Sampling for Differences in Sample Proportions - AP Statistics
- A university compares the proportion of students who report being satisfied with dining services between on-campus and off-campus students. An SRS of on-campus students and an independent SRS of off-campus students are surveyed; and are the sample proportions satisfied. The sampling distribution of is modeled for repeated sampling. Which statement is correct? Answer: The sampling distribution of describes how varies from sample to sample. This question distinguishes between what varies in a sampling distribution. The sampling distribution of describes how the sample statistic varies from sample to sample when we repeat the sampling process. The population parameters and are fixed and don't vary (eliminating A). It's not about individual responses but about the difference in proportions (eliminating C). The distributions of alone and are different (eliminating D). The center is regardless of whether sample sizes are equal (eliminating E).
- A tech company compares the proportion of users who click a new button design on two versions of an app. Version A is shown to an independent random sample of users and Version B to users; and are the sample click proportions. The company considers the sampling distribution of over many repetitions. Which statement is correct? Answer: The sampling distribution of is centered at , and its spread depends on , , , and . This question addresses both center and spread of the sampling distribution. The sampling distribution of is centered at the population difference , and its spread (standard deviation) depends on all four values: , , , and through the formula . Even if , sampling variability means some samples could yield negative differences (eliminating A). The center is not the sample statistic (eliminating C). The distribution describes sample statistics, not populations (eliminating D). Population sizes aren't relevant to the sampling distribution (eliminating E).
- A streaming service tests whether the proportion of users who finish a new series differs between two age groups. An independent random sample of users ages 18–34 and users ages 35+ is selected, and and are the sample proportions who finish the series. Consider the sampling distribution of across repeated sampling. Which statement is correct? Answer: If the repeated-sampling conditions are met, is approximately normal and centered at . This question examines conditions for the sampling distribution of differences. When proper conditions are met (random sampling, independence, and success-failure conditions), the sampling distribution of is approximately normal and centered at . Equal sample sizes don't make the mean 0 unless (eliminating A). The distribution can be approximately normal despite proportions being bounded (eliminating C). The standard deviation formula is , not the given expression (eliminating D). Random sampling is always necessary for valid inference (eliminating E).
- A streaming service compares the proportion of users who finish a new series in two regions. Region R: an SRS of users; Region S: an independent SRS of users. The statistic is . In repeated sampling, the sampling distribution is centered at and its standard deviation is influenced by both sample sizes. Which statement is correct? Answer: The sampling distribution's variability is driven more by the smaller sample size than by the larger . This question examines how unequal sample sizes influence the sampling distribution of proportion differences, a critical AP Statistics concept for real-world studies with varying group sizes. The spread is more affected by the smaller sample (( = 50)) because its term in the standard deviation formula contributes more variance relative to the larger ( = 500). Choice A distracts by claiming more variability due to the large sample, which is backward since larger samples reduce individual variance contributions. Mini-lesson: in difference distributions from independent samples, the total spread combines variances additively, with smaller samples driving more uncertainty, while the center remains at ( - ). Unequal sizes don't prevent normality if conditions are met. This highlights the importance of bolstering smaller groups for balanced precision.
- A public health researcher compares vaccination rates in two cities. From City A, an SRS of adults is selected; from City B, an independent SRS of adults is selected. Let and be the sample proportions vaccinated, and consider the sampling distribution of over many repetitions. Which statement is correct? Answer: The sampling distribution of is centered at . This question tests understanding of center and spread in sampling distributions for differences. The sampling distribution of is centered at the true population difference , regardless of sample sizes. Even with large samples, there is still sampling variability (eliminating A). The center is not determined by the first sample's result (eliminating C). The standard deviation depends on both the sample sizes AND the population proportions through the formula (eliminating D). The distribution can be approximately normal with unequal sample sizes if conditions are met (eliminating E).
- A political analyst compares the proportion of voters who favor Candidate X in two counties. An independent random sample of registered voters from County 1 and from County 2 is taken; and are the sample proportions favoring Candidate X. Over repeated sampling, consider the sampling distribution of . Which statement is correct? Answer: The sampling distribution of is approximately normal if the success–failure condition is met in both groups. This question tests understanding of normality conditions for sampling distributions. The sampling distribution of is approximately normal when the success-failure condition is met in both groups (typically and for each group). Large samples don't eliminate all variability (eliminating A). Normality doesn't require proportions near 0.5 (eliminating C). The population distributions don't need to be normal for the sampling distribution to be approximately normal (eliminating D). There is still spread due to sampling variability regardless of sample size (eliminating E).
- A company compares the proportion of customers who would recommend its service in two regions. An independent random sample of customers from Region 1 and customers from Region 2 is taken; the sample proportions who would recommend are and . Over many repetitions, the sampling distribution of is considered. Which statement is correct? Answer: If , then the sampling distribution of is centered at 0. This question focuses on properties of the sampling distribution when comparing two proportions. When the true population proportions are equal (), the difference , so the sampling distribution of is centered at 0. However, individual samples will still show variation due to sampling variability, so won't equal 0 in every sample (eliminating B). The center is always , not the observed difference (eliminating C). The distribution is approximately normal under proper conditions, not uniform (eliminating D). Changing sample sizes does affect the spread through the standard error formula (eliminating E).
- A public health researcher wants to compare the proportion of adults who got a flu shot this year in two cities. A simple random sample of adults is taken from City A and adults is taken from City B, and the statistic is computed. If these samples were repeatedly taken the same way, the sampling distribution of would be approximately normal and centered at , with a standard deviation that depends on , , , and . Which statement is correct? Answer: The sampling distribution of is centered at the true difference in population proportions . This question assesses understanding of the sampling distribution for the difference in two sample proportions, a key concept in AP Statistics for comparing categorical data from two groups. The sampling distribution of is centered at the true population difference , not at the observed sample difference, and its spread is given by the standard deviation formula that incorporates both population proportions and sample sizes. A common distractor is choice A, which incorrectly suggests the distribution is centered at the observed difference from one sample, confusing the sample statistic with the parameter. In a mini-lesson on difference distributions: when taking independent random samples from two populations, the difference in sample proportions is an unbiased estimator of the true difference, meaning repeated samples will produce values varying around with a normal shape under large sample conditions. The spread decreases as sample sizes increase, reflecting more precise estimates. This centering at the parameter ensures that inferences about the population difference are valid.
- A company compares the proportion of customers who renew a subscription under two email campaigns. From Campaign 1, an SRS of customers is selected; from Campaign 2, an independent SRS of customers is selected. The statistic of interest is . Over many repetitions, the sampling distribution of is centered at and has standard deviation . Which statement is correct? Answer: The sampling distribution of is centered at . This question evaluates knowledge of the sampling distribution for differences in sample proportions, essential in AP Statistics for comparing success rates between groups like subscription renewals. The distribution is centered at ( - ) with spread determined by (), which accounts for unequal sample sizes without the larger one dominating entirely. Choice E is a distractor, wrongly claiming the center is the observed difference, which varies per sample while the true center remains the population parameter. Mini-lesson: the sampling distribution of () from independent samples models how this statistic behaves over many repetitions, always centering on the fixed ( - ) but with variability that combines the uncertainties from each sample. Larger samples reduce spread, improving reliability for hypothesis tests or confidence intervals. Even with ( > ), both contribute to the overall variance.
- To compare two products, a store samples customers and records whether each customer makes a purchase. Product A: independent random sample of customers; Product B: independent random sample of customers. The statistic is . Which statement is correct about the effect of independence on the sampling distribution? Answer: Independence allows the variances from the two samples to add when finding the standard deviation of . This question explores the role of independence in the sampling distribution of proportion differences, essential in AP Statistics for correct variance calculations. Independence allows adding the variances of the individual proportions to get the SD of the difference, ensuring accurate spread quantification. Choice A is a distractor, wrongly stating independence makes the statistic exactly equal the parameter every time, ignoring sampling variability. Mini-lesson: for independent samples, the distribution of (\hat{p}_A - \hat{p}_B) is centered at ( - ) with SD from added variances, approximately normal under conditions, but without independence, covariance terms complicate it. This doesn't imply equal proportions or change the shape to uniform. Independence is key for valid two-sample inferences.
- A researcher compares the proportion of plants that survive under two fertilizers. Fertilizer A is tested on a random sample of plants and Fertilizer B on an independent random sample of plants; and are the sample survival proportions. Consider the sampling distribution of over repeated experiments. Which statement is correct? Answer: Because is smaller, the sampling distribution of will typically have greater spread than if were larger (all else equal). This question focuses on how sample size affects the spread of the sampling distribution. The standard error formula shows that smaller sample sizes lead to larger standard errors. Since is relatively small, it contributes more to the overall spread than if it were larger. The spread depends on both sample sizes, not just the larger one (eliminating B). The given formula in C uses sample proportions instead of population proportions (eliminating C). Equal population proportions don't eliminate variability (eliminating D). Independence doesn't determine the sign of the difference (eliminating E).
- A city compares the proportion of households that recycle weekly in two neighborhoods. Neighborhood 1: SRS of households; Neighborhood 2: independent SRS of households. The statistic is . Which statement is correct about the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of ? Answer: It is . This question focuses on the standard deviation formula for the sampling distribution of proportion differences, a core AP Statistics tool for quantifying variability in comparisons. The correct spread is (), depending on both population proportions and sample sizes. Choice C distracts by using sample proportions for the population distribution, which is for estimation, not the true SD. Mini-lesson: the difference distribution from independent samples centers at ( - ) with this SD formula, which doesn't zero out for equal n or depend solely on the difference. It separates effects of p and n, guiding sample size planning. Understanding this prevents underestimating variability in equal-sized groups.
- A nonprofit compares the proportion of donors who give again within a year between two outreach methods. An independent random sample of donors contacted by email and donors contacted by phone is selected; and are the sample proportions who donate again. Over many repetitions, the sampling distribution of is examined. Which statement is correct? Answer: The sampling distribution of has mean , regardless of the sample sizes, assuming random sampling and independence. This question tests the fundamental property about the mean of a sampling distribution. The sampling distribution of has mean equal to regardless of sample sizes, as long as we have random sampling and independence. This is a key unbiased property of the difference in sample proportions. The mean is not the sample statistic itself (eliminating B). The mean is only 0 when , not just because both are proportions (eliminating C). Independence doesn't eliminate variability (eliminating D). The normality condition requires checking success-failure conditions, not just having (eliminating E).
- A researcher compares the proportion of plants that survive under two fertilizers. Fertilizer A: random sample of plants; Fertilizer B: independent random sample of plants. The statistic is . Consider the condition for using a normal approximation for the sampling distribution of . Which statement is correct? Answer: A normal approximation is appropriate if each sample has at least 10 expected successes and 10 expected failures: . This question assesses conditions for normality in the sampling distribution of proportion differences, vital in AP Statistics for valid inferences. The normal approximation holds if each group has at least 10 expected successes and failures, ensuring the individual proportion distributions are mound-shaped. Choice C is a distractor, oversimplifying to total sample size >=30 without checking success-failure counts per group. Mini-lesson: for (\hat{p}_A - \hat{p}_B) from independent samples, normality requires (n p geq 10) and (n(1-p) geq 10) for each, allowing the difference to be approximately normal centered at ( - ) with calculable spread. This isn't guaranteed by equal proportions or observed values alone. Proper checks prevent skewed distributions in analysis.
- A school district wants to compare support for a new start-time policy between two groups of parents. A random sample of elementary-school parents and an independent random sample of high-school parents are surveyed; in each group, the sample proportion who support the policy is recorded as and . If these sampling methods were repeated many times, the distribution of would be approximately normal with mean and standard deviation (assuming conditions are met). Which statement is correct? Answer: The mean of the sampling distribution of is . This question tests understanding of the sampling distribution of the difference in sample proportions. The sampling distribution of describes how this difference varies across many repeated samples. Its mean (center) is the true population difference , not the observed sample difference from one particular sample (eliminating A). The distribution does have variability even with fixed sample sizes because different samples yield different proportions (eliminating B). The standard deviation formula uses population proportions and , not sample proportions (eliminating D). The center is regardless of whether sample sizes are equal (eliminating E).
- A city compares the proportion of residents who support building a new park in two neighborhoods. An SRS of residents from Neighborhood 1 and an independent SRS of residents from Neighborhood 2 are taken; and are the sample proportions in favor. The sampling distribution of is considered over many repetitions. Which statement is correct? Answer: The sampling distribution of is centered at the population difference . This question tests the fundamental property that sampling distributions are centered at population parameters. The sampling distribution of describes the behavior of this statistic over many repetitions and is centered at the true population difference . It is not centered at any particular sample's observed difference (eliminating B). The standard deviation is positive even when asking the same question, due to sampling variability (eliminating C). The distribution can be described theoretically without knowing specific sample values (eliminating D). Normality requires meeting conditions, not just comparing two proportions (eliminating E).
- A school district wants to compare the proportion of students who prefer online homework in two middle schools. An SRS of students is taken from School 1 and an independent SRS of students is taken from School 2. The statistic is computed. If the sampling is repeated many times, the distribution of will have a mean of and a standard deviation that decreases as the sample sizes increase. Which statement is correct? Answer: If both sample sizes were doubled, the sampling distribution of would typically be less spread out. This question tests comprehension of how sample size affects the sampling distribution of the difference in proportions, a fundamental AP Statistics skill for designing comparative studies. Doubling both sample sizes reduces the spread of the distribution while keeping the center at ( - ), as the standard deviation formula shows an inverse relationship with (n). Choice B distracts by suggesting increased spread with larger samples, which is incorrect since larger samples provide more precise estimates and less variability. Mini-lesson: the difference () from independent samples has a sampling distribution that's approximately normal, centered at the true difference, with spread shrinking as sample sizes grow, enabling tighter confidence intervals. Equal sample sizes don't eliminate variability; there's always sampling error unless populations are fully enumerated. This principle guides researchers in balancing precision with cost.
- A researcher compares the proportion of commuters who bike to work in two cities. City 1: SRS of ; City 2: independent SRS of . The statistic is . In repeated sampling, the sampling distribution is approximately normal under appropriate conditions and centered at . Which statement is correct? Answer: The sampling distribution of can include both positive and negative values even if . This question tests understanding of variability in the sampling distribution of proportion differences, important in AP Statistics for interpreting possible outcomes. Even if ( - eq 0), sampling error allows () to be positive or negative, reflecting the distribution's spread around the center. Choice A distracts by claiming a negative parameter forces negative statistics every time, underestimating variability. Mini-lesson: the difference distribution from independent samples centers at ( - ) (which can be negative) with normal shape, but values span both sides due to chance, not biased by sample size differences. Proportions' nonnegativity doesn't restrict the difference's sign. This variability underpins confidence intervals crossing zero.
- Two independent random samples are taken to compare the proportion of voters who support a ballot measure in two counties. County X: ; County Y: . The statistic is . Suppose the true population proportions are and . Over many repetitions, which statement is correct about the sampling distribution of ? Answer: Its mean is 0, but it will still vary from sample to sample. This question probes the properties of the sampling distribution for proportion differences when population proportions are equal, relevant in AP Statistics for null hypothesis scenarios. With ( = = 0.5), the center is 0, but spread exists due to sampling variability, so (\hat{p}_X - \hat{p}_Y) fluctuates around 0 in repeated samples. Choice B is a distractor, falsely implying no variability when the mean is 0, ignoring that even equal proportions yield differing sample outcomes by chance. Mini-lesson: for independent samples, the distribution of () is centered at ( - ) (here 0) with standard deviation reflecting sample sizes and proportions, always showing spread unless samples are infinite. This variability is key for understanding p-values in tests of equal proportions. Proportions being between 0 and 1 doesn't force the difference to be positive.
- A tech company compares the proportion of users who enable two-factor authentication on two platforms. Platform W: SRS of users; Platform M: independent SRS of users. The statistic is . Suppose and stay the same over time and the sampling method stays the same. Which statement is correct about what would happen to the sampling distribution if both sample sizes were reduced to ? Answer: The sampling distribution would have the same center but typically larger standard deviation (more spread). This question investigates how changing sample sizes affects the sampling distribution of proportion differences, a practical AP Statistics concept for study design adjustments. Reducing sizes keeps the center at ( - ) but increases spread, as the SD grows with smaller n in the formula. Choice C is a distractor, incorrectly stating smaller samples reduce variability, when the opposite is true due to less information. Mini-lesson: for independent samples, the difference distribution's center is invariant to sample size, but spread inversely relates to n, so halving sizes widens it without shifting to observed values or zero. Populations staying the same doesn't negate size effects. This informs trade-offs in precision versus feasibility.