Statistics Graduate Level Quiz
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BAYESIAN STATISTICS
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For a posterior mean, four chains yield R^=1.00\widehat{R}=1.00. The posterior standard deviation is approximately 55, but the effective sample size is only 100100. The analyst requires a Monte Carlo standard error no larger than 0.10.1. Assume effective sample size grows proportionally with additional post-warmup iterations.
What is the most appropriate assessment of the current run?
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