Test: LSAT Logical Reasoning

Meteorologist: The average temperature last winter was 30 degrees fahrenheit. That was the lowest average temperature for a winter in 20 years.  The average temperature this winter will most likely be warmer than last winter's average temperature.

1.

The reasoning in the argument is most vulnerable to the criticism that it

predicts a future event from past events that may have no relationship to the predicted event

suggests that the average temperature in a particular winter can predict the temperature on a particular day

draws a universal conclusion from information about one event

assumes that last winter's average temperature will have no bearing on this winter's average temperature

assumes that last winter's average temperature will determine this winter's average temperature

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