. The on-time rate was higher in the reminder group. Which conclusion is justified based on the design of this study?

  1. Because patients were randomly selected, the text reminders caused more patients to arrive on time for all patients in the city.
  2. Because patients were randomly assigned, the text reminders likely caused a higher on-time rate for the patients in the study, but generalizing to all city patients depends on how well the random sample represents them. (correct answer)
  3. Because the study was observational, the higher on-time rate in the reminder group could be due to confounding variables.
  4. Because the on-time rate was higher with reminders, the reminders will increase on-time rates in any city, regardless of how subjects were chosen.
  5. Because the sample size was 400, the department can conclude the reminders caused higher on-time rates for all patients in the country.

Explanation: This question assesses the skill of determining the scope of inference in a randomized experiment with random sampling, a key concept in AP Statistics inference and experiments. The study involved random selection of 400 patients from the city's appointment list and random assignment to text reminder or no reminder groups, allowing for causal conclusions about the reminders increasing on-time rates for the studied patients and generalization to all patients in the city due to the representative sample. Choice A is a common distractor because it overgeneralizes causation without acknowledging the role of random sampling in supporting population inferences, tempting those who confuse random assignment with random selection. In a mini-lesson on inference types, remember that random assignment supports causal inferences by balancing confounding variables between groups, while random sampling allows generalization from the sample to the broader population. Here, both elements are present, justifying causation within the study and generalization to the city, but not beyond without further evidence. The marked answer B correctly captures this by noting causation in the study and conditional generalization based on sample representativeness.

Question 19

A coffee shop chain wants to know whether changing the background music to a slower tempo increases the average amount customers spend per visit. The chain selected 20 of its 200 stores by taking the 20 stores closest to its headquarters. The 20 stores were randomly assigned: 10 stores played slow-tempo music for two weeks and 10 stores kept their usual music. The slow-tempo stores had higher average spending. Which conclusion is justified based on the design of this study?

  1. Slow-tempo music likely caused higher average spending in the 20 selected stores, but the results may not generalize to all 200 stores because the stores were not randomly sampled. (correct answer)
  2. Because stores were randomly assigned, the results can be generalized to all stores in the chain.
  3. Because the chain did not randomly assign customers to music conditions, no causal conclusion is possible.
  4. Because the 20 stores were close to headquarters, the study is unbiased and supports causation for all stores.
  5. Because spending increased, slow-tempo music will increase spending for every customer on every visit.

Explanation: This question tests understanding of experimental inference with nonrandom store selection in AP Statistics, where randomization supports causation but not full generalization. Stores were conveniently selected (closest to headquarters) then randomly assigned to music types, justifying that slow-tempo music caused higher spending in these stores, but convenience sampling limits extension to all 200 stores. Choice B is a distractor, claiming full generalization from random assignment alone, which confuses it with random sampling. Mini-lesson on inference types: random assignment isolates treatment effects for causation, while random sampling ensures representativeness. Bias from selection method restricts scope. Marked answer A correctly balances causation and generalization caveats.

Question 20

A researcher wants to estimate the proportion of adults in a state who support a proposed tax measure. She randomly sampled 1200 adults from a statewide voter registration list and asked whether they support the measure. The sample proportion supporting the measure was 0.54. Which conclusion is justified based on the design of this study?

  1. Adults who support the tax measure are more likely to be registered voters, so the sample is biased and no inference is possible.
  2. Because the sample was random, the researcher can generalize the estimated proportion to adults in the state who are on the voter registration list, but the design does not justify a causal claim about what makes adults support the measure. (correct answer)
  3. Because the sample size is large, the researcher can conclude the proposed tax measure will increase state revenue.
  4. Because the sample was random, the researcher can conclude the tax measure causes adults to support it.
  5. Because the researcher surveyed 1200 adults, the results can be generalized to all adults in the United States.

Explanation: This question evaluates understanding of inference from random surveys in AP Statistics, emphasizing generalization to the sampled population without causal claims. The researcher used random sampling from the statewide voter list, supporting estimation of the support proportion for registered voters in the state, but the absence of any treatment or assignment means no causation can be inferred about what influences support. Choice D is a distractor because it wrongly attributes causation to the tax measure itself, misleading those who misinterpret descriptive surveys as experimental. In a mini-lesson on inference types, random sampling enables generalization to the population, but without random assignment, only descriptive or associational inferences are possible, not causal ones. The sample size aids precision but doesn't enable causation or broader generalization beyond the voter list. Marked answer B correctly limits the inference to generalization without causation.