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Price Indices &
Inflation

Learn how economists measure changes in the overall price level using the CPI and GDP deflator, and understand how inflation and deflation shape the economy.

AP Macroeconomics

What Is a Price Index?

A price index is a number that tracks the average price level of a specific basket of goods and services over time, relative to a base year. The base year always equals 100.

Base Year
The reference year where the index equals 100
Market Basket
A fixed set of goods and services used for comparison

Why Inflation Matters

Inflation is a sustained increase in the general price level. It erodes purchasing power: each dollar buys fewer goods over time. Understanding inflation helps policymakers set interest rates and helps you interpret real wages.

Purchasing Power
The quantity of goods a unit of currency can buy
Nominal vs. Real
Nominal values are unadjusted; real values remove inflation
Hyperinflation
Extremely rapid inflation that destabilizes an economy

Visualizing the Consumer Price Index

80 100 120 140 160 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Base Year 95 97 100 107 116 CPI

The CPI Formula

The Consumer Price Index compares the cost of a fixed market basket in a given year to its cost in the base year:

This formula uses fixed quantities from the base year. Prices change, but the basket stays the same: that is why the CPI is called a fixed-weight (Laspeyres) index.

Calculating the Inflation Rate

The inflation rate measures the percentage change in the price index from one period to the next:

Positive Rate
Inflation: prices are rising
Negative Rate
Deflation: prices are falling
Falling Rate
Disinflation: inflation slows but stays positive

The GDP Deflator

The GDP deflator is another price index. Unlike the CPI, it covers all domestically produced goods and services, not just consumer goods:

Because it uses current-year quantities (a Paasche index), the GDP deflator automatically updates its basket and avoids substitution bias, but it can understate inflation.

CPI vs. GDP Deflator

CPI GDP Deflator
Basket Fixed (base-year quantities) Variable (current-year quantities)
Scope Consumer goods and services only All domestically produced goods
Imports Included Excluded
Index Type Laspeyres Paasche
Bias Overstates inflation Understates inflation

Real vs. Nominal Values

Nominal values are expressed in current dollars. Real values adjust for inflation, showing purchasing power in base-year dollars:

This formula works for wages, GDP, interest rates, and any monetary measure. Always divide by the relevant price index and multiply by 100.

How to Calculate Step by Step

1
Identify the basket. List the goods, their base-year quantities, and current prices.
2
Compute basket costs. Multiply each quantity by its price in both years, then sum.
3
Apply the CPI formula. Divide current-year cost by base-year cost, then multiply by 100.
4
Find the inflation rate. Use \(\frac{\text{CPI}_{\text{new}} - \text{CPI}_{\text{old}}}{\text{CPI}_{\text{old}}} \times 100\).
5
Convert to real values. Divide any nominal value by the CPI and multiply by 100.

Example 1: Computing CPI

A market basket contains 10 pizzas and 5 textbooks. In the base year, a pizza costs \(\$10\) and a textbook costs \(\$40\). In the current year, a pizza costs \(\$12\) and a textbook costs \(\$50\).

Example 2: Inflation Rate

The CPI was 120 in 2022 and 126 in 2023. What was the inflation rate?

The general price level rose by \(5\%\) from 2022 to 2023. This tells us the rate of change of prices, not the level itself.

Example 3: Real Wages

A worker earns a nominal wage of \(\$60{,}000\). The CPI is 150 (base year = 100). What is the worker's real wage?

Example 4: GDP Deflator

Nominal GDP is \(\$22\) trillion and Real GDP is \(\$20\) trillion. Find the GDP deflator and the inflation rate if last year's deflator was 105.

The overall price level for domestic production rose by approximately \(4.76\%\).

Common Mistakes to Avoid

Confusing Level and Rate
A CPI of 130 does not mean \(130\%\) inflation. It means prices are \(30\%\) above the base year. The inflation rate is the change in the CPI.
Mixing Up CPI and Deflator
The CPI uses a fixed basket; the GDP deflator uses current quantities. They cover different goods and have different biases.
Forgetting to Multiply by 100
Both the CPI formula and the real-value formula require multiplying by 100. Omitting this gives a decimal, not an index.

Key Formulas at a Glance

Concept Formula
CPI \(\frac{\text{Cost}_{\text{current}}}{\text{Cost}_{\text{base}}} \times 100\)
Inflation Rate \(\frac{\text{CPI}_{\text{new}} - \text{CPI}_{\text{old}}}{\text{CPI}_{\text{old}}} \times 100\)
GDP Deflator \(\frac{\text{Nominal GDP}}{\text{Real GDP}} \times 100\)
Real Value \(\frac{\text{Nominal Value}}{\text{Price Index}} \times 100\)
Nominal Value \(\frac{\text{Real Value} \times \text{Price Index}}{100}\)

Question 1 of 5

A market basket costs \(\$200\) in the base year and \(\$230\) in the current year. What is the CPI for the current year?

Question 2 of 5

If the CPI was 140 last year and 147 this year, what is the inflation rate?

Question 3 of 5

Nominal GDP is \(\$18\) trillion and real GDP is \(\$15\) trillion. What is the GDP deflator?

Question 4 of 5

A worker's nominal salary is \(\$80{,}000\). The CPI is 160. What is the worker's real salary in base-year dollars?

Question 5 of 5

Which of the following is a key difference between the CPI and the GDP deflator?